A class 7 dash and ive got 5 of the 10 runners with a recorded time fast enough to register but im not sure I could trust any one of the 5 to repeat their best, Pharoh Jake 3/1 is top rated if I just used this years times so it could go well, Hurrican Alert 8/1 is top rated using a time from Kempton but its only produced slow times on this course and the trainer is 1-49 here so not sure what to expect but it could possibly win, Storm Trooper 5/2 has only ran over this c/d once before in a slow time and is 0-19 on the allweather tracks but from stall 1 it could lead all the way and has fast enough times from Kempton and Chelmsford to back that up, Skip To My Lou 10/1 has the top tating from this c/d and should be staying on strongly at the finish and could feasibly catch the leaders and at the price may be the value call in the race, Chicago School 20/1 is 3rd best on c/d times and his best time was recorded this year and another that may be worth an each way wager, so its a very complex race and I think the winner will come from the 5 horses mentioned but it looks like a race either best left alone or small stakes.
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45
Of the 13 runners here there's only Indian Affair who is a consistent pacesetter but its outside my top 4 so I doubt it can lead all the way but could possibly make the frame, the 3 at the bottom of the weights are all rated exactly the same in co-3rd top rated, Billyoakes would be 2nd top rated if it could reproduce a 2017 time but its times last year would put it outside my top 4, I am going with backing 2 selections in the race CUBAN SPIRIT 4/1 is 2nd top rated using 2018 times and the trainer has a 19% win rate and the jockey a 26% win rate so its a winning combination but if FANTASY JUSTIFIER 7/1 can reproduce its best time from last year it would have a few spots in hand.
Cuban Spirit 4/1 7th
Fantasy Justifier 11/1 8th
No comments:
Post a comment