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Friday, 14 December 2018

5:15 Kempton Racing Tips (14th December)


CANFORD'S JOY hasn't any form on this surface and looking at its turf form it may be better on a slower surface than this one. 

KRAKA with just 1 run here in a slow time doesn't bode well but a time recorded at Chelmsford would put in the mix but a Lingfield time isn't as good, so not sure what to expect here.

NUTINI won over this c/d but it was a slow run race it has a good time at Wolverhampton which is a different surface so again not sure what to expect. 

PICKET LINE I'm not sure this is its favoured surface but has a time here that would make it my 2nd top rated but stall 9 isn't ideal. 

REIGNITE this one is making its handicap debut but looking at its 3 runs and breeding it may need further to show its true merit. 

MAXIMUM POWER has only a slow time on its one run over this c/d but its Chelmsford time would make it competitive to making the frame here. 

SECRET POTION hast any form on this surface so again delving deeper into its turf form it might be better over a shorter trip. 

SOAR ABOVE is usually staying on at the finish at this distance but its best time would make it 3rd best at this c/d so could stay on to make the frame. 

SPENNY'S LASS has only produced slow times both here and at Lingfield and is usually held up for a late run and may make the frame. 

STORM MELODY this is its debut on any of the all-weather tracks but it does have a fastish time at this distance on good to firm going on grass so may be a hidden danger here. 

CHICA DE LA NOCHE is my top-rated using c/d times and has an even faster time recorded at Wolverhampton and its a front-running type drawn in stall 2 so could lead all the way.

LADWEB hasn't made the frame in its previous 5 all-weather runs but may need further or a slower surface or even both. 

SUMMARY: There is a 3 in this race that could possibly be hidden dangers in the race which means I cannot be completely confident with my analysis so my stakes cannot be at full strength despite me hoping CHICA DE LA NOCHE 4/1 can lead all the way from stall 2 and go one better than last time out when finishing 2nd.

Chica De La Noche 4/1 2nd 

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