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Wednesday, 3 April 2019

2:20 Southwell Racing Tips (3rd April) 5f (4f214y) Betway Sprint Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-65)

Southwell raecourse 2019
SOUTHWELL 2.20 

I've got negatives against half of the 8 runners, then the topweight is on a very long losing run and races as though further would suit it better which leaves me with 3 contenders, I've got Honey Gg and Red Stripes as my joint 2nd top rated and they are the 2 known front runners in the race. If one of them is allowed an easy lead they could pinch the race from the front but then again if they do go toe to toe, or hoof to hoof, and then they might go off too fast and play into the hands of PIAZON 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and stay on the stronger, I will most likely look to back my top rated and then 2 smaller covering bets on the 2 front runners to ensure a profit whichever one wins. 

Piazon 8/1 8/1 6th 

SOUTHWELL 2.55 

Down to 7 runners in this race and I can eliminate 3 from my reckoning, Newstead Abbey is one of 2 known frontrunners in this race and its well drawn in stall 2 but it needs to improve timewise to win here, I've got Global Melody rated 82 in 4th top spot, Mr Strutter in 3rd spot rated 83 and Katheefa in 2nd spot rated 85, so as you can see its very close amongst them for making the frame here because im hoping MARBLE BAR 1/1 who is my top rated, can either set the pace or contest the pace here and follow up its win last time out, the price isn't great but I didn't really expect much bigger.

Marble Bar 1/1 3rd