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Saturday, 15 December 2018

4:20 Newcastle Racing Tips (15th December)

NEWCASTLE 4.20

There's 3 in this race that has been known to lead if nothing else wants to and perhaps Star Cracker from stall 2 could be the one to do best of the front-runners even though the draw isn't much of a factor on this straight course, as it's my 3rd top rated, I've got joint top rated horses in WINDFORPOWER 9/1 who should get a good tow into the race being drawn in stall 3, my other joint top rated is FOXY BOY 8/1 who is in stall 7 and this one also has a possible pacesetter drawn next door to it, with a few unknowns in the race my stakes won't be at full power. 

Windforpower 9/1 4th
Foxy Boy 12/1 Unp

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15

This division of the race got six 3-year-olds in it which muddy the waters a fair bit and any stakes will be kept low but the horse I'm putting up as a selection is the 3-year-old CUBAN SPIRIT 9/1 who usually stays on strongly at the finish at this distance so I'm hoping for a fast early pace so its stamina comes into play, I've got FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 9/2 as my 2nd top rated here using this year's figures and I know we are nearly at the end of the year but this one has a time from 2017 that would make my top rated by quite a few spots so I will go with backing both selections. 

Cuban Spirit 9/1 1st 
Fairway to Heaven 9/2 4th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45

There's only two 3 year olds in this division but looks a bit weaker than the 1st division, FRENCH 7/1 is my 2nd top rated and likes to track the pacesetters but the 3lb claiming apprentice takes it very close to the top of my ratings and he has a 19% win rate on this stables older horses, top rated is SOPHISTICATED HEIR 33/1 so it could be a lovely each way bet and the jockey booked for this ride has a 16% win rate for their older horses, so it looks like both sets of connections are expecting a big run her and I will be backing both to smallish stakes. 

French 7/1 Unp
Sophisticated Heir 33/1 5th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15

A nice looking class 3 affair, SOMETHING LUCKY (now a non-runner)is my top-rated using this years c/d times but does sometimes find this distance a bit too far if they go off really fast from the start but I'm not completely sure if the others can go too fast for it, MERHOOB 14/1 is a front-running type but hasn't run on this surface before but has a fast time from Chelmsford and could be a danger if taking to this surface, another I cannot discount is GO FAR 66/1 but I did have to go back to 2017 to find a time that would see it winning this race but at the price I will have to have a wager so I will go with having 2 smallish each way bets to hopefully make a profit.

Merhood 14/1 5th 
Go Far 66/1 8th 
NR: Something Lucky

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