KEMPTON 4.30
I will start off this race saying the 3 lays (Sparkalot + Martineo + The Lamplighter) should ensure an overall profit, which is the bread and butter of every race, finding the winner puts jam on top, it is fairly compact on my speed figures between 7th and 2nd spot and any one of them could make the frame, Prince Of Rome with the apprentices 7lb claim would move to 2nd top spot but the poor jockey stats are a little off-putting, Eljaddaaf has a decent time but from Chelmsford and only slow times over this c/d, Sparkalot is 3rd top on just 2019/20 c/d times and it looks the most likely pacesetter in the race and could do enough to make the frame, Venture is well weighted on its best times but has poor trainer/jockey win stats but could feasibly make the frame, my money will be riding on WILEY POST 9/2 who did win its last race and has been found a good chance to follow up in this race.
KEMPTON 5.00
Only 7 runners and 3 of them I will look to lay, (Hey Ho Lets Go + Noble Deed + Black Isle Boy) I'm not sure what to expect from Mykindofsunshine who is still a maiden after 10 races and I'm not sure the jockey booking is a positive move, the topweight Fancy Flyer has only a slow c/d time from its only race here, I still cannot split GRIGGY10/11 and SWISSAL 11/4, the former is my 2nd top-rated and has very good trainer 4-7 and jockey 6-8 stats and won its last race so is in cracking form, the latter is my top rated but the trainers 0-33 record at this course is a negative but the jockey does have a reasonable 17% strike rate for this stable and I will be backing both of them but I do admit there isn't much value in this race.
LINGFIELD 2.35
Just the essentials for each race with so many races to cover, I will look to lay (Tinto) my 4th top-rated is Mohareb who has been known to lead before and this 4 year could still be able to improve, Merhoob another possible pacesetter is my 3rd top-rated but maybe Lady Dancelot from stall 2 can get out and take control on the rails as it's my 2nd top-rated but I will be backing KACHY 4/5 who will be settled in behind the leaders ready to pounce as the line looms but I will be very surprised if it's not an odds on favourite but it can bolster a multi bet.
Kachy 4/5 PU
Lay bet: Tinto (+1pt)
Total 0
LINGFIELD 3.10
There's a couple of horses I will look to lay, (Jack The Truth + Zac Brown) the bottom-weight Something Lucky is capable of a fast time but usually, in a lower class race than this one, Momtahil is my 2nd top-rated and could be a danger but I will be backing GREEN DOOR 7/2 who is my top rated and I am hoping can lead from start to finish here.
Green Door 7/2 2nd
Lay bets: Jack The Truth (-6pts) Zac Brown (+1pt)
Total -6pts
NEWCASTLE 6.30
A full house of 14 runners in this class 5 race and to be honest it's hard to confidently narrow it down as there's different speed figures on different surfaces, I have 3 that will look to lay (Gamesome + Desert Ace + Airwaves) to make sure of a small profit even my selection doesn't win, Spirit Power is outside my top 3 on just 2019/20 c/d times but had a time from Kempton that would make it top rated but maybe this course doesn't suit it as well but it does have good trainer + jockey stats which may be a pointer to connections expecting a big run here, Big Lachie has a 2018 time that would see it make the frame, Rumshak could set the pace and then become a danger, Mutabaahy has a 7lb claiming apprentice riding which puts it in the mix, my money will be riding on the top-weighted TATHMEEN 5/1 who won last time out and has been found a good chance to follow up.
Tathmeen 5/1 3rd
Lay bets: Gameson (+1pt) Desert Ace (+1pt) Airwaves (+1pt)
Total +2pts
NEWCASTLE 8.00
With 3 known front-running types it should be a true run affair, its hard to find something to lay in this race and just as hard to narrow it down to less than three selections which I will look to dutch, Calin's Lad has an interesting jockey booking but would need to improve timewise to win this race, I KNOW HOW 4/1 is my 3rd top-rated and another with a positive looking jockey booking, LUCKY LODGE 7/1 is my 2nd top-rated and again it's one with a positive looking jockey choice and I have to include my top-rated *ORIENTAL LILLY 11/1 and being a hold-up type that likes a strong pace to aim at this race could be run to suit but I will be backing the 3 horses mentioned but may be tilted in favour of my top rated.
I Know How 4/1 1st
Lucky Lodge 7/1 4th
*NR
Total +3pts
NEWCASTLE 8.30
Another full house of 14 runners and I can only find 2 horses to lay (*Strawberryandcream + Highland Acclaim) Olivia R will be staying on at the finish as will Dream Mount and both may be better over further but they both have very good jockey stats, timewise KOMMANDER KIRKUP 16/1, ZEBULON 9/1, GUNMAKER 3/1, and ONE ONE SEVEN 8/1 are all closely rated so I cannot split them although the latter would be the sole selection if its best time had come at this course instead of at Wolverhampton.
