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Sunday, 26 September 2021

3:30 Bath Racing Tips (27th September)

BATH 3.30 

(If the going is good or faster) 

For a class 6 race this one looks quite good, there's a couple of front running types in the field of 8 runners and as one of the pacesetters is my top rated for this year and 2nd top on overall figures it should be run at a good gallop for this level, I have found 3 that I will look to lay if they are single figure prices, Kodi Gold 4/1 who may need further to show its best, Cappananty Con 11/2 who has poor jockey stats and doesn't want fast ground and Okaidi 12/1 who also may need further and has poor jockey stats, the race that Snow Berry won last time out was a slow run affair and it had Kodi Gold behind it in 2nd that day and at the weights should beat it again but will need to improve time wise to win this race but being a 3yo it could do just that, We’re Reunited 13/2 is my 3rd top rated but the trainer is 0-12 in the last 2 weeks, it has been 47 days since the stables last winner they have had 35 runners during that time, SHANI 16/1 (EW) who has good jockey stats is my 2nd top rated using just 2021 times but has a time from last year over this course and distance that would make it top rated overall and I will be backing it each way at the price, while CORONATION COTTAGE 4/1 is rated 2lbs higher using just 2021 times and is one of the possible pacesetters in this race and has good jockey stats and this one also recorded its best time over this course and distance in 2020, I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

NEWCASTLE 7.00

With 2 other front running types in this race Spirit Power 14/1 may struggle to stay the trip but isn't value to lay at the price while Aleef 15/2, Somewhere Secret 14/1, The Mousen Champ 9/1, Quanah 6/1 and Lucky Beggar 7/1 may all need a longer distance to show their best form, my 3rd top rated is Arnold 6/1 but its not won in 8 attempts on the AW tracks but it has made the frame in half of them and could make the frame again here but isn't an each way price in my opinion, in 2nd top spot using a 2020 time is Another Angel 5/1 another known front running type but has only recorded slow times over this course and distance in 4 races this year so i will be hoping that the third front running type LORD OF THE GLEN 11/2 can follow up its win at Chelmsford three days ago and will be carrying my money. 

NEWCASTLE 8.30

There's a few in this race that look better over shorter distances but some will be big priced so I will look to lay Gorgeous General 4/1 and Cuppacoco 9/2 who are both forecast to be a single figure price and both of them haven't got a recorded time since 2019, only half the field have done a time fast enough to register on my figures and they are all in the top half of the handicap, Oriental Lily 12/1 is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up for a late run but hasn't recorded a time for this year so far, I've actually got joint top rated horses, Oakenshield 14/1 usually likes to track the leaders but hasn't recorded a time this year from four races so i will be putting my faith and money on ROCKLEY POINT 12/1 (EW) who is the only one in the race who is known as a front running sort and i am hoping it can lead all the way in this race and the jockey booking does look a positive one, it has been off the track for 136 days but has won before coming from off a break and as usual at the price it has to be an each way wager.

Friday, 24 September 2021

2:40 Haydock Racing Tips (25th September)

HAYDOCK 2.40 

WOW what a competitive looking class 2 dash, I can only see Premier Power as a possible lay bet in this race, Mountain Peak is one of two known front running types in this race and comes out 4th best on my figures so could run well and maybe even make the frame,Jawwaal is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs below the pair who are my top rated, Mondammej is one of the joint top rated horses but drops to 2nd best when I take off the 5lb the apprentice claims riding COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who is also the other known front runner and if getting to the front here it could be hard to catch. 

Copper Knight 9/2 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Premier Power +1pt 

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 3.15 

Another nice looking race and class 3 this time, I think the early pace will be set by Al Simmo but it would need to improve to hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger who has won its last 3 races comes out 3rd top on my figures and maybe the handicapper has caught up with it, there is only 2lbs between my top rated pair and I will be backing both of them, NEVER DARK 8/1 and SECOND COLLECTION 12/1 as to be honest I cannot split them and both look good value at their prices with there being just seven runners. 

