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Thursday, 2 May 2019

1:45 Musselburgh Racing Tips (2nd May)

Musselburgh racecourse

A field of 14 runners over this 5 furlong dash but it is a class 6 race and at this level consistency isnt a given and very often a race I would ignore as a betting opportunity but the speed figures and make up of this race leave me with something I will be betting on if the going is ok, the most likely pacesetter looks like being Angel Eyes from stall 4 but is an 11 run maiden and its best run was finishing 2nd on the aw in a slow run affair, the only other known to lead is Lexington Place 5/1 who comes out joint 4th top on my figures from drawn in stall 14, if getting to the front and setting its own pace it could be dangerous but it does need to spring back to form from a losing run of 11 and theres no value in my opinion at the price offered, next door in stall 13 is my 3rd top rated Twentysvthlancers 10/1 who is capable of going well here and could get a good tow into the race and might be worth a small each way bet at the price, the bottomweight Thornaby Princess is on a losing run of 29 but is my other joint 4th top rated so another that would need to bounce back to form but not for me in this race, ive got Kodimoor 14/1 as my top rated but may need some luck from stall 10 for a horse that likes to track the leaders but as usual with my top rated I will back it to some degree but its only 2lb above my 2nd top rated so any trouble would easily negate that 2lbs advantage, the safest option could be FOXY BOY 10/1

Foxy Boy 10/1 Unp 


A maximum field of 14 here over 6 furlongs and only one known front running type in the race so the whole race can be analysed around Nautical Haven who is also my 2nd top rated in the race and stall 5 should be fine in the make-up of this race, its best time came form 2017 while its best from 2018 was 12lb’s lower it could be dangerous if bouncing back to form and as my top i will have a cover bet on it just incase it reproduces its best time and can steal the race from the front, Time To Reason may have the race run to suit its style as it doesnt want a fast early pace so could go well, Admiral Rooke is in fine form lately but this distance does stretch its stamina especially if theres a fast pace so this race may suit it and could feasibly make the frame, Charlie Alpha is capable of doing a fast time and comes out top rated on my figures but it requires a fast pace to aim at and its still a maiden after 14 runs which doesnt inspire me with confidence but 2 of those runs over this c/d has seen it beaten in photo finishes, so I will have some sort of bet on it, Mystical Moon won over c/d and then followed up at Wolverhampton, then ran poorly on turf and switched back to the aw here and with a positive jockey booking has to be considered, I will go with dutching 3 runners in the race with each way wagers,  16/1 because its my 2nd top rated and could possibly lead all the way or at least try to, CHARLIE ALPHA 50/1 as its my top rated and my 3rd top rated MYSTICAL MOON 8/1 as its won over c/d recently and has a positive jockey booking.

Mystical Moon 16/1 5th 
Charlie Alpha 50/1 Unp

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