2:22 Thirsk Racing Tips (1st August)

THIRSK 2.22 

5F Class 4 

JOHN KIRKUP 11/2 trainer has had 5 -41 in the last 2 weeks and stats 9% win ratio all runners 5% older horses only, can be held up or track the leaders,may prefer some cut in the ground, so one I would look to lay in the going is good or better.

STARS IN THE NIGHT 6/1 usually tracks the leaders, trainer has 4-24 record in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 13% and 15% for just older horses, jockey stat 15% both age groups, another I would look to lay.

ROYAL CONTEX usually tracks the pacesetters, trainer 5-41 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 9% all horses but only 5% with older horses, jockey is 12% and 10%, poor recent form and another I would like to lay IF its a single figure price.

READY FREDDIE GO 3yo again likes to track the early pace, trainer is 1-10 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats, 4% overall, 6% for just 3yo’s, 0-23 for older horses, jockey 21% overall, 25% 3yo’s and 20% for older horses, comes out 4th top so could possibly make the frame.

PRINCESS POWER 6/1 trainer is 2-38 for last 2 weeks, trainer stats 7% overall and 4% with older horses, jockey stats 9% overall and 12% on older horses, my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish but isn't really an each way price.

QUEEN OF KALAHARI 13/2 trainer is 1-11 last 2 weeks, trainer stats 13% and 15%, jockey stats 14% and 18%, last won in 2019 and another i would look to lay at the price.

SHALAA ASKER 3yo trainer is 1-9 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 1-11 overall, 0-4 with 3yo’s, 1-3 with older horses, jockey stats 8% overall, 6% with 3yo’s, 8% with oder horses, is my 2nd top rated and usually tracks the leaders.

LOST MY SOCK 8/1 3yo trainer is 9-87 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 8% overall, 7% with 3yo’s, 12% with older horses, jockey stats 12% overall, 13% with 3yo’s, 14% with older horses, usually runs in midfield but may find this too far if there's a fast early pace so maybe a possible lay.

KOROPICK trainer is 0-4 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 0-11 overall, jockey stats 0-5 overall, races midfield, poor recent form and hasn't won since 2017 and a big outsider.

SUMMARY: I have mentioned a possible lay about 6 of the 9 runners the reason I am undecided is because of the lack of known front runners so any stakes will be kept low, I am hoping for at least a decent early pace (something has got to lead so lets hope more than one horse changes its usual racing tactics and they take each other on for the lead) Koropick has a fast time in a lower class race but hasn't won since 2017 and that time is looking a fluke when it got carried along in a fast run race and I'm doubting it can repeat that time, Ready Freddie Go is my 3rd top rated who has poor trainer stats but good jockey stats so I'm not sure which set of data is correct for here but could make the frame, Princess Power is my 2nd top rated and does need a fast pace to aim at and if there is a good early pace it could with a clear run make the frame but my money, well pennies, will be riding on the 3yo SHALAA ASKER 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but if the early pace is a slow one then anything could win so caution is the keyword. 

SHALLA ASKER 4/1 1PW 

LOST MY SOCK 8/1 2PL 

QUEEN OF KALAHARI 13/2 1PL 

PLEASE CHECK THE GOING BEFORE BETTING AS ALL MY ANALYSIS IS DONE USING GOOD OR FASTER GROUND

1:35 Newmarket Racing Tips (31st July)

NEWMARKET 1.35 

A poor turnout of just 6 runners luckily there is 2 known front running types in the race, Adaay To Remember and Al Simmo but both would need to improve their times to win this race although the former is a 3yo so could still improve and the latter is my 4th top rated horse, I will look to lay Pornstar Martini if its a single figure price, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in, Princess Power who recorded its best time back in 2019 and Restless Endeavour who recorded its best time last time out when winning at Thirsk but I am hoping PEARL OF QATAR 7/1 is ready to run its best and a repeat of its time at Hamilton earlier this year would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Pearl Of Qatar 7/1 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

HAMILTON 6.20 

Another poor turnout of 6 runners but there's is 2 known front running types in Tanasoq who is better over a shorter distance so one i will look to lay as I am hoping the pace will be set by Bossipop who is my 3rd top rated, my other lay will be Jordan Electircs who did win last time out but in a slow run race, which might have flattered it, and I doubt will happen here with 2 pacesetters in the race,I have joint top rated horses, Gunmetal finished 3rd last time out in a slow run affair and its best time comes from 2020 at Ripon and it doesn't want the going to be too fast, I will be hoping that *STRONSAY 18/1 will appreciate the fast early pace and then stay on the strongest at the finish. 

