7.15 Chelmsford -
Ladweb is 0-4 on the AW hasn't run here before, has been known to lead before but I'm not sure this surface suits it so one i would look to lay at 4/1.
Avon Green has only a slow time recorded at this c/d and its best from Lingfield would still leave it short so maybe another lay, especially at 9/2.
Jorvik Prince is my 2nd top rated on c/d times but stall 8 isnt ideal with 6 others also liking to lead but could make the frame with some luck.
IMPART this comes out top rated using a time from Lingfield, it hasnt run here before, and could from stall 4 get control of the rails and lead all the way here and at 11/1 it has to be an each way wager.
Sparkalex may enjoy this drop back in trip and does have stall 1 which might not be that good in this instance for its running style
Royal Mazyen hasn't been in good form lately and needs to improve its time if others reproduce their best
No More Commissary strictly on the form is held by Avon Green but this is its handicap debut so it could improver but is drawn in the middle of the front runners so may suffer
Red Stripes is my 2nd top rated and likes to lead but the outside stall here wont help its cause but could make the frame again for the 5th time on the trot without winning but the betting, 11/4 is poor value in my opinion.
Storm Trooper stall 2 is ideal in this race if it can lead but im not sure this surface is its best and its 0-13 on AW tracks.
SUMMARY: With 7 possible pacesetters in a 9 runner race means fast and furious and the slightest miss of a beat as the stalls open could prove a disaster, im going with IMPART 11/1 as my selection it looks the value in the race, it won twice on the trot in this class of race and may have completed the hattrick if it hadnt moved up to class 5, its been dropped back this time out and im hopeful it can gain control of the rails in this race and then lead all the way.
SOUTHWELL 2.45
Lucky Beggar is my 4th top rated and a versatile sort with its racing tactics but here it ought to be staying on strongly at the finish but maybe too late to win the race, Coiste Bodhar is well weighted on its best time but it may need some luck from its draw in this race, Eponina is 0-8 on the all-weather but still comes out 2nd best and again it might need some luck from its middle draw, my top rated is DECLAMATION 6/1 who has the plum draw in stall 1 and for a horse that likes to track the leaders it ought to be able to get a good early position on the rails just behind the leaders from where it could stay on the stronger at the finish and a positive is the trainers 17% win record at this course.
Declaration 7/1 3rd
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6:30 CHELMSFORD
ACRUX hasn't run at this course before but it usually runs on at the finish and has a time from Kempton this year which would see it making the frame.
MUJAASAM hasn't run on this surface before but times from Southwell are a bit lacking but it has a fast time on good to firm on turf so could go well?
GREEN FORTUNE has only a slow time over this course and distance and needs to be more prominent at this distance to stay on at the finish and be competitive.
MONUMENTAL MAN is the only known front-runner in the race and also has the fastest speed figure so I'm hoping it can lead all the way here.
MEERPAT has only got slow times at this distance and looks a much better horse when running over 5 furlongs so one I would lay.
WIRRAL GIRL also looks better over 5 furlongs and I'm not sure this is its favoured surface but does come out 4th best but it's not for me in this race.
SUZI'S CONNOISSEUR hasn't any form over this distance on this surface and all its form points to it needing further to show its true worth and not for me here.
DEMONS AND DRAGONS this 3-year-old only has slow times over this course and distance and looks as though further would suit it better.
SUMMARY: There is a few that might be a bit of a dark horse but all of them have to improve on what they have shown so far to catch the front-runner MONUMENTAL MAN 9/2 who has been in good form lately and I'm expecting it to lead all the way here for a comfortable victory.
Monumental Man 9/2 4th
8:45 Newcastle -
MY NAME IS RIO hasn't any form on this surface and distance and may prefer a slower surface or a shorter trip so not for me in this race (non-runner).
ROUND THE ISLAND has a time from Wolverhampton this year that would put it in my top 6 but its best on this c/d from 2016 would drop it down a few pounds.
NAUTICAL HAVEN is 0-8 on the AW tracks and only shown a slow time at Wolverhampton but has a fast time on g/f going on grass so could be a hidden danger plus it could lead.
KOMMANDER KIRKUP has a time from 2017 that would put it in my top 6 here but its been 11lb below that level so far this year but could make the frame.
BROKEN WINGS an 11 raced 3-year-old maiden who made need further to show its best and on its Wolverhampton best time it needs to improve to win.
