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Wednesday, 15 May 2019

3:00 York Racing Tips (15th May)

YORK 3.00 

A Group 2 race here with 10 runners, the early pace may be set by those drawn low with Yafta in stall 1 and Ornate in stall 2 both front running types, as usual with top class sprints theres a lot of mixed formlines to muddy the waters and to be honest ive only narrowed it down to 4 that I think look the most likely winner and theres very little between the 4 of them on my speed figures so working down the card, LIMATO 7/1 can be held up or track the leaders, it s drawn in stall 9 but I doubt the draw will matter too much in this race the trainer has a good 19% win rate here and the jockey has a 26% win rate for this stable, BRANDO 5/1 has a decent time recorded every year since 2017 and ought to go well in this race, one ive already mentioned in ORNATE 66/1 who could be very hard to catch from the front as long as it doesnt go off too fast and then fade nearing the finish and for a top class course the trainer has a decent 15% win rate at York, the fourth horse im looking at is PROJECTION 10/1 who is drawn in stall 10 but this trainer also has a 15% win rate here with its older horses, I will be looking to dutch the four I put in capital letters. 

Limato 7/1 4th 
Brando 7/1 7th 
Ornate 66/1 9th 
Projection 12/1 Unp 

BATH 5.55 

A ten runner race over 5 furlongs 160 yards which is a strange distance and one I do sometimes find hard to work out whether you need a strong finishing 5 furlong horse a weak finisher over 6 furlongs but luckily my top rated in this race recorded its time over this c/d, Babyfact would be on my shortlist if this race was taking place in 2016 and 2017 and its recent form has been way short of then, theres a couple of known front runners in the race, Exceeding Diva who is my 3rd top rated but that is using a 2017 time from Salisbury so im not sure if itcan repeat its best again but it would actually need to improve or others falter for it to win this race, the topweight ROY'S DREAM 8/1 is the other possible pace setter and my 2nd top rated using a 2018 time recorded at Carlisle and if allowed to set its own pace it could pinch the race from the front but my top rated is Powerful Dream 3/1 who will be trying to stay on at the finish but isnt any value at the price, none of the runners has done a fast time this year so it is all a bit of a guess so my stakes won't be at full power.

Roy's Dream 8/1 1st 

See Eric's Secret Tips 

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