Second Collection 16/1 4th -1pt 
Never Dark 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 3.30 

A field of 12 for this race with a couple of front runners of whom Machree may go best but I doubt it can hold on for the win and I might well lay the other possible leader, Raydmoor who might have been flattered when winning a slow run race last time out, James Watt, Nibras Again and Deputise could all go well but I will be splitting my stake between COLEY'S KOKO 9/2 who is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb below ATLYAH 7/1 in top spot, the former is usually held up for a late run while the latter likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish. 

Coley's Koko 7/1 Unp -1pt 
Atlyah 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 4.05 

As usual with an eight runner race I hope they all take part so there is 3 places available for an each way bet, it is a good looking class 2 race where I cannot see anything that I could dismiss its chances and lay it, Bossipop may do best of the two known front runners in the race as it comes out 4th best on my figures and could even stay on well enough to sneak a palace especially if others falter, Thegreatestshowman is sitting in 3rd top spot but the trainer is 0-10 in the last 2 weeks, Manigordo is my 2nd best rated horse and is usually seen staying on at the finish over this distance and could make the frame but it hasn't been in good form lately, my money will be riding on BOWMAN 10/1 (EW) who recorded a fast time at Carlisle and a repeat would see it winning a touch cosily.

Bowman 10/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts

RIPON 5.50 

Only 6 runners where the top pair, Nearly A Gonna and Ustath, look the likely pacesetters and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and the former might have been flattered when it won 2 runs ago at Nottingham, Hurstwood comes out 2nd best using a time from way back in 2019, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 13/8 who is from a stable in decent form in the last two weeks and it will be held up for a late run. 

Singe Anglais 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Total +2.25pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A class 4 race, 10 runners and 2 known front running types equals a true run affair, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam who should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leaders, Garth Rockett has a good time from 2020 which would give it a good chance of winning but the jockey booking, 0-18, makes me think it will be aimed at a future race, I did have TOUSSARAK 7/1 and NIGEL NOTT 5/1 level on my ratings but the former has a 3lb claiming apprentice on board and the latter has a 5lb claiming apprentice, so just 2lbs between them but as the latter is the one I think might set the early pace and could prove hard to catch but just in case I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 4th -1pt 
Toussarak 7/1 UR -1pt 

Lay bet: Seas Of Elzaam +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them are known as front runners and five of them are 3yo’s so my stakes are already going to be low, I think *Iesha may need further and may be worth laying despite the fact this race might be run to suit its racing style, I think JORVIK PRINCE 9/1 should lead and then prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best time from 2020 would hold on for the win but its time from 2021 would give TOPLIGHT 9/2 a chance to pick it up in the closing stages and I will be backing them both.

*NR

Jorvik Prince 9/1 2nd -1pt 
Toplight 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

Thursday, 23 September 2021

2:05 York Racing Tips (24th September)

YORK 2.05 

A cracking looking class 2 sprint with 11 runners and 2 known front running types, one of those front runners Mr Wagyu 7/2 has been running out of its skin and isn't one to ever underestimate but is only 4th best on my figures but it could make the frame but in my opinion is isn't a value bet, I will look to lay Nomadic Empire 10/1 who might be better when raced over a shorter distance and Chairmanoftheboard 6/1 who may prefer further or a slower surface to win over this distance, Music Society 12/1 is my 3rd top rated using a time from Hamilton this year so could be worth an each way interest, Treacherous 13/2 comes out 2nd best using a time from 2020 recorded at Goodwood, I will be putting my money on the top weight LAMPANG 16/1 (EW) who is the other possible pacesetter in this race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch admittedly it hasn't been in great form lately but this does look slightly easier task than some of its previous races this year, the stable has been in good form with 15 winners in the last 2 weeks and might be a value each way punt at the odds on offer. 

Lamplang 16/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bets: Chairmanoftheboard +1pt

Total -1pt 

Note:  Nomadic Empire was not given as a lay bet as all Eric's lay bets must be single figure sp. 

