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Sunday, 14 August 2022

3:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (15th August)

LINGFIELD 3.30 

Class 5 race with 10 runners over 5 furlongs and 3 known front running types, if Khurumbi is a single figure price I will lay it as I'm not sure this surface will suit it and further might also be better for it, 2 of the possible pacesetters, Howzak and Red Walls, have been in poor form lately, the former could do best of the pair but usually gives an indication when a return to form is imminent Micks Spirit is my 4th top rated just 1lb below Saaheq in 3rd top spot so either or both could make the frame, I will be hoping that WINGS OF A DOVE 7/1 the other possible pacesetter can lead from stall 2 and gain control of the rails and once hitting the front could prove hard to catch. 

CATTERICK 4.55 

A 10 runner race over 5 furlongs in a class 6 affair and 4 front running types in the field, Golden Hal and Astapor should ensure the early gallop is a good one although the latter races as though further would suit it better and might be worth laying if of value to do so, Red Allure is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders, I have joint top rated horses, DAPPER MAN 15/2 in stall 5 and KING CRIMSON 4/1 in stall 7 and both are front running types so whichever one wins the battle could be the one to go on for the win but i honestly cannot split them and will be backing them both. 

WINDSOR 5.20 

An 11 runner class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 4 known front running types amongst them, one horse I will be looking to lay is Bernard Speirpoint who seems to be a much better horse when racing over further, if the Greyvtrain is a single figure price its another I would think about laying as its not running well lately despite being at the front in the early stages of a race and that's in slow run races which I doubt this one will be, We’re Reunited is my 3rd top rated and likes to stay on at the finish and further might suit it better but it could still make the frame here, FORESEEABLE FUTURE 11/4 is one of the likely leaders and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and with the apprentice jockeys claim it only misses top spot by 1lb behind SPARKED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish as its so close between the pair of them I will be backing them both. 

WINDSOR 6.50 

Class 4 race with 9 runners over 5 furlongs with 4 front running types in the field so it should be a true run race, the top weight Treacherous hasn't any form over today's distance but it might get outpaced here before staying on too late nearing the finish but if others falter it could possibly make the frame, any others that could be lays all look likely to be double figure prices and represent poor value, Son And Sannie who is my 4th top rated could do best of those coming from off the pace especially if the top 3 all go off too fast and fade nearing the finish, Coronation Cottage who is my 3rd top rated does its best form and ratings in lower class races so may be outclassed at this level, Just That Lord is my 2nd top rated and recorded its best speed figure over today's course and distance last year while my top rated LA ROCA DEL FUEGO 4/1 also recorded its best rating over this course and distance but it was recorded this year and if getting the fractions right could get back to winning ways in this race and i like the booking of the apprentice jockey who takes 5lb off its weight and has a one win from two rides for the stable.

Saturday, 13 August 2022

5:03 Southwell Racing Tips (14th August)

SOUTHWELL 5.03 

Class 6 race with 11 runners over 5 furlongs with a couple of known front running types amongst them, the five at the bottom of the handicap all look likely to be double figure priced outsiders and look to have very little, never say never, chance of winning this race, Jet Set Go, Big Impact and Ustath may all prefer a longer distance to show their true worth, which leaves me with 3 runners, The Tron comes out in 3rd top spot and usually stays on at the finish over this distance and may stay on too late for the win here, Scale Force sits in 2nd top spot and also stays on at the finish but my top rated MARWARI 11/4 is the one that I think, hope, sets the pace to the race and if getting to the front it could prove too hard to catch, its top rated on course and distance time since this course changed to the Tapeta surface and top using other Tapeta ratings but it was from 2020 but in its defense it hasn't run over this surface at either Newcastle or Wolverhampton since then and has good trainer, 33% win ratio and jockey 19% win ratio stats with the stables older horses. 

Marwari 10/3 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

PONTEFRACT 5.20 

Class 5 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners and 4, Late Arrival, Cottam lane, Dandy Spirit and Macho Pride, known front running types amongst the field and it looks a race where I will have to go with one front running type and one that comes from off the pace to cover the angles, Mostallim might be worth taking on here as a longer distance might show it in a better light, Late Arrival and Hello Zabeel are my joint 4th top rated horses, Mutanaaseq is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders, I have joint top rated horses MACHO PRIDE 11/2 who being a front running type could be hard to catch if getting to the front but DREAM TOGETHER 7/1 likes to track the pacesetters and likes the good to firm ground and will need a perfect run to catch the leader but this one has the better trainer/jockey stats of the pair and I will be backing them both.

