LINGFIELD 3.05
A nice class 2 race but on paper the favourite looks a good thing, there's 3 horses that have been known to lead before but none of them is in my top 4 ratings, my joint 3rd top ratings both can struggle to stay the trip if there's a fast early pace so this race might not be run to suit Stone Of Destiny and Encore D’Or, sitting in 2nd spot is George Bowen who’s the best time was recorded at Kempton but hasn't any c/d form to work with, I've got KACHY 8/13 rated a few spots clear in this field and looking at the tissue prices it will be a very short-priced favourite and may even be odds on, its even shorter than I hoped so maybe each way bet is the way to go so I will go with backing George Bowen 12/1 each way and may also have an f/c bet with the favourite.
NEWCASTLE 4.55
This aw race is hard to narrow down to a single selection, at least with 3 known frontrunners in the race it should be run at a true pace, Tathmeen is my 3rd top rated and usually stays on strongly at the finish over this distance but in this race may be too late to win but could make the frame with a clear run, ANOTHER ANGEL 8/1 is one of the 3 front runners in the race and its 7lb claiming apprentice moves it into 2nd top spot and could steal the race from the front and the apprentice does have a decent 15% win rate for this stable, the only one that could catch the leader/s is DYNAMO WALT 16/1 who is a law unto itself whether it does its best or not but I cannot ignore its chances especially as it won this race last year so I will be backing them both each way to cover the angles.
BATH 5.05
Only 10 runners and 4 that have been known to lead and my top 2 are both possible front runners, Secretfact, Delegate This Lord and Powerful Dream could be the ones battling it out to make the frame but it might only be for 3rd place, I've only got 1lb between WASEEM FARIS 20/1 and BUNGEE JUMP 12/1 and they are both being ridden by apprentices which muddies the waters and I cannot see any way other than backing them both each way in this race.
RIPON 3.25
There's 4 of the 13 runners that are frontrunning types so it should be a true run race, Paddy Power is my 4th top rated and has to be held up to get this trip if there's a fast early pace so this race may not suit it, Penny Pot Lane is well weighted and comes out 3rd best, 2nd top spot goes to Zumurud who likes to track the leaders and finished behind my selection and isn't weighted to reverse the form with the front running MR WAGYU 8/1 and this one has good trainer and jockey stats with their older horses.
Mr Wagyu 9/1 Unp
NEWMARKET 5.20
Twelve runners and 3 possible pacesetters but they will be setting the race up for one of the strong finishers, Equimou’s trainer has a poor 1-25 win ratio at this course so not quite sure what to expect but it could make the frame, Quench Dolly likes to track the leaders but this one's trainer is 0-11 at the course but records or stats are there to be broken im just hoping its not here as I will be backing OPEN WIDE 11/2 and this ones trainer has good stats at this course and being drawn in stall 12 it can either get a clear run all the way or take some cover and wait for a late run.
Open Wide 11/2 3rd
RIPON 5.45
I've found 4 in this race that could lead, Drakefell could be a bit of a hidden danger if it can repeat its aw time on turf, Canford Bay my 4th top rated and Nibras Again 3rd best are well weighted on their best speed figures, East Street Revue comes out 2nd best on my figures and is well drawn in the make-up of this race as its drawn besides my top rated DAPPER MAN 10/1 who is a front running type and if getting to the front it should be hard to catch and the price makes it worth doing each way.
Dapper Man 10/1 6th
See Eric's Secret Tip (20/1+)
NEWMARKET 3.00
Half of the 8 runners have been known to lead before so it should be a fast early pace in this Group 3 class race, I've got Brando as my 3rd top rated using a 2017 time but this is a drop in class from its last few runs last year after winning this race last year so a big run maybe expected here, Gifted Master is my 2nd top rated timewise but im not sure if its quite up to this level of race, my top rated is DREAMFIELD 3/1 who also won 1st time out last year so it can go well when fresh and I will be backing my top rated but may cover it with a bet Brando if prices allow.
Dreamfield 3/1 8th
BEVERLEY 4.35
Im going to concentrate on my top 4 ratings, Terantum Star could be one of two runners in this race that would like to set the pace and if it can reproduce its best time, but I have had to go back to 2017 to find it, would have every chance to be competitive here but it is a while since it showed its best, Watchable won last time out and comes out 3rd top on a time recorded at Pontefract last year, Billy Dylan is being ridden by a 3lb claiming apprentice which would make it level top rated with Line Of Reason who’s the best time was at Ayr, which is a different type of course so im not completely sure what to expect and my final decision could be made when I see some prices for the race. Now the other potential frontrunner, Sandras Secret is a non-runner I will be backing TERUNTUM STAR 9/1 in the hope that it gets to the front and it would then hopefully be very hard to catch.
Teruntum Star 9/1 1st
SOUTHWELL 7.00
Once again figures from this year and last year muddy the waters a little but my top rated did record its best this year, Show Palace could be a bit of a hidden danger in this race which automatically makes my stakes lower than full strength, Mininggold is 4th top rated on a 2019 time and usually tracks the leaders, Samovar hasn't won for a while but is 3rd best but on a 2018 time and another that likes to track the pace, Classic Pursuit will be trying to stay on at the finish and has a time from 2018 that would make it my 2nd top rated but sitting on the top of the pile is WARRIORS VALLEY 10/3 a possible pacesetter and if getting to the front it should prove hard to catch.