NEWCASTLE 5.30 

A class 6 race where only 4 of the 12 runners have a time good enough to register on my figures, Sestriere has run in Ireland on the AW but hasn't won in 9 attempts and is making its debut on English AW and could be dangerous but I couldn't back it nor lay I also couldn't lay the 3yo’s Lola Rebel and Fossos 5/2 although the latter is definitely not value for money at the price, another two 3yo’s Sheilas Legacy 15/2 and Elzaal 10/3 are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses but I will be putting my trust in the top weight LORD OF THE GLEN 13/2 who is known front running type and if getting to the front in this race it ought to prove hard to catch and has a positive looking jockey booking (I like that rhyme, yes I am a saddo). 

Lord Of Glen 13/2 1st 

Total: +6.5pts 
 

NEWCASTLE 8.30 

Quite a good race for a class 5 affair, Tathmeen has been known to lead if nothing else wants to but I don't think it will need to in this race, Thornaby Pearl 11/2 is held by one of my selections and might be worth laying if a single figure price, Canford Bay 10/1 hasn't shown much time wise over this c/d since 2017 and its best Wolverhampton time this year is only good enough for 6th top rated so maybe another to lay and I could also lay Aunt Agatha who might have been flattered when finishing 2nd the time before last and as usual any lays have to be under 10/1, Captain Vallo 11/2 has a fast time from the turf at Hamilton but I would need to see some proof before I could back it but I also couldn't lay it in this race as that time would make it my top rated, so I will be backing the pair that are my joint 2nd top rated and both of their times were over this c/d, the jockey booking on GOWANBUSTER 12/1 (EW) looks significant winning its only previous ride for this stable and it was on this horse in 2019 so it looks like they are expecting a big run and it could be the one to set the pace to the race but I have to admit its 3 runs this year on turf have been poor so I will also be backing ROYAL ADVICE 10/1 (EW) who also has a positive looking jockey booking and will be held up for a late run and at the prices I will go with two each way bets in this race.

Royal Advice 10/1 9th -2pts 
Gowanbuster 16/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bets: Thornaby Pearl +1pt

Total -3pts

Total on the day  +2.5pts

Wednesday, 22 September 2021

3:30 Pontefract Racing Tips (23rd September)

PONTEFRACT 3.30 

An 8 runner race with 3 known front runners amongst them but I think they will set it up for something coming from off the pace, I could look to lay Penny Pot Lane, maybe not this class, Oso Rapide 10/3 who has shown very little time wise and the same applies to Cottam Lane 10/3 even when winning, Bossipop, Jordan Electrics, Lady Nectar and Mutanaaseq could all go well and battle to make the frame but i will be backing the top weight BOWMAN 11/2 who if it can reproduce its Carlisle time it would be winning this race a shade cosily. 

Bowman 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Oso Rapido -3pts, Penny Pot Lane +1pt, Cottam Lane +1pt

Total -2pts

PONTEFRACT 4.05

The early pace might be set by Ben Macdul and/or Modular Magic either could go well with an easy lead but the former would need to improve time wise while the latter might be outclassed in this race, I will look to lay Saluti 11/2 who might prefer a longer trip and this race might not be run to suit it, the trainer Paul Midgley has 3 runners in this race and I think he could win the race with either INDIAN SOUNDS 10/3 or BALLINTOY HARBOUR 15/2 who both like to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and the latter does seem to need good to firm ground to show its best form, i will be backing them both in this race. 

Indian Sounds 10/3 -1pt 
Ballintoy Harbour 8/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Saulti 11/2 -5.5pts 

Total -7.5pts

PONTEFRACT 5.15 

I hope all take part so I can have an each way bet in this race, I would look to lay Jorvik Prince who may need further and is better on the AW tracks, Gorgeous General 8/1 who also may need further to shine and Muatadel 11/2 who doesn't seem to like good to firm ground, the early pace might be set by Fossos who is my 3rd top rated or Equate both being 3yo’s could improve, Newgate Angel comes out 2nd top using a 2020 time my money will be on YOUNG TIGER 12/1 who comes out on top for just this year and its better time from 2020 makes it my top rated on overall figures and luckily the price is big enough for me to have an each way wager. 

