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Saturday, 1 June 2019

3:45 Epsom Racing Tips (1st June)

Winning Racing Tips
EPSOM 3.45 

A huge field of 20 runners makes most sprints very hard to analyse to a satisfactory conclusion and in this 5 furlong dash im hoping the trend of those drawn high having an advantage comes to the fore but my stakes sure won't be at full power and there will be better betting opportunities elsewhere if not today then in races to come, there does look to be 6 possible front runners drawn in double figure stalls and only 2 in single figure stalls, my top 3 ratings are all drawn high Open Wide stall 11 is my 3rd top rated but its time was from Salisbury last year, an old favourite of mine in the shape of MUTHMIR 12/1 comes out 2nd best coming out of stall 16 this will be its 1st run of the year which isnt ideal but it has won before after a break and doesnt want really fast ground so im hoping the going will be ideal, my top rated is DUKE OF FIRENZE 9/1 who is drawn even better in stall 19 which could be ideal for this hold up type who has won its last 2 races so is in the form of its life but im worried the extra weight for those 2 wins just might find it out especially if the going is more good than good to firm, so I will go with 2 smallish each way bets. 

Muthmir 12/1 5th
Duke Of Firenze 9/1 7th


With 8 runners I think I can split this race into two halves with the bottom four in the handicap looking as though they do better in lower class races than this class 3 affair, Robot Boy is on a losing run of 16 races but is usually staying on at the finish but if the going is good or better then it might stay on too late to win but could possibly do better if there's some cut in the ground, Fairy Falcon is versatile with its racing tactics but is another that might not want the going to be fast, Makanah is my 2nd top rated but its best times have come on level courses so not sure if this undulating course will suit it but my top rated HAWAAM 11/2 recorded its best time at Riponso this course should suit it well, the trainers 15% win ratio with its older horses here and the jockeys 23% win rate for this stable point to connections expecting a big run in this race and will be the one carrying my money as long as the going isn't on the soft side. 

Hawaam 11/2 3rd

EPSOM 5.50 

A field of 16 runners here with 3 known front runners over 6 furlongs, in stalls 8,10 and 12 and the topweight Lake Volta in stall 12 looks to be the likely favourite but im not sure if its in the grip of the handicapper after its win last time out but I certainly wouldnt be looking to lay it as its in proven good form and well drawn, I think ive got 4 runners that I would normally look to lay but I expect they will be too big in price to lay for me, ive got Reputation, poorly drawn in stall 1 and Gabrial The Devil the best drawn in stall 17 as my joint 3rd top rated, Manshood comes out 2nd top but its best time was recorded in a lower class of race, it won last time out so is another in good form but I think it might struggle here, my top rated is ASHPAN SAM 25/1 who is one of the 3 possible pacesetters in the race and in the make up of this race stall 10 might be nearly perfect and I expect it will be an each way price and will be the one I back in this race but again with a big field like this I won't be betting too heavily.

Ashpan Sam 40/1 Unp

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