*NR

HAMILTON 6.50

An 8k class 3 conditions race and a poor turnout of just 5 runners, both Soldiers Minute and Emeraaty Ana may be better when racing over a longer distance and the latter is my 3rd top rated sol should be staying on at the finish, El Astronaute has been known to lead but hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and may be on a downward spiral as age catches up with it and one I will look to lay, my 2nd top rated is Dubai Station who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish but i will be hoping that my top rated horse QUE AMORA 2/1 can set the early pace and then hold on for the victory.

Que Amora 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts 

8:10 Bath Racing Tips (30th July)

BATH 8.10 

GINGER JAM has a time from 2020 that would put it at the top of my figures and is usually held up for a late run and this race could suit it. 

POP DANCER the 1st of 3 known front running types in this race and its best time from 2020 at Sandown would make it my joint 2nd top rated.

FERNANDO RAH 11/10 this 3yo is another possible pacesetter and is the other joint 2nd top rated and could still improve being a youngster so has to be feared.

SENECA CHIEF would need to improve time wise to win this race but it is fairly consistent when it gets its ideal conditions. 

VANDAD the 3rd and final possible pacesetter is my top rated and it recorded its best time last time out at Brighton and has been found an opportunity to follow up here.

SARAH'S VERSE hasn't any form over this distance and it does appear that a longer distance would suit it better 

SUMMARY: 3 of my top 4 ratings are all front running types so it should be a mad furious dash for the line, I'm hoping that *VANDAD 7/2 can get to the front here and if doing so could be hard to catch so it will be carrying my cash. 

*NR

MUSSELBURGH 8.22 

CLARENDON HOUSE 7/4 this 3yo is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics including leading and comes out 3rd top using a time recorded at Newmarket this year.

VICTORY ANGEL is usually held up for a late strong run and is 2nd top on its best time recorded over this course and distance this year.

STARS IN THE NIGHT its best time from 2020 wouldn't be good enough to win this race even with the apprentices 7lb claim. 

MILITIA 11/4 the 2nd of the known front running types in this race but its best time recorded on its last race would make it my 4th top rated.

GET BOOSTING has its best time recorded this year over this course and distance but it would need to improve time wise to win this race.

KRAKEN POWER is another that will need to improve time wise to win this race and I think it will be better when racing over a longer distance. 

PRIMOS COMET 6/1 has the best time for this race but its best times have been recorded in lower class races than this one so maybe worth laying at the price. 

SUMMARY: I expect Clarendon House and/or Militia to set the pace I have only 1lb between them on my ratings, I'm not sure the bottom weight, Primos Comet, is quite up to winning this class of race so I will be putting my money on *VICTORY ANGEL 13/2 who likes a fast pace to aim at so this race could suit it ideally but i wont be betting too heavily in this race.

*NR

6:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (29th July)

NEWCASTLE 6.25 

I usually love AW racing but to be truthful neither of today's class 3 races fill me with confidence, May Remain has won in Ireland and has a time from Kempton that would make it my joint top rated and its one of two known front running types in this race but whether it can reproduce that time on this surface I have no idea but its one try over this course and distance resulted in a time too slow to register on my figures so I will stick with the proven, COPPER KNIGHT 3/1 is the other likely front runner and its time from 2020 makes it my other joint top rated but its best time for this year has been quite a bit slower, the one that comes out top rated on just 2021 course and distance times is SALUTI 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Saluti 15/2 1st +7.5pts 