Warriors Valley 10/3 5th
NEWMARKET 1.50
A big field of 15 runners with many making their debuts for the year so fitness isnt guaranteed but luckily most of the ones that have caught my eye have had at least 1 run this year and I will concentrate on my top 6 ratings, Blackheath is capable of a fast time, enough to make it 2nd top rated, but usually in lower class races so may struggle here, Zain Hana hasnt shown much speed wise in the last year or so but does have a time from 2017 at Yarmouth that would make my top rated, despite finishing 2nd before at Newmarket, in a slow time, im of the thinking this type, of course, doesnt suit it best so its speed figure won't count on this course, Buridan is the only known pace setter in this race and that alone could make it very dangerous and its rated only 5lb’s off of top spot, Kimifive and Tommy Taylor are my joint 3rd top rated and could make the frame but my top rated is GREEN POWER 13/2 who finished 4th on its only run of this year and the stable have booked Ryan Moore to ride here and this maybe a significant booking as it will be his 1st ride for the stable in the last 5 years, it is a bit of a tricky race so I will be backing my selection but my stakes won't be at full tilt.
Green Power 7/1 3rd
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15
Only 7 runners here and there's 4 in the field that has led before and my top 3 are all front running sorts, Tropics could be one to prosper if the leaders go off too fast and Kyllang Rock could be a bit of a hidden danger, Reflektor should be staying on at the finish but may need further to show its best form, Just That Lord is 3rd best and has got the stall 1 draw but in a small field like this that might not matter too much, on c/d times Corinthia Knight is only 3rd top rated but its best time from Lingfield would make it top rated but that is on a different surface so I will be backing GRACIOUS JOHN 5/1 who by chance is a horse I laid when it last run 4 days ago on soft ground at Newbury and the switch back to this surface will suit it much better.
Gracious John 7/1 7th
WINDSOR 3.00
In all reality this isn't a good race for a class 4 affair, there is 5 in the field that has led before so the pace should be a true one, there's a few im not quite sure what to expect but cannot be dismissed easily and could throw a spanner in the works, The Daley Express is my 3rd top rated who likes to track the leaders and the jockey booking looks a positive move and could at least make the frame, Bellevarde comes out 2nd top rated so could make the frame, my top rated is BIG LACHIE 14/1 and the jockey booking does look a positive move but the trainer is 0-17 at this course but nearly half of those runners have made the frame so maybe the trainer has just been a bit unlucky and im hoping he can break his duck here.
Big Lachie 14/1 9th
PONTEFRACT 3.20
A cracking looking class 2 dash and unusually there's only 1 known frontrunning type in the race so Sandras Secret could be dangerous if allowed to dictate and set its own pace, it could possibly be the favourite but im doubting whether it can hold them all at bay but was in good form when we last saw it run but that was June last year and I wonder why it hasn't run since then, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Powerallied who usually stays on strongly at the finish but this stiffer course might not suit its style like Chester where it recorded its best time, the other 2nd top rated is *WATCHABLE 5/1 and im putting this one up as a selection because its fit from running on the aw recently and that could help its cause but I do have LEO MINER 10/1 rated higher and the jockey booking looks a positive move but the trainer is 0-10 at this course but he has had 4 placed so again lets hope he can break his duck here but I will be backing both of my selections in this race.
*NR
Leo Miner 10/1 8th
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00
I'm never a fan of amateur riders handicaps so any stakes will be kept low and I will concentrate on the 4 horses I think have the best chance of winning, Krazy Paving has won its last 2 races so is in good form but they were class 6 races and it could struggle now raised a level, DOTTED SWISS 12/1 is my joint top rated horse and although this surface isn't its favourite its still competitive at this track, Royal Connoisseur is being ridden by a claiming rider which takes it to co-top spot but in the make-up of this race stall 7 might not be ideal, BOBBY JOE LEG 8/1 starts off as joint top but if the 5lbs claimed by the rider is worthwhile it could swing things in its favour and from stall 2 it could gain control of the rail and that would be very advantageous.
Dotted Swiss 14/1 4th
Bobby Joe Leg 8/1 5th
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30
Poeta Brasilierro is my 4th top rated and is one of 3 possible pacesetters in the race and stall 7 might not be too bad in the make-up of this race but im not sure the jockey booking is a positive move with a 0-4 record, ZAPPER CASS 9/2 is my 3rd top rated on c/d times and usually stays on strongly at the finish at this distance and the jockey has a good 27% win rate for the stable which looks a positive move, BIG TIME MAYBE 4/1 is my 2nd top rated on c/d times and the claiming jockey has a 1-4 record for the stable so maybe another positive booking and normally they would be my 2 selections but LEXINGTON PLACE 6/1 cannot be ignored despite it being a 5 race maiden on aw tracks, on c/d times it would be my 3rd top rated but if I looked further back it would be narrowly ahead in top spot but thats from only 2 runs on this course in the last 4 years but its best time from Newcastle last year it would be well clear of the field but it may be that the straight course there suits it better than travelling around a bend but in betting terms I will dutch all 3 of them but tilting my stakes in favour of the latter selection.
