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Tuesday, 4 December 2018

12:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th December)

Eric Winner Horse Racing Tips

The topweight Kraka has a fast time from Chelmsford but hasn't run here before but the trainers record of 0-50 in the last 5 years at this course but timewise it could still make the frame (checking place chances takes too long to make it worthwhile so I only check winning stats) Wotadoll is my 2nd top rated and a possible pacesetter but might either struggle or use too much energy to lead from stall 11 but never say never but my top rated is another possible pacesetter in the shape of VERY HONEST 5/1 coming from stall 3 so could gain control of the rails and hopefully lead all the way, the trainer has a decent 19% win rate here which bodes well and I'm hoping I can ignore its form recently as it hasn't led in any of them but has a good chance to here and change its fortunes. 

Very Honest 5/1 2nd 


There's quite a bit of conflicting form from different surfaces and tracks or older form and to be honest there's 7 of the 10 runners that I cannot discount from the list of possible winners but I'm going to put my neck on the line and go with the 3-year-old JOEGOGO 8/1 who could get the lead here despite being in stall 6 and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch if able to reproduce a time from Southwell but has raced on this surface before without much to show for it so my stakes will be kept on the low side. 

Joegogo 12/1 4th 


This 5 furlong dash has 4 possible pacesetters and maybe Just That Lord will do best of them but I think it will be won from off the pace, I've only got 2lbs between my top 3 so any of them could win if reproducing their best but I have gone back to last year for the best times of Verne Castle and Alsvinder as neither have ran over this c/d this year but TOMILY 13/2 did record his time this year which swings things in its favour plus the trainers 18% win ratio at this course but I would look to have covering bets on the other 2 as insurance. 

Tomily 13/2 8th


This looks very much a race that will be won from the front as my top 4 are possible pacesetters in the race, Entertaining Ben is my 4th top in stall 3, 3rd top in stall 9 is Come On Dave who would prefer to be drawn nearer the rails, Independence Day is 2nd best and in stall 8 but my top rated is KING CRIMSON 11/2 who has got the plum draw in stall one, I have gone back to 2016 for its best time but hasn't run over this c/d in 2017 or this year and I'm hoping the switch to here will rejuvenate its form especially with the trainers 18% win rate here and the jockeys 19% win rate for the stable.

King Crimson 8/1 5th  

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