Young Tiger 12/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets: Muatadel -4.5pts, Jorvick Prince +1pt, Gorgeous General +1pt

Total -4.5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30

There's only 1 horse aged above four in this race so I am a bit short of data to be confident in this race and the funny thing is the oldest horse in the race *KATHERINE PLACE 6/1 recorded a fast time at Chelmsford when it won last time out and will probably be the favourite but it has been found a good opportunity to follow up that win and its best time over this course and distance is good enough for 2nd top spot and being the most natural front runner in the field it could lead all the way but stall 10 isn't ideal if others change their usual style and try to lead as well, the only horse with a higher speed figure is ROMAN ENCOUNTERS 14/1 (EW) who’s figure was recorded on this surface but at Newcastle and if this one is an each way price I will definitely be backing it.

*NR

Romantic Time 18/1 8th -2pt 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -16pts

Tuesday, 21 September 2021

2:17 Goodwood Racing Tips (22nd September)

GOODWOOD 2.17 

An eight runner race and I hope all of them take part so there is 3 places up for grabs so I can have an each way bet, nothing is what I would call a natural front running sort in this race but Lockdown has done it before and might be the one to set the pace in this race and as its my 3rd top rated on just 2021 times it could do enough from the front to make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price, Some Nightmare has the 3rd best speed figure on my overall figures but that was recorded in a lower class race than today's so might get outpaced in this race, Gilt Edge usually runs its race when it has its ideal conditions but is only 4th best on my figures but could make the frame if others falter, Gunmetal is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-4 in the last 2 weeks and the jockey is 0-8 for the stable so my each way money will be riding on THEOTHERSIDE 9/1 (EW) who’s trainer is in decent form with 7 winners in the last 2 weeks and being drawn next door to the likely leader it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger. 

Theotherside 9/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

REDCAR 3.45 

This is the 1st division of this race and isn't too bad for a class 6 race but the 2nd division is dire and very little data to work with so I will leave the 2nd division alone, there's 3 known pacesetters in this race and it might well be won from the front, I will look to lay Secret Equity which is a bit of a gamble laying a 3yo but its time when it finished 2nd last time was a relatively slow run affair and I don't think this race will be run to suit it but with 3yo’s they are able to still improve but as its a maiden after 9 races i will take the risk, Muatadel, Dirchill and Zamjar have times that could see them go well and with a couple of negatives against their names it might well be Zamjar who does best of the trio but i will be siding with SHE'S A DIVA 9/2 who is a front running type and on the clock has the beating of the other 2 possible pacesetters and once getting to the front it ought to be hard to catch. 

She's A Diva 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 4.53 

As to be expected there is 5 front running types in this 5 furlong dash, I can see a few to lay but I'm doubting they will be single figure prices but I will update if something comes to mind when I see the betting, Albegone will be to the fore in the betting but this is a step up in class and is only 5th best on my speed figures,I've got joint 3rd top rated with Koropick and Street Life so they could make the frame, my 2nd top rated is Debawtry but the trainer is 0-4 in the last 2 weeks and will be trying to stay on at the finish but I'm hoping my top rated DAPPER MAN 18/1 who could set the pace and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and the switch of jockey for this race makes me think connections are expecting it to go well here and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager. 

Dapper Man 18/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

GOODWOOD 4.35 

A nice looking class 4 race with a couple of known front runners which always helps to work out how fast the early pace will be which can help identify a weak horse in the race prime material to lay which will be a shorter price than its actual chance of winning and in this instance that might be Glamorous Breeze 9/2 who in this instance might be outclassed at this level and might find things happening a little bit too quickly even though its speed figure makes it my top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall but then when you multiply its speed figure by its official handicap mark it drops out of my top 4 so I will look to lay it, Just That Lord could go very well if getting to the front being my 3rd top rated but it think it will be set up for a finishing type, Saaheq comes out 2nd top rated but i will be placing my faith and money on ROSE HIP 7/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Rose Hip 4/1 4th -1pt

Lay bet: Glamorous Breeze +1pt

Total 0pt 

Total on the day -5pts

Monday, 20 September 2021

2:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (21st September)

LINGFIELD 2.35 

SIR HECTOR 5/1 hasn't recorded a time over this course and distance since 2019 but its best time on this surface at Chelmsford would push it into 4th top spot and will be trying to stay on towards the end of the race.