Macho Pride 10/1 4th -1pt 
Dream Together 10/3 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -3pts

Friday, 12 August 2022

2:50 Ripon Racing Tips (13th August)

RIPON 2.50 

Class 2 race over 6 furlongs with 15 runners and one third of them have been known to lead before, as you expect its a very competitive looking race, Hyperfocus and Marks Choice look likely to do best of the front runners and the former could do enough from the front to make the frame, I cannot see anything of value to lay in this race as for finding the winner there is a few, Summerghand, Snash, Intrinsic Bond, Indian Creak Embour plus the 2 front runners mentioned, that could go well here and anyone of them could make the frame but I will be having a small wager on EMPEROR SPIRIT 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Emperor Spirit 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 3.18 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, the early pace could be set by Come On Girl who has been running well on the AW tracks but I don't think this one is up to winning at this level and might be worth laying, Strike is another that looks better in lower class races but this one is capable of producing fast times, Verraux Eagle might prefer a longer trip so another possible lay, my money will be riding on *WENTWORTH FALLS 10/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the trainer does quite well at this course. 

*NR

Lay bet Come On Girl +1pt 

Total +1pt 


NEWMARKET 4.28 

Class 2 race with a paltry 5 runners, Stone Of Destiny may struggle to stay the distance especially as my top rated is the likely leader in this race, Mum's Tipple may need further but if the early pace is really fast it could be a possible danger, Above and Ingra Tor both recorded their best speed ratings here but on the Rowley mile course but would need to improve a good few spots if RATHBONE 13/2 reproduces is best figures from either 2022 or 2021 where there is only 2lbs difference plus the apprentice jockey has a decent 16% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Rathbone 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 10 entrants, I can see 3 front running types in this race and another that could lead if nothing else wanted to wont have to lead here, but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace although Portelet Bay who is my 2nd top rated could prove a danger if getting to the front from stall 9 but might have to use up a degree of its stamina/speed to get itself into the lead, I could look to lay, Prophecy, Secret Potion, *Mops Gem and *Tom Tulliver if of value to lay, Steelriver is my 3rd top rated using a 2020 rating but can be useful if on a going day but I will be relying on the top weight RED ALERT 10/1 with my money and a repeat of the rating it has recorded here this year would see it winning with a bit too spare.

Red Alert 10/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Prophecy +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day  -1pt

Thursday, 11 August 2022

1:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (12th August)

NOTTINGHAM 1.45 

Class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners, I might look to lay Porfin 4/1 who won last time out over a furlong further so might find today's trip too short also No Guts No Glory 11/2 who’s form looks quite good on paper but they were all relatively slow times and another where further might suit it better, Harrogate looks the one likely to set the pace to the race and if allowed to dictate it could possibly lead all the way but it hasn't been in the best of form lately, GRANDFATHER TOM 3/1 is my 2nd top rated and top on just 2022 ratings while COLEY'S KOKO 6/1 is 2nd top on 2022 figures and top rated by just 1lb on overall figures, neither have great trainer/jockey stats so I will have to back both of them. 

Grandfather Tom 5/1 6th -1pt 
Coley's Koko 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: Porfin +1pt, No Guts No Glory +1pt 

Total 0pts

NOTTINGHAM 2.20 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 7 runners, there is 3 that have led before and Abate may do best of that trio being my 2nd top rated horse, *Ballet Steps will be a lay if of value to do so as I don't think good to firm ground suits it, Good Luck Fox is my 3rd top rated but top spot belongs to the 3yo DUSKY PRINCE 9/2 who has been in good form completing its hattrick of wins before finishing 4th last time out and a repeat of its best time from Goodwood would be good enough to see it back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Dusky Prince 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 


WOLVERHAMPTON 4.18 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners, I can see a couple of known pacesetters in Ustath my joint 4th top rated and Stay Smart who is my 3rd top rated and this one is dropped in class to run in this race but hasn't been in good form recently so its the old old battle between form and class but I couldn't back it on its recent form but with an easy lead and rejuvenated by meeting lessor horses it just could possibly win this race but it too big a risk for me to get involved unless its an each way price or its seriously backed, Q Twenty Boy 7/2 is a course and distance winner but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early gallop so this race might not be run to suit it, Mutabaahy comes out 2nd best on my figures but this 7yo hasn't shown any noteworthy form of late but could make the frame if on a going day but my money will be riding on CATESBY 5/1 who recorded its best rating earlier this year and showed its liking for this Tapeta surface when finishing 2nd last time out at Southwell after being slowly away and where it was beaten by Ustath but meets that rival on 8lbs better terms and if away on level terms here should reverse the form. 