Copper Knight 100/30 Unp -1pt 

Total +6.5pts

NEWCASTLE 6.55 

Quite a mish mash of form in this race and looking at things I would never have thought it was a class 3 affair, I haven’t got one horse with a rating for this year and only one horse with a rating for this course and distance at least i can see five horses that have led before so it should be a true run affair and I think it ought to be won from the front, the 3yo Strike Red has a fast time from the turf at Hamilton but hasn't any form on this surface at this distance, Lipsink is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics, I will be backing two runners in this race and both of them do like to lead, MOHAREB 11/2 who is the only one who has recorded its best time over this course and distance which happened in 2020 but hasn't any form to its name for this year and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable but isn't quite top rated as PAPA STOUR 7/1 has a faster time but it was recorded at Chelmsford which is a different surface so cannot be ignored and it does have fairly good jockey stats.

Mohareb 11/2 6th -1pt 

Papa Stour 7/1 8th 

Total on the day +4.5pts

3:20 Redcar Racing Tips (28th July)

REDCAR 3.20 Div I 

A 15 runner race in a class 6 affair and to be honest I probably should leave these 2 divisions alone and there is several 3yo’s and also some lightly raced types and to be honest these races wont take much winning but I will be having a small wager in the race if *EPEIUS 12/1 (EW) is a double figure price so I can have an each way punt as it has a good time for this class which it recorded at Pontefract in 202 and an even higher speed figure from 2019 when winning at Hamilton but it hasn't shown much in its 3 runs this year but as long as its good to firm ground I will have a small each way punt. 

*NR

REDCAR 3.55 Div II  

This 2nd division falls into the same category as the 1st division where the race wont take much winning and there's a few 3yo and other lightly raced sorts so any stakes have to be kept low but i have seen that FIRM DECISIONS 14/1 is similar to my 1st selection punt in that it has a time from 2020 at Newmarket that is above this lowly class of race and again it has an even better speed figure from 2019 at Carlisle and if it can repeat either of those times it would be winning a shade cosily. Please don't go mad in these two races they are risky punts and it is only the prices that make any appeal and I would maybe go with a place only bet on Betfair or 25% win and 75% place.

Firmdecisions 14/1 6th -2pts

Total on the day -2pts 

2:40 Beverley Racing Tips (27th July)

BEVERLEY 2.40 

A 9 runner race where I can only find Show Yourself 3/1 to have led before but it is held by Ava Go Joe on today's revised terms where the former won by half a length getting 10lbs from the runner-up but today there is only 6lbs between them with again the winner being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice but both would need to improve time wise against some of these but being 3yo’s they could still have enough improvement within them, I will look to lay Impressor if its a single figure price as I don't think it will appreciate the going if its good to firm, Ventura Flame 9/1 is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded this year at Hamilton and its the sort of horse that I think will be able to repeat its best and it could be a nice each way bet, the bottom weight Mutabaahy 12/1 is my 2nd top rated on a time when it won at Ripon this year but the one for me in this race is LATIN FIVE 7/1 as its my top rated using a time it recorded at Nottingham earlier this year and the jockey has a reasonable strike rate on the stables older horses.

Latin Five 12/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

2:15 Ayr Racing Tips (26th July)

AYR 2.15 

A 12 runner race with 3 front running types, I will look to lay Glenamoy Lad 13/2 who hasn't won since 2017 and Jessie Allan 11/1 who won last time out but in a slow run race so may have been flattered by that piece of form,looking at my figures I expect the pace will be set by Jordan Electrics and/or Rebel Redemption as they are my 4th and 3rd top rated using times they recorded this year at Hamilton and Carlisle, I had to go back to 2019 to find the best time for Paddy Power and its time when it won over this course and distance 3 runs ago this year was a slow run affair and I think age is catching up with this 8yo, my money will be riding on STRONSAY 9/1 with an each way wager at the price, who I fancied last time it ran but things didn't go to plan for it that day where the early pace was quite slow and then when the leaders kicked on it got outpaced before staying on again at the finish with there being more early paced sorts in this race it should have the good pace to aim at which it likes. 

