ERIC'S RECENT WINNERS: + SECRET TIPS: LADY DANCEALOT 10/1, LAST PAGE 8/1, QAARAAT 7/1 + F/C £31.30 + T/C £212.50, LUCKY LODGE 8/1, SANTAFIORA 5/1, POWER LINK TATHMEEN 10/1 + EX £38.40, 5/2, FUTURISTIC 10/3 + EX £24.90, DIZZY G 11/2, CENT FLYING 6/1, ROAYL BIRTH 8/1, CARLOVIAN 12/1, LETHAL ANGEL 3/1 + EX £15.20, ARCHIMEDES 7/1, BASHIBA 15/2, DESERT FOX 9/2, MERRY BANTER 5/1 + FC 34.07, ARCHIMEDES 15/2, GREEN POWER 4/1, BIG TIME MAYBE 13/8, SWEET PURSUIT 11/1, CENT FLYING 8/1 + EX £39, ENTHAAR 9/2 + CSF £20.63, INGELBY MOLLY 25/1, MOVE IN TIME 13/2, MR ORANGE 8/1, DARING GUEST 15/2, BATTASH 1/4, HAMSHON 5/2, DANDY'S BEANO 6/4 + ex £3, TEXTING 3/1 + EX £18.40,BOUDICA BAY 9/2, GRANDFATHER TOM 11/2, MOUNTAIN PEAK 6/1, NINJAGO 4/1, TARNHELM 13/2, ONLY SPOOFING 7/2, STAXTON 15/2, DAPPER MAN 4/1, CUPPACOCO 10/1, TROPICS 41, JORDAN ELECTRICS 5/1 + EX £32.40, BLUE POINT 5/2, LORD RIDDIFORD 7/1,GLOBAL SPIRIT 4/1, LIAMBA 7/2, MACHREE 14/1, BILLYOAKES 4/1, FIRMDECISIONS 18/1, ROY'S DREAM 8/1, EAST STREET REVUE 25/1, RED STRIPES 5/1, MAB'S CROSS 6/1, RED INVADER 5/1, SAMOVER 9/1, HIGHLY SPRUNG 4/1,SHAMSHON 4/1, KATHEEFA 7/2, STAR CRACKER 13/2, WALK ON WALTER 2/1,THE ARMED MAN 9/1, KACHY 8/13, TERENTUM STAR 9/1, MYSTICAL MOON 14/1, OUR PLACE IN LOULE 5/1,GOWANBUTER 4/1, SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE 3/1, WARRIOR VALEEY 5/1, TAVENER 8/1, CROSSE FIRE 5/1, PEACHEY CARNEHAN 16/1, TATHMEEN 12/1 + EX £110.40, POINT ZERO 7/2, MERHOOB 10/1, SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE 6/1, EQUIANO SPRINGS 6/1, IT'S ALL A JOKE 4/1 + EX £20.40, EPEIUS 9/2, AGEUROOO 4/1, JOEGOGO 3/1, SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 15/2 + EX £42.20, GORGEOUS NOORA 5/2, DANDY HIGHWAYMAN 11/1, ANOTHER ANGEL 5/1, SANTAFIORA 6/1, ALASKAN BAY 6/1 + EX £11.80 + TRI £83.70, DOCTOR SARDONICUS 15/2 + EX £55.30, TURANGA LEELA 9/1, CUBAN PRINCE 9/1, THE RIGHT CHOICE 5/1, POPPY MAY 12/1, COMMANDER KIRKUP 5/1 + EX £15.50 + TRI £55.90, CAPTAIN LARS 6/1, WALK ON WALTER 9/2, OUTRAGE 8/1, ARZAAK 14/1, DEEDS NOT WORDS 3/1 + EX £20.30 + TRIFECTA £53.70, PIAZON 8/1, THE LACEMAKER 100/30 + WALK ON WALTER 16/1 + £43.75 F/C


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Monday, 1 April 2019

7:45 Newcastle Winning Racing Tips (1st April)

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

ATHOLLBLAIR BOY (81cd18-66CD19) likes to track the leaders has been running consistently well but maybe in the grips of the handicapper, so maybe only a place again. 

CHOOKIE DUNEDIN (STcd-68dS) races prominently and is held by the horse above and may prefer a slower surface.

MARITINEO (NoCDForm-91dW) hasn't run here before but its Wolver time this year would make it 3rd top rated. 

CLASSIC PURSUIT (PoorRecentForm) hasn't shown much good form this year and maybe needs a slower surface but has been known to lead before. 

PADDY POWER (No-AWForm) hasn't any AW form at this distance and looks as though further would suit it better.

MANSHOOD (NoSurfaceDistanceForm) runs on well over 5 furlongs so could be a bit of a hidden danger at this distance. 

CHOICE ENCOUNTER (NoSurfaceDistanceForm) this one's best form is over the shorter distances so could fade here. INAAM (NoSurfaceDistanceForm-77dL) it's Lingfield time doesn't put it in my top 4, should be trying to stay on at the finish at this distance. 

INVIOLABLE SPIRIT (NoForm) may need this run for fitness and when fit a longer trip may suit it better.

EPEIUS (96cd18-90CD19) stays on strongly at this distance and its last run over 5 furlongs can be ignored and my original top rated. 

LUCKY LODGE (94cd18-89CD19) usually tracks the leaders and its 7lb claiming apprentice could move it to the top spot.

MUTABAAHY (76cd18) hasn't shown much in 3 runs this year but 4th best using its best time from 2018 and usually tracks the pace.

DIRCHILL (72CD19) one of only 2 known front runners in the race but only 5th best on my figures but could possibly make the frame if allowed to set its own pace and then kick. 

DUKE COSIMO (64CD19) isnt in my top 4 and this class maybe too much for it. 

SUMMARY: Quite a nice handicap with 14lb’s between top and bottom and 4 of my top 6 ratings are in the bottom 5 in this handicap but they all look better horses in a class lower than this class 4 race but i will have to go against the class factor and back EPEIUS 12/1 who is my original top rated and its 2 recent runs says it deserves the right to have a crack at this higher class, the trainers 20% win rate here and the jockeys 24% win rate for this stable are hopefully pointers that connections are expecting a big run here, Manshood could be dangerous if staying the distance but may need a slower early pace to get home, i will also be backing MARTINEO 3/1 in the race, this one has won its last 2 races and may have been found a decent chance again here, it has a decent 3-18 for the trainer at this course and the jockey has only ridden once before for the stable and won so it looks a significant booking.