I'm not quite sure what will lead in this race which always presents problems butI'vee found reasons to exclude 4 of the 7 from my list of the potential winner, Shepherds Purse has had 32 runs since its last win which puts me off but it is my 3rd top rated so could go well but thinking again im doubting whether it can win so im down to 2 possibles, DUKE COSIMO 7/1 has the best speed figure from racing on this surface but it was at Kempton this year and the trainer has a good 25% or more win rate at this course, the topweight LUCKY LODGE 7/2 has a time 8lbs higher but it was recorded at Newcastle and this will be its 1st run on this surface, I will go with backing them both.
Lucky Lodge 7/2 6th
Duke Of Cosimo 7/1 7th
KEMPTON 8.15
There are some early paced sorts in this race and im not sure what to expect from Pastfact who could be a bit of a hidden danger on its 1st aw race, but i will concentrate on my top 3 ratings, in 3rd top spot ive got Mother Of Dragons who has had 13 runs since its last win, its best time was recorded at Lingfield and only has a slowish c/d time, JUST AN IDEA 66/1 is my 2nd top rated using its best 2018 time, who is well drawn in stall 1 for a front running sort and could attempt to lead all the way here and the jockey has a 20% win rate for the stable so at the price i will have a small each way wager, OUR MAN IN HAVANA 13/2 is my top rated here, its a versatile type when it comes to its racing tactics and from stall 6 it could get a good early position and then prove the stronger nearing the finish, i will be backing them both to cover the angles.
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