LOTHIAN 9/1 a 3yo who has ran over this course and distance twice but both times it didn't do enough to register on my figures and may need a longer trip for it to shine. 

STORM MELODY 9/2 hasn't any course and distance form to its name but its best time on this surface at Chelmsford takes it into 3rd top spot om my unique speed figures and could make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price. 

KATH'S LUSTRE 7/1 has only slow times to its name this year but its best 2020 time leaves it just outside my top 4 rating and will be trying to stay on at the business end of this race but maybe too late to catch the leaders. 

CLOWNSMAN 11/1 is a 3yo making its handicap debut in this race, the form it has shown so far in its 3 runs has been quite dire and on breeding it may need further to show its merit. 

EXCELLINTHEJUNGLE 13/2 hasn't any course form and no distance form on an AW track I wouldnt lay it but i also couldn't back it even though its still a maiden after 9 runs.

THEGREYVTRAIN is the only known front running type in this race and an easy lead would help its cause, form wise its not been at its best lately but is capable of coming back to form without prior warning. 

TROUSER THE CASH 11/4 its course and distance time doesn't make my top 4 ratings but its best from Chelmsford in 2020 would make it my 2nd top rated, it would need to spring back to form but that's not an impossibility and could make the frame but is plenty short enough in my opinion.

OCEAN EYES 7/1 hasn't any course and distance form and is still a maiden after 12 attempts and 4 of those runs were on an AW track but has a time from Chelmsford that would make it my 4th top rated but quite a few steps behind my top rated. 

SANTORINI SAL 40/1 a 4yo who to be honest hasn't shown anything worthwhile form wise and I expect it will be the outsider in the field. 

SUMMARY: This isn't a race I will be betting too heavily in but I will have a small each way punt on the only known front running type in this race in the shape of THEGREYVTRAIN 20/1 (EW) who could be dangerous if allowed an easy time at the front of the field, it is a frustrating horse but its one of those that will bounce back to form without warning and its one I don't want to miss if racing at a double figure price so I will have to have a small each way punt on it.

Thegrayvtrain 20/1 3rd +3pts

Total on the day +3pts

Sunday, 19 September 2021

3:10 Leicester Racing Tips (20th September)

LEICESTER 3.10 

Only a poor turnout of 7 runners for a class 3 handicap but it should be a true run affair, the good to firm ground maybe against First Edition 5/1 and might be worth laying that's if the rain stays away but that doesn't look likely according to the weather forecast, Celsius 8/1 comes out in 3rd top spot using a time recorded at Ascot and does run fairly constantly when given the right conditions - distance, going and class, Ginger Jam 7/2 is the one that comes out 2nd best on my figures using a time from Beverley last year but my top rated is FAUSTUS 11/4 who is one of two known front running types in this race and if it gets to the front it should prove hard to catch plus it has decent trainer stats and good jockey stats making me think its fancied by the stable. 

Faustus 11/4 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet: First Edition +1pt

Total 0pts

LEICESTER 3.45 

A tricky race to analyse with 7 of the 9 runners either being 3yo’s or lightly raced 4yo’s, I think Bailey's Afterparty 10/1 may need further to shine so might be worth laying if of any value to do so, Dodgy Bob 25/1 is one of two front running sorts in this race and comes out 3rd best on my speed figures but hasn't been in good form lately which is reflected in its price, my 2nd top rated is Amathus 4/1 who is quite versatile with its tactics apart from racing from the front but that is what I expect WE’RE REUNITED 7/2 will do in this race and if leading it could prove hard to catch but the trainers 0-9 in the last 2 weeks and its 40 days since the stables last winner which doesnt boost my confidence over its chances of winning but i will be having a small bet on it. 

