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Friday, 7 December 2018

7:45 Kempton Racing Tips (7th December)


HELVETIAN is a 3-year-old that can be held up or track the leaders and ought to get a good early position from stall 2 from which to attack.

Merlin has only a slow time at this c/d from just 1 run but has done a fast time on good to firm going so could be a danger if liking this surface, it could attempt to lead but may need some luck from stall 10. 

Watchable is still a maiden on the all-weather tracks after 8 attempts resulting in a relatively slow time last time out over this c/d it could try? to set the pace but needs to improve. 

Outrage comes out 4th best on my figures despite looking much better over shorter distances so will have to be held up for a late run here. 

Me Too Nagasaki hasn't any form at this distance and nothing points to the drop in distance helping its cause so not for me in this race. 

Exchequer hasn't any c/d form and on other form it looks as though it will need a longer trip before it starts to show its full potential. 

Drakefell is a 3-year-old who has to be held up at this distance as it always looks better over a shorter trip and its best time makes it only 6th top rated. 

Al Asef the 3rd of four 3-year-olds in this race, it usually likes to track the leaders but hasn't shown much this year so one I would omit in this race. 

Busby the 4th and final 3-year-old in the race, it usually tracks the pacesetters and then stays on the stronger at the finish and this race could be run to suit it. 

Sesretinthepark hasn't any c/d form to its name but recorded a time elsewhere which would make it 3rd top but that's on a different surface but is a versatile sort with its racing tactics. 

SUMMARY: A nice looking class 3 race with 3 front-running types so it should be a true run race, Merlin, Outrage and Busby could all be battling to make the frame here but my money will be going on the topweight HELVETIAN 10/1 who takes over top spot when taking off the apprentices 7lb allowance and he's already ridden 8 winners for this stable so it looks a positive move but my stakes won't be at full strength in an each way bet.

Helvetian  12/1 5th

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