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Wednesday, 3 July 2019

4:40 Thirsk Racing Tips (3rd July)

Thirsk horse racing tips
THIRSK 4.40 

A nice looking 9 runner affair and just 3 i doubt having virtually no chance of winning and another that would need to improve its times to get involved, Pipers Note and Dark Defender would need to improve on their times from this year but the latter is 2nd top rated on its best 2018 time but the topweight Wentworth Falls is joint top rated using just 2019 figures but only 4th top on all figures, it is on a 15 race losing run which worries me a little, top-rated but using a 2018 time is MUSCIKA 7/1 so has to be considered as the possible winner and i will be backing it along with the bottom weight THE ARMED MAN 10/1 who is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice who has a good record for this stable and the trainer does well at this course so both positive pointers and then add on the fact that its the only known front running type in the race it could possibly lead all the way. 


Not the greatest class 5 apprentice jockeys race and I will mention my top 4 ratings, Hollander is 4th top rated despite struggling to stay this far in a fast run race, Black Truffle can do fast times but usually in lower class affairs which leaves me with 2 possibles, DUTIFUL SON 33/1 has got the highest speed figure using c/d times so has to carry some of my money especially at such a big price, while BROGAN'S BAY 9/2 could be the winner if it can duplicate its Lingfield time to this course which has the same surface but they run the opposite way round and this one is in good form having won last time out and its a front runner, I will go with backing them both to cover the angles. BATH 6.10 Most of the runners in this race have either negatives or slow times with only 4 with recorded times, Pastfact is 4th top one spot behind Storm Melody both with their times recorded in 2018, Burauq comes out 2nd best but that's using a 2017 time and I'm not sure if I could rely on any of them repeating their best but at least JAGANORY 8/1 my top rated did record its time this year at this c/d, I will back it but there's no consistency at this level so my stakes will be kept low. 

BATH 6.40 

Not a race I will be betting in too heavily, the two 3-year-olds could be the ones to set the pace here and Mutawaffer is my 4th top rated but could do enough to at least make the frame, JACK TAYLOR 7/1 is my joint 2nd top rated along with POWERFUL DREAM 7/1 but the latter has a time from 2018 that would make it top rated while I've got DELEGATE THIS LORD 12/1 just 2lbs ahead of the 2nd placed horses but its time was recorded last year, I will go with backing all 3 to cover the angles but the betting could sway me to how I spread my bet in the race. 

BATH 9.10

I will have to go with dutching 3 in this race, SWENDAB 25/1 who is capable of leading all the way if in the right mood, SHACKLED N DRAWN 12/1 is my top rated if I go back to its best 2017 time and is on a losing run of 21 which doesn't inspire me much, I will also back SWEET FORGET ME NOT 4/1 a 3-year-old who will be staying on strongly at the finish and will be my main bet but I will back the other 2 as well because they are capable of upsetting the applecart on a going day.

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