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Tuesday, 30 April 2019

1:50 Brighton Racing Tips (30th April)

BRIGHTON 1.50 

Only 7 runners and all of them have some degree of a chance and I've got very little timewise between, Little Boy Blue, Jack Taylor, Crystal Deauville and Tan but the other 3 look to have slightly better chances of winning, Harry Hurricane is 3rd top rated but is on a 23 run losing streak and would need to bounce back to form, SHAMSHON 2/1 comes out top using a c/d time from 2018 and this hold up type will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and could prosper if the leaders go off too fast but im hoping that ARZAAK 9/1 can get to the front here and lead all the way but its best time did come from 2017, this will be its 1st run of the year on turf so I will have 2 smallish bets in the race. 

Shamshon 4/1 1st
Arzaak 12/1 6th

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

Back to the lovely all-weather racing, 8 runners over 6 furlongs with just one known frontrunner in the race, Russian Realm will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish but maybe not fast enough to win, Scots Sonnet hasn't any distance form and looks as though this distance will be too short for it to show its best, Lucky Lodge is top rated on its time from this year but could go faster as its done a time 4lbs faster in 2018, I Know How hasn't run on the aw before but im not sure this surface will suit its style, Gowanbuster could set the pace and it's my 2nd top rated so could prove hard to catch if getting to the front, Gunmaker is on a losing run of 12 and may prefer a longer trip so may stay on late to no avail, Avenue Of Stars comes out 3rd top using its 2018 time and usually likes to track the leaders, Camanche Grey has poor recent form, is 0-18 on the aw tracks and looks better over a shorter trip. Conclusion:- I think Gowanbuster 6/5 will set the pace in this race and that could see it holding most if not all of these at bay but the price is poor and I do have LUCKY LODGE 6/1 with a faster time and I thought it would be much shorter in price so get on quick.

Lucky Lodge 6/1 3rd

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