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Tuesday, 26 March 2019

5:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (26th March) 5f (5f21y) Betway Casino Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

Wolverhampton racing tips

AMAZING GRAZING this one's best time puts it outside my top 4 and will need some luck from stall 8 so lay the win part at 7/1.

NIBRAS AGAIN has only slow times over this c/d and races as though further would suit it better and one I might look to lay at 4/1 which is too low. 

MIRACLE WORKS has got a very interesting jockey booking but im not sure if this distance will see it at its best and not sure this surface is best for it but its the favourite so someone thinks it will go well here. 

A SURE WELCOME will be staying on at the finish and if reproducing its best time it should win here, I was hoping for an each way price so im hoping it drifts to 8/1. 

VENTUROUS hasn't any c/d form to work with and its best from Newcastle wouldn't be good enough to even make the frame so not for me in this race and a lay at 8/1. 

UNION ROSE is my 4th top rated and one of 3 known frontrunners in the race so could do enough to make the frame. 

THE ESTABLISHMENT this ones never run over this c/d and its other form makes me think a longer trip will suit it better. 

CANFORD BAY is my 3rd top rated on 2019 times and 3rd best if using 2018 figures but drawn the widest of them all in stall 11 doesn't help its cause. 

SIR HECTOR another one that has been known to lead, it hasn't run on this surface before and got no fast times from elsewhere so not for me. 

PATRICK hasn't any c/d form to work with and its Newcastle time is on the slow side of things and may need further to blossom. 

VAN GERWEN has a time from 2017 that would put it in 2nd top spot and it hasn't run over this c/d since then, a possible pacesetter and drawn best of them in stall 2 so could make the frame.

SUMMARY: I expect Union Rose and Van Gerwen, my 4th and 2nd top rated horses, to set the pace here, Canford Bay could be able to follow the pacesetters across to the rails and sit handy and then stay on at the finish but my top rated is A SURE WELCOME 6/1 who won last time out and has been found an opportunity to follow up here and if it drifts to 8/1 or bigger I will back it each way.

A Sure Welcome 6/1 Unp

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