VENTURA SPIRIT it ran on well here over 5 furlongs recording a high-speed figure and if staying this distance could go well but its turf form says it might prefer a slower surface.
AVENUE OF STARS would need to improve a few pounds to win this race using its best 2017 time and a slower surface may suit it better.
DANEHILL DESERT has only a slow time from Wolverhampton but its best on turf on good to firm ground would give it some chance here to make the frame.
FIRST EXCEL is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and here it could be prominent from the off in the inside draw but needs to improve timewise to win here.
EPEIUS is my top-rated using a time recorded in 2017 and was a bit unlucky on its last run here after a break and must have a decent chance to win here.
POPPY IN THE THE WIND can find this trip too far if there's a fast early pace which is more likely on this straight course and is running 8lb slower so far this year so not for me.
GLEAMING ARCH hasn't any all-weather form and is a 6 run maiden and I think it may be better when tried over further.
LUCKY LODGE has maybe flattered by its recent form in a lower class when the times have been slow but a 2016 time here would give it a chance but not for me here.
INDIAN WARRIOR can run a decent time but its an 18 run maiden and couldn't win in a lower class but making the frame isn't impossible but doubtful it will win.
SUMMARY: I'm not actually going to put my selection in this summary part just so you have to read all of my ramblings to find it but its not a race to be getting too involved in moneywise because there are a few potentially hidden dangers, which I have given above. (EPEIUS is the selection).
Epeius 8/1 2nd
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2:15 Nottingham -
PLEASE check the going here tomorrow before betting, its ok at this time of writing, Tuesday evening, but there's a lot of rain forecast so I expect I've done the work for nothing but I don't want you to lose money if the goings not suitable.
Only 7 runners but a nice competitive race with 4 of the runners having been known to lead before, the topweight Flying Pursuit looks as though further suits it better and the only 1 I have discounted from the race, Copper Knight and Ornate do have to improve their speed figures to win here, the 3 year old, Kick On Kick On comes out 2nd best on this years figures and its a front runner so could be dangerous if getting to the front but needs to improve, TERUNTUM STAR comes out on top using just 2018 times and likes to track the leaders so this race could be run to suit it, MIRZA a possible pacesetter here comes out 3rd best on this years times and has recorded a much better time in 2017 and hinted at a return to form last time out when finishing 2nd, ive got a time for GRACIOUS JOHN at Haydock that is beginning to look very much like a flash in the pan but never say never, my bets in this race will be backing both Mirza and Teruntum Star to cover the angles and then a much smaller covering bet on Gracious John just incase the Haydock time wasnt a fluke. The rest of today's sprints have a lot of potential hidden dangers so any stakes will be kept low and I will only be backing if there's any value in the betting
Teruntum Star 5/1 2nd
Gracious John 9/1 4th
Mirza 11/1 7th
2:50 Nottingham -
my selection will be OUR LORD 16/1 who I'm hoping can lead all the way but I will only be betting if its an each-way price. (so the price is big enough to tempt me to place a small each way bet if the going isn't on the soft side) Nottingham 3.20 the 2 old timers Seamster 16/1 and Roys Legacy 33/1 have the best times and they do cover both angles of running styles but any stakes will be low but again I will be looking for some value which I've got if it doesn't rain.
Our Lord 16/1 Unp
4:00 Newcastle -
A poor race in my opinion and I've got very little to work with so I will be leaving this race alone.
6:40 Newcastle -
The only horse of note on my figures is Novabridge 11/2 but again it's not a race to get too heavily involved in if at all. (the price wouldn't tempt me to bet but if drifting to 8/1 or higher I would then have a small each way wager) Newcastle 7.10 I've got Sienna Says 9/2 and Star Cracker 4/1 marked down as possible pacesetters in this race and either could win if allowed an easy lead but I do have LITTLE KINGDOM 9/1 rated 3lb higher but once again the betting will decide what I do if anything in this race. (the price is just enough to tempt me to have a small wager) Newcastle 7.40 the four 3-year-olds muddy the waters in this race but Casterbridge could be the one to set the pace but needs to improve to win the race and the one I'm interested in is the topweight INDIAN PURSUIT 8/1 who is usually running on strongly at the finish at this distance and this straight course might suit it.
