CHELMSFORD 6.00
GOODNIGHT GIRL has only run once over this c/d but is carrying a lot of weight for that time but it does have good trainer/jockey stats so this possible pacesetter could go well here but isn't much value at 2/1.
GIOGIOBBO another that has been known to lead but timewise it's not in my top 3 and the trainers poor 1-22 record here is off-putting so I would lay it at 10/1.
COUNT OTTO comes out 2nd best on my figures and its record on all-weather tracks is 3-6 so has to be considered as a possible winner and 13/2 is value in my opinion and if there were 3 places up for grabs I would back this one each way.
MOON TROUBLE got the plum draw for a possible frontrunner but would need to improve a little to lead all the way here but the jockeys do ok for this stable but I'm of the opinion that it's a bit too short at 5/2.
STEELRIVER has been in cracking form recently but hasn't produced anything of note over this c/d before so not for me in this race and one I would lay at 15/2.
ZAC BROWN another possible pacesetting sort who comes out top rated on my figures and if getting to the front it could prove very hard to catch, I'm surprised its a 16/1 shot and would definitely be my each way bet with 3 places.
FIELD GUN is my 3rd top rated horse and has decent trainer stats, the jockey is 2-4 for rides for this stable so a positive pointer and could go well and at 7/1 it could have been an each way bet with an extra runner.
SUMMARY: Only 7 runners but 4 that have been known to lead before, the only one I can discount completely at this course is Steelriver the rest all have some chance of winning or at least running well, with only 2 places up for grabs each way bets are basically a waste of money so I will go with ZAC BROWN 16/1 and hope it can get to the front here and if doing so could prove hard to catch but its not a race to be betting too heavily in but I will definitely be having a bet at the price available.
Zac Brown 16/1 3rd
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