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Saturday 8 August 2020

1:55 Thirsk Racing Tips & Lay Bets (9th August)

THIRSK 1.55 

As usual, I hope all 8 runners take part as I do like a big priced selection, I will look to lay half the field, (Spartan Fighter + Mighty Spirit + Duke Of Firenze + Autumn Flight) I've got Watchable as my 3rd top-rated and ran well finishing 2nd last time out when beaten in a photo, my 2nd top-rated is Venturous doesn't seem to like the really fast ground but is still capable of producing a fast time but I will be backing INDIAN SOUNDS 3/1 who is my top rated and the trainer has a decent 16% win ratio at this course. 

Indian Sounds 4/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Spartan Fighter +1pt, Mighty Spirit +1pt, Duke Of Firenze +1pt, Autumn Flight +1pt

Total: +3pts


There are quite a few runners that are relatively lightly raced and I can see 4 that I would like to lay (Garth Rockett + Outer Space + Impart + Tigerinmytank) but not too big stakes, my 3rd top-rated is Cool Strutter but the trainers 1-32 record at this track puts me off but it could still make the frame, I will be backing 2 in this race to cover the angles, UNDER CURFEW 4/1 is my 2nd top-rated but it has a hopefully significant jockey booking and will be trying to stay on at the finish while the bottom weight *PORTO FERRO 6/1 is a frontrunning type but here is taking on slightly better horses so I will back them both. 

* NR

Under Curfew 4/1 2nd (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Garth Rockett +1pt, Outer Space +1pt, Impart +1pt, Tigerinmytank +1pt

Total: +3pts


Only 7 to analyse in this race and I could lay 3 of them (Well Done Fox + Tone The Barone + Encore D’or) I am not really sure what to expect from the 3yo Mr. Kiki as it doesn't have any distance form, the bottom weight Poets Dance is a 3yo which I thought might still be able to improve and its already my 2nd top-rated but the trainers 0-11 record at this course makes me think they will be aiming for another target in the future so I will be backing KONCHEK who is my top rated and one of 2 in this race that has led before and if getting to the front should be hard to catch. 

Konchek 4/1 1st (+4pts) Betfair SP (5.4)

Lay bets: Well Done Fox +1pt, Tone The Barone +1pt, Encore D'Or +1pt 

Total: +7pts


I will start with the 4 horses I will look to lay, (Another Batt + Aberama Gold + Presidential + East Street Revue) Abate and Swissterious are my joint 3rd top-rated on just 2020 times but 4th best overall so could go well, Royal Prospect comes out 3rd best overall using a 2019 speed figure, I've got BOSSIPOP 8/1 as my top rated on just 2020 times and I think it might be the one to set the pace in this race but that is enough to beat all the others barring MUSCIKA 10/1 who recorded the 2nd best 2020 time but has a time from 2019 that would see it winning but I will back them both to cover the angles.

Bossipop 10/1 2nd (-1pt)
Muscika 10/1 Unp (-1pt)

Lay bets: Another Batt (-22pts) Betfair SP (26.83), Aberama +1pt, Presidential +1pt, East Street Revue +1pt 

Total: -21pts 

Total on the day: -8pts

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