We're Reunited 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Bailey's Afterparty +1pt

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 

A 10 runner race over 5 furlongs with 4 front running types in the field, I will look to lay both Expert Opinion 10/1 who might not really like this surface and Kingsholme 10/3 who may struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which I expect there to be in this race, if they are single figure prices, Kim Wexter 12/1 and Mutabaahy 12/1 could both go well and might be worth an each way interest at double figure prices, my idea of the winner and the value call is TANTASTIC 20/1 (EW) who will be trying to stay on strongly at the business end of the race, the trainer is 4-17 for the last 2 weeks so is in good form so I'm hoping this one adds to their tally but at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Tantastic 20/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bets: Expert Opinion +1pt, Kingsholme +1pt

Total 0pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

A 13 runner race where 5 of them have been known to lead before, the betting will be the deciding factor if there's any lays or not and it looks like not, of the front runners Freedom Flyer and Champagne Supernova could do best of those racing to the fore but I doubt they will hold on for the win as neither are in my top 4 ratings, Jackstar is my 4th top and Zamjar sits in 3rd top spot and could fill the minor places, Tomshalfbrother is top rated on just 2021 times but that time isn't good enough to make my top 5 but it has a time from 2020 that makes it 2nd top on overall figures so may be worth an each way interest but my money will be riding on ICONIC KNIGHT 11/2 who hasn't raced over this distance so far this year and this drop back in trip will suit it, its best time from 2020 makes it my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive one so lets hope that's a good pointer and follows up its win last time out.

Iconic Knight 13/2 8th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

Saturday, 18 September 2021

3:50 Hamilton Racing Tips (19th September)

HAMILTON 3.50 

MEWS HOUSE 7/2 usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish but it needs to improve time wise to win this race. 

TOMILY 15/2 comes out 4th best on my speed figures but as it doesn't seem to like good to firm ground its times will not be as good as others that do like the faster going. 

ECONOMICAL CRISIS 11/1 is another that doesn't seem to like good to firm ground but is 3rd best on my speed figures so could make the frame.

ALBEGONE 11/8 won nicely last time out and it comes out 2nd best on my speed figures, being a 3yo it could improve and has a chance of following up in this race but it would need to improve 4lbs or hope the top rated doesn't run to its best so doesn't look much value.

SHESADABBER 10/1 is the only natural front running type I can see in this race and its best time recorded from the front did come over this course and distance.

THE GLOAMING 15/2 isn't in my top 4 ratings but being a 3yo it could still improve, I'm just hoping it doesn't happen in this race.

ANGLES EYES 33/1 is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics including leading if nothing else wants to but it wont need to in this race. 

HEER ME 80/1 has very poor form and i expect it will be the outsider in this race.

LANCASHIRE LIFE 40/1 has only a slow time over this distance when finishing 3rd and is a maiden after 7 runs and hasn't made the frame in those races. 

SUMMARY: I expect the 3yo ALBEGONE 11/8 will be the hot favourite after its win last time out and does come out 2nd top rated on my figures and could improve again to win this race but I do have SHESADABBER 10/1 rated 3lbs higher and its the most likely pacesetter to this race, so if allowed an easy lead and can repeat its best time recorded over this course and distance earlier this year it could hold on for the win so I will be going with 2 bets in this race.

