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Tuesday, 19 February 2019

5:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (20th February)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 

This is a poor class 7 race just for apprentice jockeys which automatically puts me on the backfoot in terms of betting and I will concentrate on my top 5 ratings, Foxy Boy 8/1 would normally not be in the picture to win this race as it can struggle with the distance if there's a fast early pace but maybe that won't happen here with no known 100% pacesetters in the field but it would need to improve to win but could go well. Isabella Ruby 20/1 is my 3rd top rated and always runs on at this distance as though further would suit it better, it has a long losing run to overcome but is a nice each way price. Fairway To Heaven 10/1 comes out 2nd best but has poor trainer stats of 0-17 at this course but is well drawn in stall 2 to get a decent early position from which to attack late on and another that's priced for an each way bet. Picks Pinta is my top rated and it won last time out on this surface and distance but at Newcastle and is 0-9 when running at this course and the trainers 1-55 record is also a bit off-putting and the apprentice is making their debut for this stable so I'm not sure what to expect but I will be having a bet on it. Marble Bar shouldn't really be on my list but its last run was in a class 5 race so this is a big drop in class, looking through its form it hasn't run over this distance before but does have a good time over further and it has raced a bit keenly on more than one occasion and dropped in distance here it could be the one to set the pace and if doing so I think it can bring its stamina into play, the trainer has a decent 15% win rate at this course and he has a 19% win rate in apprentice races so this maybe the day it loses its maiden tag. 

SUMMARY:- I do think the winner will come from the 5 horses I've mentioned but the race won't take much winning so my stakes won't be at full power, I would look to dutch all 5 of them but with larger stakes on PICKS PINTA 11/2 and MARBLE BAR 14/1 as an each way bet to make a profit whatever one does the business. 

Picks Pinta 13/2 4th
Marble Bar 9/1 4th 

CHELMSFORD 5.45 

With just 6 runners and no known frontrunners amongst them this could become a tactical affair, Smokey Lane is my 3rd top rated despite looking better on a slower surface and has a fairly long losing run to overcome, King Robert comes out 2nd best and it usually prefers to track the leaders as does my top rated CLASSIC PURSUIT 9/2 and the apprentice jockey booking looks good as he has a decent 15% win rate for the stable and if reproducing its best time from 2018 it would look to win cosily here.

Classical Pursuit 20/1 5th 

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