Stronsay 9/1 10th -2pts 

Lay bets Glenamoy Lad +1pt, Jessie Allan +1pt 

Total 0pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35 

Eleven runners with 3 front running types in the field, I will look to lay Nacho 5/1 who has only produced slow times in its 4 runs over this course and distance and Bellevarde 4/1 who also has had 4 course and distance runs and not produced a time good enough to register on my figures and this one also has poor trainer/jockey stats, its not a great race and I've only got 5 runners with a rating, Katherine Place who’s best time comes from 2019, Signore Piccolo who’s best time comes from Newcastle, Qaaraat who hasn't shown much so far this year over this distance, Street Life who did its best time when winning at Newcastle but has 2 slow times form its only 2 course and distance runs, the one carrying my money has never run on this surface before but has a time from Chelmsford that would put it 9lb higher than anything else plus its the other possible pacesetter slim hoping that *DARK SIDE PRINCE 5/1 can get to the front and then prove too hard to catch and the jockey booking makes me think the stables expecting a big run here. 

*NR 

Lay bets Nacho +1pt, Bellevarde +1pt 

Total +2pts  

WINDSOR 6.25

Only 7 runners in a class 4 affair and to be fair I was going to leave this race alone before I checked the form of the 3yo’s in the race, I can see the 3yo Enduring setting the pace to the race but this one has only slow times on turf from its 5 races where its not even made the frame but its best time on the AW at Chelmsford would make it my 2nd top rated so could go well here but I will be backing another 3yo in the shape of AL SAARLYAH 8/1 who recorded a time at Yarmouth in 2020 that would make it my top rated, its 3 runs this year can be ignored as its not had the ideal conditions but as long as its doesn't rain here it has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. 

Al Saarlay 8/1 1st +8pts 

Total +8pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.35 

A field of 13 in a class 5 race that looks above average for its class, there's five 3yo’s amongst them and 2 known front running types, there is a few forecast to be around the 10/1 mark that I would lay if a single figure price so the betting will decide whether I have any lays or not, I've got very little between Turanga Leela (one of the possible pacesetters), Tathmeen, Spanish Angel, Al Asef and Martineo on my ratings so any could run well but I have Zamjar as my top rated but that time came from a Newcastle time back in 2019 and has only slow times here from 2 runs, my money will be riding on CUBAN BREEZE 15/2 who is the other known pace setting type and in the make-up of this race stall 11 might not be too bad and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch and with its good trainer/jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here.  

Cuban Breeze 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +9pts 

3:00 Pontefract Racing Tips (25th July)

PONTEFRACT 3.00 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners for this class 3 race over 6 furlongs, I will look to lay, Zumurud 4/1 who needs to improve time wise and hasn't won since 2019 plus it also has poor trainer/jockey stats, and Afandam 4/1 who has recorded only slow times in its recent runs and its best time came form back in 2018 and that would need to be improved upon to win this race, the top weight Corinthia Knight 7/4 is forecast to be the hot favourite according to the tissue prices but this trip seems to be too much for it on good to firm ground and there's 3 front running types in the race so I will likely lay all 3 of them, I've got Marks Choice and EQUIANO SPRINGS 20/1 (EW) as my joint top rated using just 2021 times but the former may not like the ground if it is good to firm but I will be backing the latter and its a shame there's not enough runners for there to be 3 places if having an each way wager,I will also be backing the other possible pacesetter in the shape of HIGHLY SPRUNG 7/1 as it has good trainer/jockey stats just like my other selection, I'm not sure which one will prevail but I'm hoping that one of them can lead from start to finish. 

