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Monday, 22 April 2019

3:40 Redcar Racing Tips (22nd)

Redcar racecourse
REDCAR 3.40 

Only 7 runners but there's very little between my top 5 ratings, Saluiti is the favourite and over an extra furlong I would probably agree but there's only 1 known front runner in the field so this race may not be run to suit it and at 13/8 I would lay it as its poor value in my opinion. John Kirkup is top rated but hasn't won on its last 17 runs, while my 2nd top rated, Magical Effect is on a 17 times losing run, 3rd top rated is Musica who seems to like these level courses recording its best time at Ayr last year, Seen The Lyte is my 4th top rated and can be held up or track the leaders, the most likely leader here is THE ARMED MAN 9/1 and there looks to be a positive jockey booking as he's got a 22% win record for this stables older horses so it could possibly try to steal this race from the front and looks the value call but my stakes will be on the low side. 

The Armed Man 9/1 1st

WOLVER 4.30 

This looks at 1st glance a right messy looking race but there looks to be plenty of early pace but again theres very little between my top 6 ratings in this race, Kyllukey usually stays on at the finish so may need some luck from stall 11 and in my opinion sure isnt any value at 9/2, Fuel Injection is on a losing run of 11 which puts me off a little, with its 7lb claiming apprentice Zipedeedodah 6/1 moves to top spot although its a possible pacesetter its has 28 losing runs to its name which tempers my confidence in it, Bahango 5/1 from stall 3 could set the pace against the rails and this one 5lb claiming apprentice who is having their 1st ride for this stable would make it very competitve here but the 4 already mentioned are using times from 2017 or 2018 while Captain Ryan did its best time this year which is a bonus but the jockeys 1-15 record for the stable doesnt fill me with confidence, FOXY BOY 8/1 did a time this year which makes it competitive but a time from 2018 is 8lbs higher which would take it to top spot and has to be the one I back in this race.

NR: Foxy Boy 

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