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Wednesday, 1 May 2019

12:00 Southwell Racing Tips (1st May)

Southwell racecourse tips

Quite a poor race on this unique all-weather surface and my stakes certainly won't be at full strength, Boudica Bay could be a bit of a hidden danger but the 2 horses I will be backing are BAHANGO 7/2 who is on a losing run of 10 and RED INVADER 9/4 who won last time out, they are both capable of setting the pace if needs be and they are drawn either side of the course so if either side is faster going I've got it covered with the 2 bets. 

Red Invader 5/1 1st 
Bahango 13/2 6th


Only 8 runners and 5 of them could win the race, Marietta Robusti could be a bit of a hidden danger but hasn't any course form, Honey Gg is a possible front runner and my 4th top rated but not far off the top rated and its best time was recorded this year which is the same for POINT ZERO 10/1 and this one's apprentices allowance gives ita decent chance even though only 3rd top rated, Global Melody is 2nd top rated but its best time is from 2018 so im not sure if its primed for this race, I've got SAMOVAR 9/1 as my top-rated although it is using a 2018 time it has done some decent work recently, any of my top 4 ratings could win so my stakes will be kept low. 

Samovar 9/1 1st 
Point Zero 10/1 3rd 


Down to 6 runners here and I still can't narrow it down any lower than 2 selections, I've got HIGHLYSPRUNG 7/2 as my top-rated using a 2018 time, it is the only known front runner in the field and if fully wound up it could prove hard to catch and will be my main selection in this race but the jockey booking on my 2nd top rated MR ORANGE 7/2 looks a positive move so I can't let this one go without at least a covering bet on it just as some insurance. 

Highly Sprung 4/1 1st 
Mr Orange 7/2 3rd

ASCOT 5.00

A little unusual that the top 4 in a class 4 handicap are my top rated, there's 2 known front runners in the race and Glamorous Rocket is one of them and my 5th top rated so will most likely be setting the race up for a finishing type, I've got Tomily and Leo Minor as my joint 3rd top rated and they both like to track the leaders as does Iconic Knight my 2nd top rated, top on my figures is RIO RONALDO 14/1 and this one can track the leaders but can also be held up if there's too many battling for space near the front of the field which could be in its favour in the make-up of this race, the biggest drawback to this race is the lack of form pertaining to this year so my stakes will be kept low. 

Rio Ronaldo 33/1 Unp


The 2 at the bottom of the handicap are well weighted on their best times so both One Boy and Foxtrot Knight could go well and they both like to track the leaders although the latter wouldn't want the going to be too fast, NIBRAS AGAIN 5/1 is my 2nd top rated and is its favour is the fact that it did that time last time out when finishing 2nd, I have got MUSHARRIF 7/1 rated 4lbs higher but that's using a 2018 time but it did show a hint at hitting form when finishing 4th on its last run and I will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Musharrif 7/1 4th 
Nibras Again 5/1 8th


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