Catesby 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 5.45 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, I'm not sure what to expect from Counsel who won last time out over a furlong further and hasn't any form over this distance that was a decent enough race and it was always up with in the firing line so could easily be good enough to win this race, on ratings over today's distance Wajd comes out in joint top spot along with Equiano Springs so I think this race is best left alone. 

-

THIRSK 6.07 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners and 5 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious dash, Alligator Alley 5/2 hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2019 and although this is a drop in class I'm not sure whether I should lay it or not, on just 2022 ratings there is only 1lb between my top 3 horses Birkenhead, Khabib and MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 but the latter has a rating from 2021 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily and looking at the early tissue prices it might be the value call in this race and if getting to the front it might prove hard to peg back.

Modular Magic 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day - 3pts

Wednesday, 10 August 2022

2:45 Beverley Racing Tips (11th August)

BEVERLEY 2.45 

In this race I'm not sure what I can find to lay and its maybe best if I leave it until I've seen the betting to see if there's anything of value to lay and it does look likely that I might find one or possibly two to lay, with 3 known front running types in the race it should be a true run affair but I doubt if any of the front runners are capable of leading all the way for the victory, Arnold can produce good speed figures but all of its best form comes in races one level lower than this race, my top 2 rated horses both come from the Paul Midgley stable. In fact the trainer has 3 runners in the race, I'm not so keen on the chances Nibras Again but this ones jockey has the slightly better win ratio for the stable and if its the only one of his trio that's trying it could possibly win this race but if all 3 are trying i think its hard to split VAN GERWEN 13/2 and LATIN FIVE 13/2 the former has the slightly better rating for just 2022 while the latter comes out in top spot overall using a rating it recorded at Nottingham in 2021 so I will be backing them both as I cannot split them. 

Van Gerwen 13/2 4th -1pt 
Latin Five 12/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

FFOS LAS 3.30 

There's 7 runners and 1 known front running type in Bibulous who has only slow times over this distance on good ground and I'm not sure it likes fast good to firm ground, I think Me Next and Celerity will be outsiders in this race and I doubt they can win, Gilt Edge and Dora Penny are my 4th and 3rd top rated horses, Vape comes out in 2nd top spot and could be the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on RABAT 11/2 who won last time out and has been found the ideal opportunity to follow up in this race .

Rabat 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Tuesday, 9 August 2022

2:30 Salisbury Racing Tips (10th August)

SALISBURY 2.30 

AMOR DE MI VIDO 5/2 comes out in 3rd top spot on my figures and usually likes to track the leaders but needs to improve to win this race. 

GLAMOROUS BREEZE 9/4 usually prefers to race in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish but might struggle to catch the leader in this race. 

SO SMART 6/1 a front running 3yo type who has made the frame in 5 of its races on turf but hasn't in 12 races in total but comes out top rated on my figures and looks the value call at the price. 

NORDIC GLORY 7/1 another 3yo who seems versatile with its racing tactics, it hasn't won on grass and only produced slow times but has 3 wins on the AW tracks.

SYMBOL OF HOPE 9/1 is the other likely pacesetter and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures and could be the one for the forecast. 

DELEGATE THIS LORD 9/1 hasn't shown much lately time wise and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race.

SUMMARY: With my top 2 ratings, Symbol Of Hope and SO SMART 6/1, being the known front running types they could have the race between them and the latter has been found an ideal opportunity to discard its maiden tag and a repeat of its time recorded over this course and distance it would win with a bit in hand and the trainer has been in good form over the last couple of weeks.