Highly Sprung 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Equiano Springs 20/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets Zumurud +1pt, Afandam +1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 5.10 

With 8 runners in this race I was hoping to find an each way value punt, if the bottom weight Ruby Wonder is a single figure price, which I doubt will happen, then I would lay it as i think it will need this run for fitness and its form hasn't been great anyway, Van Gerwen comes out in 3rd top spot, might be worth an each way punt, and along with my 2nd top rated Khabib 11/8 they like to track the leaders and I will most likely be backing the latter as a covering bet just in case the only known front running type AUCKLAND LODGE 7/1 doesn't reproduce its best, it has won 3 races from 12 on turf but hasn't been placed in any of the other 9 so it looks like it wins or isn't in the mix so I will back the win part only. 

Auckland Lodge 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pts

MUSSELBURGH 5.15 

A field of 17 with 4 known front runners amongst them, the trainer Jim Goldie has 4 runners in this race so I'm not sure what his intentions are but going just with jockey bookings Primos Comet 12/1 may do best of the quartet but Sound Of Iona and Tanasoq both have better speed figures, the former Sound Of Iona has a poor jockey stat of 0-8, while I will be looking to lay his other runner Global Humor 8/1 who has done all its winning over a longer distance, its a wide open race and not bad for a class 5 affair, any of Glory Fighter, Gunnerside, Never Dark, Good Luck Fox, Water Of Leith and Economic Crisis have pieces of form that could see them running well and there might well be an each way punt amongst them but i will be putting my trust in MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 who won 2 runs ago at Ayr over this distance in a good time on good to firm ground but didn't seem as happy last time out on just good ground so I'm hoping the rain stays away and with good to firm ground I am hoping it can lead all the way.

Modular Magic 8/1 1st +8pts 

Lay bet Global Humor +1pt 

Total +9pts 

Total on the day +7pts

2:05 York Racing Tips (24th July)

YORK 2.05 

I think the 3 at the bottom of this class 3 handicap might be outclassed at this level in terms of winning this race but both Dark Shot and Eeh Bah Gum have been known to lead so could possibly do enough to make the frame and if pushed I would side the former doing best of them, Secretinthepark races as though further would suit it better and I could lay any of them if a single figure price, Mid Winster, Ventura Express and James Watt have recorded their best times this year so could go well in this race but I will be looking to back SOUL SEEKER 7/1 who will be trying to run on strongly at the business end of the race and this race could be run to suit it. 

Soul Seeker 7/1 1st +7pts 

Total +7pts

YORK 2.40

I can see a couple of known front running types in this race although one of them Giogiobbo would need to improve time wise to win this race, Manigordo can produce fast times but usually in a lower class race than today's but will be trying to stay on at the finish, I will look to lay Mundammej 11/2 who I think can struggle to stay this distance on turf, Golden Apollo 7/1 who might need further on good to firm going and could be another to lay, I'm not 100% sure if MUSIC SOCIETY 10/1 (EW) wants really fast good to firm ground but has a good chance on the clock to win this race and I will be having an each way bet on it, my other bet will also be each way on *TYPHOON TEN 33/1 (EW) who is a front running type and if getting to the front in this race it could prove hard to catch and I am hoping its an each way price for a bit of insurance. 

*NR 

Music Society 10/1 2nd +1.5pts 

Total +1.5pts 

NEWMARKET 5.20

This is a nice looking class 3 race and a good place to start is with Mr Wagyu who has been running out of its skin lately mainly in class 4 races but has run well in higher class affairs so I expect it to go well here, it likes to lead and is the only known front running type in the race plus it is my 2nd top rated in this race, I cannot see anything in the race that I could put forward as a lay in this race but I will be hoping that *LINCOLN PARK 9/2 can reproduce the time it recorded at Chester and if doing so would win with a bit in hand. 

*NR

SALISBURY 6.05 

An eight runner race where I will look to lay Starchant 11/1 and Spreadsheet 9/2 as usual if they are single figure prices, there's a couple of 3yo’s that could be hidden dangers but I will as usual stick with the proven and will be backing both HAVEONEYERSELF 9/4 who could try to lead all the way in this race and the other known front running type is CORONATION COTTAGE 11/1 and they are my 2 top rated so I'm hoping they don't cut each others throats trying to lead but I cannot see anything to take them on with so I will backing them both. 

