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Wednesday, 19 December 2018

1:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (19th December)


Quite a nice race for a class 6 affair but also quite a lot of muddled speed figures, Captain Ryan hasn't any course form but has a good time from Wolverhampton but the trainers 1-38 record here and the jockeys 0-12 for the stable puts me off quite a lot, Billyoakes has a decent time over c/d but that was last year and would need to bounce back to form to win this race, Swiss Cross would be staying on at the finish if there's a fast early pace but that doesn't look likely in this race, Indian Affair is the only known frontrunner in the race so could be dangerous if allowed to set its own pace and then kick on off the bend, the selection is TAWAAFOQ 10/1 who has a fast time from Chelmsford this year which is the same surface and has won over this c/d but in a slow time but could be capable of repeating its time here but my stakes won't be at full strength but an each way wager might pay dividends. 

Tawaafoq 10 Unp

NEWCASTLE 6.45 Div1 

I've only got Peachey Carneham marked down as a front-runner but its best time was in 2017 and hasn't been as good this year and the trainers poor 1-19 record at this track puts me off, Yorkshire Pudding is still a maiden after 15 attempts and may find this trip too far if they go a fast early pace, Insurplus will be staying on at the finish of the race and could make the frame, the topweight Sir Ottoman has good trainer/jockey stats but its best time was back in 2017 and hasn't been that good so far this year, if KROY 9/2 can reproduce its best from last year it would have a very good chance of winning this race and the jockeys 24% win rate for the stable makes me think they are expecting a big run in this race. 

Kroy 9/2 9th 

NEWCASTLE 7.15 Div2 

The top weight Lucky Lodge is top rated using c/d times so it could make the frame here, Dodgy Bob is 4th top using a 2017 time and a possible pacesetter but hasn't been in the same level of form this year, Tadaany is an 11 run maiden and might need further to show its true worth, then Santafiora may be better on a different surface but should be staying on at the finish and could possibly make the frame, if THORNTOUN LADY 33/1 can reproduce its Wolverhampton time on this straight course it would have a decent chance of winning here but its times on this course haven't been as good so far so my stakes will be on the low side in an each way wager.

Thorntoun Lady 33/1 7th

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