So Smart 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

Monday, 8 August 2022

3:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (9th August)

NOTTINGHAM 3.50 

A five runner class three race where they are either three or four year olds, I can see one known front running type which always help my analysis, I'm not sure what conditions Audience 15/8 wants to get back to winning ways as it has faded over six furlongs but also ran as though further would suit it better, Burning Cash 4/1 and Korker 2/1 are closely rated but a few spots behind Whethedealisdone 5/1 in 2nd top spot but my top rated horse NIGHT ON EARTH 14/1 is also the likely pacesetter and could win this race from the front and certainly looks worth the risk at the price its a shame an each way bet isn't really worthwhile with only 2 places up for grabs. 

Night On Earth 14/1 1st +14pts

Total +14pts

CARLISLE 6.50 

A nine runner class four handicap and I cannot find a front running type amongst them so caution is the key to this race especially stake wise, this race might not be run to suit Secretinthepark 9/1 and this one is outside my top four ratings while Indian Sounds 9/2 has been in poor form recently so could be worth laying if of value to do so, Ginger Jam 16/1 is my third top rated horse and is usually held up for a late run so may not be suited to today's race, the top weight Ventura Flame 3/1 is my joint top rated but another that is usually held up for a late run may not get to the front quickly enough so I will be relying on SACRED JEWEL 12/1 (EW) to do the business it has decent trainer and jockey stats which is always a bonus and likes to track the early pacesetters, it won two races ago over today's distance at Leicester, its last run can be ignored as it was hampered leaving the stalls and didn't get involved in the race but I will be having an each way bet at the price on offer.

Sacred Jewel 14/1 6th -2pts

Lay bets Indian Sounds +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +13pts


Sunday, 7 August 2022

7:15 Ripon Racing Tips (8th August)

RIPON 7.15 

BUNIANN is usually held up for a late run but would need to improve time wise to win this race if others run to their best so could be one to lay. 

POINT OF WOODS if able it likes to track the leaders but I'm not convinced it likes fast good to firm ground, I expect it will be a double figure price.

COLEY'S KOKO can either race in midfield or be held up in the early stages of a race and then finish well and is my top rated and that is using a course and distance rating. 

RED WALLS is another that doesn't seem to appreciate fast good to firm ground and time wise needs to improve but I expect it will be a double figure price. 

HOT SCOOP races as though further would suit it better but it finishes fast over today's distance and comes out in 2nd top spot co could go well and maybe an each way bet. 

FORESEEABLE FUTURE is one of two horses that have been known to lead before but it might have been flattered when finishing 2nd at Thirsk and maybe worth taking on. 

CANARIA PRINCE the other possible pacesetter sits just outside my top 3 ratings but could do enough from the front to make the frame.

MARSELAN has poor recent form and hasn't won over this distance and might be better over further but I expect it to be an outsider. 

ORCHID ROSE comes in 3rd top spot on my own speed figure ratings and is usually held up for a late run but hasn't been in good form lately. 

THE GREY LASS a 3yo who looks likely to do better when racing over a longer distance and is still a maiden after 10 races. 

ARRIANNIE a 3yo who has shown very little so far and I expect it will be a big outsider in this race. 

SUMMARY: I think Canaria Price could set the pace here and my 4th top rated could maybe make the frame and Foreseeable Future 3/1 could make sure the early pace is a good gallop but I think it might be a shorter price than it merits because of its race where it finished 2nd at Thirsk and might be worth laying, I could look to lay The Grey Lass who may prefer further and is still a maiden after 10 races, Hot Scoop could stay on at the finish and might be worth an each way wager if its of value to bet, my money will be riding on COLEY'S KOKO 15/2 and being a hold up sort I hope that exactly what is does (KOKO means keep on keeping on, used a lot in the Northern Soul scene) and a repeat of its speed rating over this course and distance from last year it would win with a bit too spare.

Coley's Koko 15/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Foreseeable Future -3.3pts, The Grey Lass +1pt 

Total on the day -3.3pts

Friday, 5 August 2022

2:10 Ascot Racing Tips (6th August)

ASCOT 2.10 

Not a bad looking class 2 dash where half of the 10 runners have been known to lead before so I expect it will be fast and furious if that's possible over this stiff course, I think it will be a race where I will back one of the likely pacemakers and one that comes from off the pace to cover the angles, Hurricane Ivor 10/1 would need to improve on its best 2021 rating to win this race and hasn't shown anything worthwhile in its 3 runs this year so could be worth laying if a single figure price, King Of Stars 11/2 is my 4th top rated and a possible pacesetter and could make the frame if others falter but isn't really an each way price, Count D’Orsay 7/1 is my 3rd top rated but doesn't seem completely at ease on fast good to firm ground, i have joint top rated horses in LAMPANG 12/1 (EW) who likes to run from the front and recorded its best time at Hamilton last year so should be ok on this course, DUBAI STATION 16/1 (EW) usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger in the closing stages and this race could be run to suit it as the early pace could be too fast and then some would fade nearing the finish but neither of my 2 bets have good trainer stats but luckily they are both each way prices so I will be having two each way wagers. 