Haveoneyerself 1st +3.5pts

Coronation Cottage 11/1 4th -1pt

Lay bets Starchant +1pt, Spreadsheet +1pt

Total +4.5pts

SALISBURY 7.35 

A field of 9 runners and as I hope to have an each way punt in this race I need at least 8 of them to run, I could lay three of the four 3yo’s in this race if they are a single figure price but I know if I lay all them one of them will improve enough to cause me to lose, Amathus is my 2nd top rated using just times from 2021 but that time is only good enough for joint 5th top place, along with Enduring, on overall figures and the latter recorded its time on an AW track and has poor form on turf, Aramis Grey comes out 3rd top but once again that's using a time from an AW track, the top weight Theotherside is one of three horses from the Hannon stable and is my 2nd top rated using a time from 2020 but I will hopefully be having an each way punt on KENDERGARTEN KOP 9/1 (EW) who recorded its best time this year at Brighton but the trainer hasn't got great stats but I'm hoping this one can get to the front and then prove hard to catch.

Kendergarten Kop 14/1 7th -2pts 

Total on the day +11pts

 

4:10 Ascot Racing Tips (23rd July)

ASCOT 4.10 

Only 6 runners with 4 of them having led before it could be a fast and furious 5 furlong dash, the bottom two, Mountain Peak 8/1 and Bedford Flyer 7/1 have a negative against their names so may be worth laying, Jawwaal 11/4 will need the leaders to tire badly to catch them, Tis Marvellous and Significantly could both try to lead but on overall speed figures they may struggle to keep up with CASPIAN PRINCE 9/1 who if getting to the front could prove hard to catch especially if it can reproduce its best time Musselburgh earlier this year and looks the value call in the race if nothing else. 

Caspian Prince 16/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

THIRSK 4.35 

There's a couple of known front runners in this race but neither feature top 4 ratings, I will look to lay Celerity 9/1 if its still a single figure price near the off which I doubt will happen, Hard Solution 9/2 may need a longer trip on good to firm ground it nearly always runs well but I'm doubting it will stay on fast enough to win this race so maybe another worth laying, the 3yo Royal Jazz has only a slow time over this distance on good ground and despite being a possible pacesetter it will need to improve time wise to win this race and may get taken on for the lead by Spirit Power and both may fade nearing the finish and if it wasn't for the fact that Royal Jazz is a 3yo I would out it up as a lay, Hello Girl 14/1 is my 2nd top rated on both 2021 times and overall figures so maybe worth a small each way punt but I will be backing the 3yo ALBEGONE 4/1 who recorded its best time this year over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning again. 

Albegone 9/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Clebrity +1pt

Total 0pts

YORK 6.30 

For a class 4 race this is quite poor although I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay but the betting might change my mind, Hurstwood is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded at Ripon this year and usually likes to track the leaders but I cannot see a natural front running type in the race which always causes me problems in analysing a race, sitting in 2nd top spot is Gunmetal but this ones best time also came from last year at Ripon but I have OBEE JO 11/2 sitting in top pot with a few spots in hand, it won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race and booked jockey has a 20% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Obee Jo 6/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHEPSTOW 7.40 

A 5 furlong dash with 3 known front running types in the race and those 3 are all in my top 5 ratings, I will look to lay Gherkin who may need further and may also lay Toptime and Glamorous Breeze who are 3yo’s which means they could improve but I'm hoping it doesn't happen in this race, if the leaders go off and cut each others throats then Lethal Angel and or Zulu Zander may be the ones to prosper and might be worth having a covering bet on just incase the leaders tire badly nearing the finish, Davids Beauty and Pink Flamingo are 2 possible pacesetters and could do enough to make the frame but i will be putting my faith in THEGREYVTRAIN 4/1 who is a possible leader and if doing so could be hard to catch, its best time from this year plus the apprentices 7lb claim make it my top rated and it has an even faster time from 2020 which would see it winning with a little bit in hand.

Thegrevytrain 4/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Gherkin +1pt 

Total on the day -2pts