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Saturday, 20 April 2019

2:00 Kempton Racing Tips (20th April)

Tomily Race Horse

As I would expect 4 of the 9 runners here have been known to lead before and of those 4 Outrage is my 3rd top rated and from stall 3 could gain control of the rails so the pace should be genuine, Udontdodou hasn't any c/d form to work with but its best time from Chelmsford would make it my 2nd top rated but my top rated is TOMILY 12/1 who did record its best time at this c/d in 2018 and there lies the question of whether it will need this run for fitness on its 1st race of 2019, it likes to track the early pacesetters and has the plum draw in stall 1 so if fully fit should be able to sit on the rails just behind the leader ready to pounce, which means my stakes won't be at full strength but it may be worth a small each way bet at the price. 

Tomily 10/1 7th


Another race where my stakes will be kept on the low side, 4th top rated is Harome who is 1 of 6 runners in the race that likes to lead so could go well here, MOKAATIL 9/1 won last time out but in a relatively slow time but if I go back to its best time in 2017 it comes out top rated and the apprentices 5lb claim moves it further clear, my dilemma is with my 2nd, LINE OF REASON 16/1, and 3rd, FINAL VENTURE 9/1, top-rated horses as they come from the same stable and are drawn on either side of the filed in stalls 5 and 17, I will go with backing Mokaatil and then the same stake split between the other 2 and I can back all 3 of them each way. 

Final Venture 10/1 2nd
Mokaatil 10/1 3rd
Line Of Reason 16/1 5th


Hopefully this race will run to form and I can gain a clearer picture, Global Tango who won last time out is my 4th top rated so we know its in good form at the moment, Treacherous is well weighted and comes out 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders as does my 2nd top rated Indian Tygress so they should be trying to stay on strongly at the finish but my money will be riding on NAADIRR 12/1 who is one of two known front runners in the race and from stall 3 it should be able to either lead or at least contest the lead and then prove hard to catch and another race where I can back each way.

Naadirr 20/1 7th

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