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Wednesday, 22 May 2019

Ayr Racing Tips (22nd May)

Ayr racecourse free horse racing tips
AYR 2.30 

NINJAGO actually comes out joint top rated but it's on a losing run of 21 and its 3 runs this year have been quite poor so not for me in this race but it is so poor it could possibly make the frame. 

RED CYMBAL has only slow times over this distance and maybe doesn't want them going to be on the fast side of things and hasn't won in its last 12 races. 

JESSIE ALLAN my joint 3rd top rated on a 2017 time, it is 10 runs since its last win but the jockeys 1-36 record for the stable puts me off but could feasibly make the frame. 

HAVANA GO a 10 run maiden that looks, via its slow times, as though a longer trip might suit it better than this easy 6 furlongs so I would lay it if of any value. 

RAFFLE KING this one has had 22 runs without finding the winners enclosure and pouring over its form it looks better over the shorter distance so another I would look to lay.

MR SHELBY the other joint 3rd top rated and it did its best time last year over this course and distance which is positive so could easily make the frame but hasn't won in its last 14 runs. 

CUPID'S ARROW has only produced slow times over this distance and that's mainly down to the fact that it seems more at home with some cut in the going, so not for me here. 

THE BULL hasn't run over this distance on grass before but I'm of the opinion that this distance will prove to be too short for it so another to maybe lay. 

TADAANY this one looks as though it prefers some cut in the going as it has only produced slow times at this distance and it would maybe be better over a longer trip. 

TAI SING YEH won its maiden on its 2nd start and hasn't won in 18 attempts since then and its another that may do better when racing over further than here. 

LOULIN is a 4-year-old who has only had 11 races but hasn't won one of them but the best of its form seems to be over a shorter distance so not for me in this race. 

STAR CRACKER won last time out at Newcastle where it led all the way on the Tapeta surface and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here back on the grass. 

BRENDAN has won on an all-weather surface but over 5 furlongs while its 0-19 record on turf looks poor, so maybe better at shorter and a different surface so another I could lay. 

RACQUET has a time from 2016 that would make it my 3rd top rated but its shown nothing of that calibre since and I can't see why that will change in this race, so another to lay. 

JOEY BOY an 8 run maiden 3-year-old who finished 2nd once over 5 furlongs in slow time on the Tapeta surface and its turf form is quite poor I cannot fancy its chances here. 

THORNTOUN LADY has been in poor form recently and its 15 races since it last won and it's another that looks better over a shorter distance but I couldn't back or lay this one confidently. 

FIRSTEEN a three-year-old who has been placed 3 times but all in slow run races and may do better in time over a longer trip. 

SUMMARY: Quite a poor class 6 race with 17 runners but several of them can easily be discarded leaving some that have shown a glimmer of hope, Thorntoun Lady and The Bull could improve on what they have shown so far as could the two 3-year-olds but I'm hoping none of them improves in this race, I think Jessie Allan, Mr Shelby and Racquet could battle to make the frame but I have got joint top rated horses in Ninjago and Star Cracker but the formers 21 runs losing streak and not any indication of it coming back to form puts me off so my money will be riding on STAR CRACKER 7/1 who won last time and has been found a chance to follow up here.

Star Cracker 25/1 6th 

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