Lampang 12/1 3rd +1.4pts
Dubai Station 16/1 9th -2pts 

Total -0.6pts

REDCAR 4.02 

This is a typical class 6 stakes race which wont take much winning, and most have not been in great form of late and only 4 horses have wins over this distance to their name and 3 of those wins are course and distance winners, Newgate Angel could set the pace to the race it would need to improve time wise to win the race but could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Stroxx is my 3rd top rated but hasn't ever won over today's distance but could possibly make the frame, Koropick comes out in 2nd top spot but once again hasn't won over this distance so my money will be riding on CUPPACOCO 7/2 who is my top rated and ran well last time out when finishing 2nd and has been found an ideal opportunity to go one better here and get back to winning ways. 

Cuppacoco 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 7.05 

One front running type in this race is Enduring who could go well from the front and might be worth an each way interest if allowed to set a slower early pace but I doubt it will be allowed an easy lead in this race,, *Iconic Knight 6/1 won last time out over a furlong further than today's distance so might get outpaced here in the early stages but does come out in 3rd top spot using a Tapeta rating but that surface does seem to suit it better and maybe worth laying in this race, my 2nd top rating is Pablo Del Pueblo 12/1 who is the other horse known to lead before and could go well here after running on turf in its last few races and doing very little in its last 3 runs but the switch to this Polytrack surface could rejuvenate it and might be worth an each way interest but my money will be on COME ON GIRL 11/2 who is a course and distance winner and my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 27% win ratio on all the stables runners and 50% win ratio on the stables older horse, he won on the horse 2 runs ago but it was beaten last time out with an apprentice taking the ride but the switch back to today's jockey makes me believe connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race.

*NR

Come On Girl 6/1 1st +6pts

Total 6pts

Total on the day +4.4pts

Thursday, 4 August 2022

2:20 Brighton Racing Tips (5th August)

BRIGHTON 2.20 

There's 12 entrants of which 5 have been known to lead before, I am not sure if I can see anything worthwhile to put forward as a lay bet in this race but that may change when I've seen the betting, Smeaton's Light and Michael's Choice are my joint 5th top rated and possible pacesetters, Recon Misson my 4th top rated and Doc Sportello in 2nd top spot are also known as front running types so this race could be fast and furious and I think they will battle hard for the lead here and then be tiring nearing the finish and play into the hands of something coming from off the pace, Evasive Power is my 3rd top rated and can track the leaders or be held up for a late run but if BATCHELOR BOY 14/1 (EW) can reproduce its best rating which it recorded over this course and distance last year it would come on hard and fast at the finish and win this race with a bit too spare and if an each way price then all the better. 

Batchelor Boy 16/1 3rd  +2.2pts

Total +2.2pts

BRIGHTON 4.25 

A field of 9 with 1 known front running type amongst them, Mr Pc 11/2 finished 2nd over this course and distance in a slow run affair and hasn't won before on grass from 10 attempts it could run ok and does have decent trainer stats and good jockey stats so it will be a smaller lay but I would still look to lay it on the win part only, others that could possibly be looked at with the objective to lay them are, Our Man In Havana 6/1 who may need further and Hot Hot Hot 5/1 for the same reason, Ard Up is a hold up type and my 4th top rated, Hattie C 16/1 comes out in 3rd top spot and Lethal Angel sitting in 2nd top spot so any or all of them could run well but I will be backing KING CRIMSON 10/1 (EW) who is my top rated and also the only known front running type in the race so could set the pace and lead from start to finish and at a double figure price it has to be backed each way. 

King Crimson 10/1 2nd +1pt 

Lay Bets Mr Pc +1pt, Hot Hot Hot +1pt 

Total +3pts

Total on the day +5.2pts