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Tuesday, 11 December 2018

12:50 Southwell Racing Tips (11th December)

Eric Winner Racing Tips

This claimer with 10 runners is very hard to fathom what's likely to happen. Ive marked down 2 potentially hidden horses in the race and one of them THE RIGHT CHOICE 5/1 is the only known front runner, so if allowed to lead could steal the honours by leading all the way, the bottomweight Fortinbrass could be thereabouts but im not sure with the apprentice booked to ride’s poor record for the stable, Epeuis’s, my joint 2nd top rated, trainer is 0-24 here in the last 5 years, they also run First Breath, so that puts me off the pair of them, KOMMANDER KIRKUP 4/1 is the other joint 2nd top rated and won last time out so its definitely in form and could follow up here, DREAM ALLY 16/1 is top rated and its a hold up horse drawn in stall 1 so could get a run around the inside of the track and stay on strongly at the finish and looks the each way value call in the race but truthfully I cannot confidently narrow it down any further than the 3 selections so I will look to dutch them all to show a profit whichever one does the business. 

The Right Choice 5/1 1st
Kommander Kirkup 4/1 4th 
Dream Ally 50/1 9th 


This class 6 race is quite dire and I've only got 4 runners with times fast enough to register on my graphs, Honey Gg won last time out but in slow run race and a few behind that day didn't run to their best mainly because of the slow early pace, Sir Geoffrey is my 3rd best rated and could get either the lead or a prominent position from stall 7 on this straight 5 furlong course and the rest of the early paced horses are drawn higher, Archimedes, another possible pacesetter, is my top-rated until I take off points because of the jockeys 0-31 record for this stable, so they may be waiting for another day to win with this one, I will be having a small bet each way, on DECISION MAKER 18/1 as the trainer has a 15% win rate at this course and the jockey is 1-4 for this stable so maybe the connections are expecting a big run here after a poor run last time out behind today's topweight and it looks the value call in the race.

Decision Maker 18/1 4th 

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