Albegone 6/4 1st +1.5pts
Shesadabber 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day +0.5pts

Friday, 17 September 2021

2:40 Newmarket Winning Racing Tips (18th September)

NEWMARKET 2.40 

I'm hoping the going is good or better here, the course does dry out quickly as its a chalky area so please tread carefully and watch an earlier race if possible to see what the going is like. In this race I will look to lay Beauty Choice 8/1 who might prefer a longer distance than today's to show its best but this should be a fast run affair which should suit it, Equiano Springs 8/1 is one of the two known front running types in this race and it comes out 3rd best on my figures so could make the frame and worth an each way interest, TOUSSARAK 5/2 is the other likely pacesetter and comes out 2nd best on my figures using a time recorded at Goodwood and if getting to the front could prove hard to pass and does have good trainer/jockey stats and has to have some chance especially if my top rated horse WORLD OF WINDHOVER 11/4 doesn't repeat its best time, which it recorded at Yarmouth, over this completely different kind of course so I will be backing both of them to cover the angles. 

Tussarak 5/2 4/1 5th -1pt 
World Of Windhover 18/5 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.55 

A poor class 6 race even by All-Weather standards but hopefully I've found a gem amidst the dirt, I have marked down both *Iesha and Big Impact as possible lays and are forecast to be single prices in the betting there are other possible lays but I expect them to be outsiders in this field, Blue Cable is my 4th top rated using a 2021 time, Jungle Inthebungle comes out 3rd best using a 2020 time, in 2nd top spot is Bernards Spierpoint but this ones best time wasn't done on this surface, THAKI 7/4 is my top rated and the only known front runner in the race and if getting to the front it ought to prove uncatchable and the trainer and jockey stats hopefully point to the stable expecting it to win here, the price is pants but a reproduction of its last win would see it winning a shade cosily. 

*NR

Thaki 7/4 1st +1.75pts

Lay bets: Big Impact +1pts

Total +2.75pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

A strange looking race with just the one known front runner in the field, I will look to lay Strong Power 10/1 and Show Me A Sunset 11/1 if they are single price figures in the betting, so I'm hoping they are backed a little, the main strange thing is that its impossible to narrow it down to a one horse conclusion so it looks like I will be dutching 3 horses in this race, SEEKING PERFECTION 14/1 who is the front running type and could go well especially if allowed an easy lead and is my 3rd top rated,*TATHMEEN 10/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim it moves to top rated on my overall figures but only 1lb above *CANFORD BAY 9/2 who is top rated on just 2021 times so I will go with a win bet and two each way bets.

*NR 

Seeking Perfection 66/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets: Show Me A Sunset +1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day -0.25pts

Thursday, 16 September 2021

6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (16th September)

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

Its a class 6 race and its very confusing without the fact there's no known front running types in the race, looking at the early tissue prices the 1st 3 in the betting are 2 of the horses i think have a good chance of winning its only the top weight La Roca Del Fuego 6/1 who I think might be a shorter price than its actual chance of winning but nothing is written in concrete in the basement level of horse racing, I would have looked to lay both Aces and Big Impact if there was some definite early paced sorts in the race as they can struggle to stay the trip with a fast early gallop although the former does have a decent time from Lingfield but has 2 slow times over this course and distance, Irish Times and The Tron have the best speed figures from just 2021 but neither have very good trainer and/or jokey stats and the jockey on the latter is 0-19 riding for today's stable, I will split my stake in this race with a win bet on PERFECT SYMPHONY 6/1 who I think will be to the fore of the betting and hopefully an each way wager on *MAID MILLIE 6/1 (EW) who hasn't shown much in its 4 runs this year but last time out did point to it coming to form and it has won twice before after being out of the frame on its previous run but I have to admit my stakes will be kept on the low side. 

*NR

Perfect Symphony 14/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt



CHELMSFORD 6.30 

What should be a nice class 2 race is spoiled by a poor turnout of just 6 runners where 2 of them are known as front running types and they happen to be my 2 top rated horses, I think the 3yo Inveigle 11/2 may be better when tried over a longer trip but this race could just be run to suit it, Soul Seeker 9/1 is making its debut on the AW tracks and would need to improve on its best speed figure from the turf, I've got Top Breeze 10/1 as my 2nd top rated but only 1lb below MAY SONIC 7/2 while the official speed figures make it the other way round by 2lbs and with them being so close it might be best to back the other one as a covering bet.

May Sonic 7/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts