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Monday, 6 May 2019

2:00 Windsor Racing Tips (6th May)

Windsor horse racing

There's 2 known front runners in the race and they are my 5th and 6th top rated so should be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace, Real Estate is my 4th top rated and likes to track the leaders, topweight Born To Finish is 3rd top on my figures and usually stays on strongly at this distance as though further might suit it better, Spot Lite doesn't want the going to be too fast so should be ok here and comes out 2nd top rated but like the rest all the times were recorded in 2018 which isn't ideal, my money will be riding on my top-rated PORTO FERRO 10/3 who also likes to track the pacesetters and then stay on the stronger and the trainer does have a decent 15% win rate in apprentice handicaps. 

Porto Ferro 7/2 9th 


Bit of a mixed up race with only DIAMOND LADY 5/1 known as a frontrunner and I will have a covering bet on it just in case it can pinch the race from the front, it comes out 3rd top on all speed figures but top rated using 2019 times only so could be dangerous from the front, Harrys Bar and Delilah Park come into the reckoning using their best aw times but whether they can convert that to turf im not sure and I prefer to stick with the proven, Bahamian Sunrise is well weighted timewise and doesn't want really fast going, my top rated also doesn't want the really fast going but ENGLISHMAN 25/1 may not need to worry about the going here and will be an each way bet in the race as I think the price is bigger than it should be but maybe the bookies know something I don't but its worth the risk at the price you don't need to hit many big priced winners to make it worthwhile long term. 

Diamond Lady 7/1 5th
Englishman 25/1 Unp

BATH 5.10 

This is quite close at the top on my speed figures, Davids Beauty 5th top rated on 75, Spanish Star and Tallys Song joint 3rd top on 76, the topweight CORONATION COTTAGE 13/8 is 2nd top on 77 but that was recorded this year which is a bonus and won last time out but I do think the price is too short to be of value but if drifting to more than 2/1 I would then think about backing it, my top rated is FETHIYE BOY 7/1 on 79 but its losing run of 10 is a little off-putting and I was hoping for a bigger each way price but a winners a winner.

Coronation Cottage 9/4 7th
Fethiye Boy 7/1 Unp

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