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Thursday, 20 June 2019

5:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th June)

Don't bet like a zombie (Eric Winner)LINGFIELD 5.50 

A smile comes across my face to see a nice all-weather handicap but this 12 runner race isn't easy to analyse to a final conclusion, Papa Delta my 4th top rated can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but there might not be too much here and it could make the frame, Daring Guest is my 3rd top rated and this one races as though further would suit it better so could stay on to make the frame, TAVENER 6/1 is only 2nd best but its the only known one in the race to lead before and from stall 1 this one could attempt to lead all the way here and could pinch the race from the front, my top rated though is RED TYCOON 14/1 but this ones trainers poor record of 1-39 is a little off-putting but then the appointment of Adam Kirby for his 1st ride for the stable looks as though it may indicate that connections are expecting a big run here and i will be backing the 2 selections to cover both angles. 

Red Tycoon 14/1 2nd 
Tavener 8/1 6th


I'm hoping this race is where my analysis of the make-up of this race finds my selection being a bigger price because of its draw with 4 front running sorts in this race, Roundabout Magic the topweight actually comes out 2nd top rated on my original figures but eventually drops to 4th top and the jockeys poor 1-45 strike-rate for the stables older horses is off-putting, Hurrican Alert is drawn widest of all which wont help its cause but with its 7lb claiming apprentice it comes out 3rd best on my figures, Pharoh Jake is also being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice which moves it to 2nd top spot, if going back to 2017 times then Come On Dave would enter the mix but recent times leave it a few pounds short, stall 5 isnt usually ideal but in this race ASK THE GURU 16/1 could be able to gain control of the rails from that draw and then hopefully kick on off the bend and get back to winning ways but admittedly its not a race to be betting too heavily in so im hoping my selection will show a profit with an each way wager.

Ask The Guru 25/1 Unp

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