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Thursday, 31 January 2019

1:35 Southwell Racing Tips (31st January)

Horse racing tips

Timewise this race is as poor as it gets Gorgeous General is one of two known front-runners in the race and has won over this c/d but in a slow time as has Warriors Valley so I'm assuming they will both want to set their own slower early pace which might backfire on one of them or both so I will be backing the topweight PIAZON 3/1 who has done a time fast enough to register this month so is in good form and can get a prominent early position and track the leaders and then finish the stronger. 

Piazon 6/1 3rd


Only 8 runners in this apprentices handicap and a couple of runners that could set the pace and Dirchill could be very dangerous if getting to the front but I'm hoping it doesn't spring to life here but I cannot go with a single bet in this race and I will go with LUCKY LODGE 8/1 who is my 2nd top rated but the jockey has a 3-7 record for the stable and the stable has a 16% win rate in apprentice races so it looks as though connections are hoping for a big run here but I do have EPEIUS 9/2 rated higher, the trainer has a good 18% win rate here while its the apprentices 1st ride for the stable but the stables 0-16 record in apprentice races is a little off-putting, I will be backing them both but probably leaning in favour of Lucky Lodge. 

Epeius 9/2 1st 
Lucky Lodge 8/1 3rd


This 8 runner race should be run at full pace with half the field having led before, the topweight Another Angel could be one to prosper if the leaders cut each other's throats as it's my 3rd top rated, CUPPACOCO 5/1 is top rated on recent times and a front runner so if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch just to put a fly in the ointment I've got JACOBS PILLOW 14/1 rated higher but it is on a time it recorded in 2017 but then in its defence it hasn't raced over the c/d since that year so it could go well especially as the jockey has a decent 14% win rate for this small stable. 

Jacob's Pillow 66/1 6th 
Cuppacoco 11/2 7th


The 2 at the top of the handicap Breathoffreshair and Roaring Rory my 4th and 3rd top rated are both hold up types but they did record their times last year which is more recent than my top ratings, Picks Pinta is well weighted and comes out 2nd best but is 0-15 on all-weather tracks but its time was recorded at Wolverhampton while its only run over this c/d was a slow run affair, my top rated is MAUREB 7/1 who is the only known front runner in the field but it hasn't raced over this c/d and its time came from Wolverhampton back in 2017 but hasn't tried it since then, my stake won't be very high in the race on this one because of the trainers 1-27 record at the course.

Maureb 9/1 9th 

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