Lexington Place 10/1 2nd
Zapper Cass 9/2 6th
Big Time Maybe 6/1 8th
CHELMSFORD 3.05
A poor turnout of just 5 runners and only La Fortuna who is better at a shorter trip that can be deleted from my potential winners list and laying this horse could be the way to make a profit from this race, Emily Goldfish will be trying to stay on at the finish but i doubt it will catch them all, Goodnight Girl is making its aw debut but it has good trainer/jockey stats pointing to them expecting a big run and its the only known frontrunner in the race so im not surprised to see its the 2/1 favourite, Sweet And Dandy is 2nd top on c/d figures but im not sure if the jockey booking is a positive or not, a fact that can be added to my thoughts about Rose Berry’s jockey but this one is top rated on c/d times but can struggle to see out the distance if there's a strong early pace, its maybe a race that's best left alone in betting terms.
CHELMSFORD 5.15
This race is guaranteed to be run at a fast pace with 3 of my top 5 is known to lead before but I will concentrate on my topZipedeedodah would be top rated using its best time from 2018 but it seems as though it was towed along in a fast run race that day but hasn't won since 2017, it could make the frame, I doubt it will break its losing run of 27 here despite being well drawn in stall 3 for a possible pacesetter but never say never with this one, ATYAAF 10/1 could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast at the front and this one best time was recorded this year, RED STRIPES 4/1 is another front runner and drawn in stall 4 so should be able to at least contest the lead here and the positive jockey booked here has a good record for the stable for a 5lb claiming apprentice and that claim could tip things in this one's favour.
Atyaaf 10/1 3rd
Red Stripes 4/1 6th
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LINGFIELD 3.55
I'm not quite sure what will lead in this race which always presents problems butI'vee found reasons to exclude 4 of the 7 from my list of the potential winner, Shepherds Purse has had 32 runs since its last win which puts me off but it is my 3rd top rated so could go well but thinking again im doubting whether it can win so im down to 2 possibles, DUKE COSIMO 7/1 has the best speed figure from racing on this surface but it was at Kempton this year and the trainer has a good 25% or more win rate at this course, the topweight LUCKY LODGE 7/2 has a time 8lbs higher but it was recorded at Newcastle and this will be its 1st run on this surface, I will go with backing them both.
Lucky Lodge 7/2 6th
Duke Of Cosimo 7/1 7th
KEMPTON 8.15
There are some early paced sorts in this race and im not sure what to expect from Pastfact who could be a bit of a hidden danger on its 1st aw race, but i will concentrate on my top 3 ratings, in 3rd top spot ive got Mother Of Dragons who has had 13 runs since its last win, its best time was recorded at Lingfield and only has a slowish c/d time, JUST AN IDEA 66/1 is my 2nd top rated using its best 2018 time, who is well drawn in stall 1 for a front running sort and could attempt to lead all the way here and the jockey has a 20% win rate for the stable so at the price i will have a small each way wager, OUR MAN IN HAVANA 13/2 is my top rated here, its a versatile type when it comes to its racing tactics and from stall 6 it could get a good early position and then prove the stronger nearing the finish, i will be backing them both to cover the angles.
LINGFIELD 4.15
Not a bad race for a class 6 affair with 10 runners of which 4 have been known to lead before and my top 3 all like to lead, Come On Dave is 3rd top coming from stall 8 but that time came from 2017 but it hasn't run here much since then so im not sure what to expect here but it could feasibly make the frame, *ENTERTAINING BEN 14/1 is my 2nd top rated and stall 2 could help its cause and mean it could gain control of the rails, the jockeys 3lb claim puts it just 1lb below SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 10/1 who maybe won't be hindered too much by the stall 9 draw and im hoping these 2 can contest the race from the off and prove too fast for the rest of the field and then my 2 each way wagers could pay dividends.
Sandfrankskipsgo 25/1 9th
*NR
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00
I'm, not a fan of selling races but this selling handicap has pointed to a couple of horses that could go well, Terri Rules is my 4th top rated and has been known to lead before and stall 10 might be ok in the make-up of this race, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Billyoakes and is a hold up type who will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, Swendab is the other 2nd top rated and its versatile with its tactics and stall 6 could suit it here but I do have *FANTASY JUSTIFIER 7/2 rated higher and this one has a chance to go one better than when finishing 2nd last time out.
*NR
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00
There's 4 of this 11 runners that have been known to lead and maybe a race that will be won from the front, Zapper Cass has been in good form lately and its 7lb claiming apprentice moves this one into 2nd spot but still has to have everything go perfectly as its only 2nd by 1lb from Peachey Carnehan who has run to within 6lbs of its best time from last year and sometimes stall 4 could be ideal but my top rated *KUPA RIVER 6/1 another front runner is drawn in stall 3 so this one could gain control of the rails and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch and could follow up from its win last time out.
*NR
