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Saturday, 18 May 2019

2:45 Thirsk Racing Tips (18th May)

THIRSK 2.45 

Rather unusual for a 5 furlong dash that's there's on 2 known front running types in the field of 17 but both are drawn high which is the favoured draw but neither are in my top 5 ratings so will most likely be setting the race up for one of the finishers, Lathom and Burmese Blazer can record fast times but usually in slightly lower class races but could make the frame, Excessable comes out 3rd best but stall 1 isn't ideal and will need some luck from such a low draw as will my 2nd top rated Duke Of Firenze who is in stall 5 and this ones 24 times raced losing run is off-putting plus it doesn't like really fast ground, my top rated is BASHIBA 10/1 who isn't ideally berthed in stall 9 and is on a 13 race losing run so any stakes in this race will be kept low in an each way bet. 

Bashiba 10/1 12/1 Unp 

THIRSK 3.55 

In this 16 runner affair I've got ORION'S BOW 10/1 as my 4th top rated and in my opinion it could be the one to set the pace and stall 13 looks ideal, I think it could do enough to make the frame but not sure if it could hold on for the win but I will have a wager of some degree just in case it does lead all the way, Confessional has a good time recorded at Haydock and may find this trip too far on this course, Muscika is my 2nd top rated and usually stays on at the finish but again I'm not sure this undulating course will suit it, my top rated is JAWWAAL 9/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and in the make-up of this race stall 15 ought to be ideal for it to get a good tow into the race from which to attack close home but I will be going with 2 bets to cover both angles. 

Orion's Bow 16/1 Unp
Jawwaal 9/2 Unp


There's no known front runners in this race which is always a problem, Harry Hurricane comes out 3rd top using a 2018 time but its been 26 races since this one has won but it could feasibly make the frame, in 2nd top spot I've got Equimou who recorded its best time again last year but it was at Haydock so I'm not sure if this undulating course will suit it as well but my top rated recorded its best time at Salisbury so this course shouldn't hold any fears for RIO RONALDO 16/1 and the jockey booked here has a decent 17% win ratio for this stables older horses so I'm hoping that's an omen for my chances in this race but with such a big price it has to be an each way wager. 

Rio Ronaldo 16/1 3rd 


A big field of 18 makes analysis a lot harder and even looking at my top 6 ratings 5 of them have negatives against their names which points to them not performing to their best at this course and conditions on the day, Prestbury Park is my top-rated but this possible pacesetter is on a losing run of 17 which puts me off but it could easily spring back to winning ways as could many on losing runs, Bahamian Sunrise doesn't want really fast good to firm going and is on a 13 race losing run, Blazed likes to stay on strongly at the finish but has a 10 race losing run to overcome, Lucky Beggar actually won last time out but the trainer has a 0-41 record at this course, maybe the safest option is to side with ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 15/2 but stall 1 might not be ideal and most of the early pace is drawn high, I will probably dutch this race to varying stakes to cover the 5 I've mentioned maybe with the highest stakes on my selection and my top-rated horse.

Athollblair Boy 14/1 4th 

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