WOLVERHAMPTON 2.15
Not the greatest class 3 handicap with only one that I think I can discard confidently plus a couple that could be potentially hidden dangers which straight away restricts my stakes, Bowson Fred is my 4th top rated but the only known front-running sort in the race so it could go well if allowed an easy lead, the 2 at the top of the handicap are my joint 2nd top rated and both like to track the pacesetters so they could both make the frame but my top rated is CAPTAIN LARS 3/1 who also likes to track the leaders and then attack late on and from stall 1 it ought to be able to get a good early position from which to attack and the trainer does well at this course as does the jockey for this stable.
Captain Lars 3/1 2nd
KEMPTON 7.00
This race has got 2 front-running types in it and they are my 2 top rated horses and there's 4, Kodiline, Top Boy, Madrinho and The Establishment that could pick up the pieces if they go off too fast and fade but I doubt that will happen with just the 2 vying for the lead from stalls 5 and 6, so I will be backing both RELATED 6/1 and LITTLE PALAVER 10/1 and both have positive jockey bookings so hopefully nothing else will be to catch them and either of them could lead all the way in this race.
Little Palaver 10/1 6th
Related 8/1 7th
KEMPTON 5.45
I've only got Poppy May marked down as a possible pacesetter and on a Chelmsford time comes out 3rd best so could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead but it hasn't raced here before, Lamrei has a good time from Wolverhampton which is a different surface and is 0-19 which is off-putting, another horse with no course form MR POTTER 13/2 has my highest speed figure but again taken from Chelmsford and if able to reproduce that time here could win cosily but there are doubts so stakes won't be at full strength.
Mr Potter 8/1 2nd
KEMPTON 8.45 Div1
A strange race in many ways with just 2 known front-runners I can see the topweight THE LACEMAKER 5/2 going well here and could be hard to catch if getting to the front, if CASTLEREA TESS 8/1 can reproduce its best Wolverhampton time here it would be at least competitive and also has a fast time on good to firm going on grass, my top rated is CHARLIE ALPHA 5/1 who is an 8 run maiden but its best time was recorded last time out at Chelmsford which is the same surface just racing right-handed instead of left and a repeat of that time sees it winning this race.
The Lacemaker 100/30 1st
Charlie Alpha 7/1 9th
Castlerea Tess 10/1 Unp
KEMPTON 9.15 Div2
In this 2nd division I can discount the bottom 5 in the handicap, then I've got Soar Above and Spanish Star as potentially hidden dangers that could improve looking form from elsewhere, Jeopardy John is the only known front-runner in the race but only comes out 5th best but could do enough to make the frame if allowed an easy lead, Artscape is 4th best and always races as though further would suit it better and may stay on too late to make the frame unless others falter, although Swiss Cross won last time out it was a slow run affair and its best time was recorded in 2017 and its my joint 2nd top rated along with Kraka but this ones best time came from Chelmsford and hasn't run here before so it could still go well as its only 1lb below the top-rated AVON GREEN 11/2 who is usually held up for a late run and can go one better than its 2nd place finish last time out.
Avon Green 12/1 4th
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45
There's 3 in this race that has led before and maybe Rumshak will do the best of this trio but needs to improve to win, Consequences is my 3rd top rated and is usually found running on at the finish at this distance as does my 2nd top rated horse Jan Van Hoof while my top rated is the topweight OUTRAGE 11/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but is one that doesn't want a really fast early pace and I'm hoping it can cope in this race against lesser opponents, a note of caution is that all of my top 3 are using times from Newcastle and not course and distance times so if none of them takes to this course I have to look down to Secretfact my 4th top rated to find my highest course and distance rated horse, so its not a race to be betting too heavily in but I will be having a wager on the selection.
Outrage 11/2 6th
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.45
There's just 2 runners that have been known to lead in this race, Anonymous John is one of those possible leaders and my 4th top rated so could go well here but the other front-running type is MONUMENTAL MAN 6/1 my 2nd top rated but is actually top rated on course and distance times, Equally Fast may find this trip too far if there's a fast early pace and I'm not sure if this race will be run to suit it or not but I'm thinking it may be found wanting near the finish, my top rated is WALK ON WALTER 16/1 a three-year-old who did its best time at Newcastle but has won going around a bend so there's no reason why I can't win here but I will go with 2 bets to cover both angles and each way at the latter's price.
Walk On Walter 16/1 1st + £43.75 F/C
Monumental Man 6/1 2nd
Sometimes Eric has a big priced selection he fancies - Secret Tip.
Click the graphic, below, to see what is the name of this 33/1 shot.
