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Thursday, 23 May 2019

4:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (23rd May)

Lingfield racecourse

Not a great 7 runner class 6 race where I think Javelin might be the favourite but this one might be better over further and with only Exceedingly Diva known to front run before the pace might not be run to suit it and this one my 2nd top rated so if getting an easy lead it could be hard to catch but I do have PORTO FERRO 6/1 a good few spots ahead, it will need to spring back to form but it will be the one carrying my money. 

Porto Ferro 6/1 7th  


There's only 2 of the 10 runners that I can dismiss and would look to lay, Harrogate prefers really fast going but even then doesnt feature in my top 3 with its best time from way back in 2017 but could do best of the possible pace setters but I have got 3 rated higher and anyone of them could win this race, JACK TAYLOR 13/2 is 3rd best on times but has good trainer/jockey stats but its time was from 2018 but had a run 23 days ago over five and a half furlongs at Brighton where it led until tiring close home to finish 4th beaten by 3 lengths but it doesnt usually lead and that now looks as though they were out to blow the cobwebs away and has to be considered as possibly winning the race and the apprentice jockey does well for the stable, GRANDFATHER TOM 7/2 and WIFF WAFF 7/2 are my joint top rated the former won last time out and is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice which could tip things in its favour although im not sure if its definite positive or negative, the latter is being ridden by a top class jockey but this horse does seem to be hard to win with although it runs a decent race every time it runs and its last win was 10 runs ago, I will dutch all 3 in this race but maybe favouring the Richard Hughes trained horse. 

Jack Taylor 13/2 4th 
Grandfather Tom 9/1 5th
Wiff Waff 9/1 8th 


A bit of a messy looking race especially when there aren't any known frontrunners in the field of 11 and I've narrowed it down to 4 and dutching them might be the way to go but my stakes won't be at full power, NATIONAL GLORY 9/1 comes out 4th but is on a losing run of 13, while RED TYCOON 16/1 hasn't won for 10 attempts and it doesn't have good trainer/jockey stats but it still comes out 2nd best, REAL ESTATE 4/1 won its last race and has been found a chance to follow it up here but the trainer has a poor 1-39 win rate here but the jockey is 2-2 for this stable so that looks a positive move, my top rated SPANISH STAR 13/2 also won its last race and the jockey is 1-2 for the stables older horses, I will dutch this race with the 2 that won last time out as my main bets and more like 2 covering bets on the other 2 horses mentioned. 

Spanish Star 13/2 2nd
National Glory 10/1 3rd
Real Estate 4/1 5th
Red Tycoon 16/1 Unp 


Saving the best till last and this looks a decent class 6 all-weather race with 11 runners and only Royal Mezyan known as a front runner and it comes out 3rd best using a time from 2017 so it could go well if allowed an easy lead, others that could feasibly go well are Midnight Guest, Always Amazing, Alaskan Bay and possibly Flying Fox but the 2 I will be backing are, PRECIOUS PLUM 7/2 and KYLLUKEY 5/1, they are both from the stable of Charlie Wallis who has a 15% win ratio here with his older horses, both have good jockey bookings with 22 and 19 percent wins for the stable and I've only got 1lb between them so it looks like the stable are hoping to win this race but with which one I haven't got a clue.

Precious Plum 5/1 1st 
Kyllukey 5/1 Unp 

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