Zebulon 9/1 3rd
Kommander Kirkup 16/1 5th
One One Seven 10/1 6th
Gunmaker 3/1 Unp
Lay bets: High Acclaim (+1pt)
Total -3pts
Total on Day -4pts
SOUTHWELL 6.45
No sprints yesterday then today there's only one race and only four runners, there is one that stands out in the race and that is SANDRIDGE LAD 4/6 who I expect will be a hot favourite and if reproducing its best c/d time from this year it would win with a bit in hand and to be honest, I don't like backing favourites as they are never really any value, I will look to lay (Robero 6/1) as I think this one might want a longer trip to show it best, Zapper Cass 4/1 would have to improve quite a bit on recent form to be competitive in this race, Samovar 11/2 is the only known frontrunning type in this race so if allowed to set its own pace it could go very well and maybe enough to hold on for 2nd place so maybe the best way to prosper in this race is to do the forecast.
Sandridge Lad 8/11 1st
Lay bets: Robero (+1pt)
Total on Day +1.72pts
SOUTHWELL 4.00
I can find 2 (Jorvik Prince + Glacier Fox) to lay in this race and to be fair there's not a lot to separate the rest of the field except for the one I will be backing, Amazing Amaya comes out 4th best but has only ever won once from 14 races on the AW surfaces, Red Stripes comes out 3rd top-rated and it usually leads or at least tries to lead so could go well, Piazon usually likes to track the leaders and comes out 2nd best on my speed figures but the jockeys 0-3 for this stable doesn't inspire confidence, my money will be riding on WARRIOR'S VALLEY 10/1 who has been well handicapped for a few runs now and has been running ok without winning this is a drop down in class compared to its recent opponents and I am hoping it can get back to winning ways now dropped to class 6.
Warrior's Valley 10/1 7th
Lay bets: Jorvik Prince (+1pt) Glacier Fox (+1pt)
Total +1pt
SOUTHWELL 4.35
There's only seven runners but a quite tricky looking affair.
Firstly, there aren't any known front running types in the race which complicates things.
I have a feeling Decision Maker, who won last time out and is my 2nd top-rated on just 2019/20 c/d times, has the stall 1 plum draw, so maybe the one to set the pace or at least contest the lead. If reproducing its best time from 2018 it could well win the race. However, its best rating from 2019 was 12lbs lower which puts me off its chances of winning this race.
I will look to lay both (Puchita + Bawtry Lady) I nearly added Isabella Ruby to the list of lays but it has a piece of form on turf that says it just might like this surface having never raced on it before.
Deeds Not Words has no form here but its best time from Chelmsford would certainly put it in the mix.
Rob's Delight is my 3rd top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times and has good trainer/jockey stat. A winner last time out, so in rude health and should go well again.
My money will be on GORGEOUS GENERAL 11/2 who ran over this c/d 5 runs ago in a class 4 race. Today sees it dropped to class 5 in 3 of its last 4 races but this is the 1st time for a while when its dropped in class and running over its favoured c/d then add on that it has very good trainer/jockey stats and I think it can get back to winning ways in this race.
Generous General 11/2 1st
Lay bets: Puchita (+1pt) Bawtry Lady (+1pt)
Total 7.5pts
Total on Day +8.5pts (+17.5pts profit in 2 days)
CHELMSFORD 1.35
I am not a fan of betting in stakes races they are all carrying the same weight apart from any apprentices allowances and there are only 5lbs between top and bottom on their official handicap rating. I have got 3 that I will look to lay (Watheer + Ask The Guru + Caso Do Lago) Krazy Paving won last time out but it was a slow run affair and this may be much harder for it but it is in good form, Wild Flower has the plum stall 1 draw and that's helpful for a front-running sort and it is my joint 3rd top-rated along with Ask The Guru but this one might be pushed to stay the distance with what looks likely to be a fast early pace, Alba Del Sole has poor jockey stats which is off-putting, I will split my stake between INDIAN AFFAIR 4/1 and POPPY MAY 9/2 who have both been known to lead and if getting to the front either could win the race and my stakes will be kept to a lowish level in this lowish level race.
Indian Affair 4/1 3rd
Poppy May 8/1 9th
Lay bets: Watheer (+1pt) Ask the Guru (+1pt) Caso Do Lago (+1pt)
Total +1pt
CHELMSFORD 3.45
Only 6 runners and just (Lorna Cole) who I could lay, the next three, Green Door, Look Surprised and It Must Be Faith, are all closely rated, Green Door a frontrunner has the plum draw but one of my selections MOVEONUP 9/2 is the other likely pacesetter and is in stall 2 and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but Tone The Barone 1/1 won nicely last time out and could be an improving sort and there is very little between them on times so normally I would back them both but after seeing the betting I will go with just one tip as it is my top rated and much better value than the favourite.
Moveonup 6/1 2nd
Lay bets: Lorna Cole (+1pt)
Total 0pts
NEWCASTLE 5.50
This is a nice looking class 4 race but there isn't a natural known frontrunning type amongst them, I will be laying (Barrington + Lady Of Aran) then there's Mia Mento and Jungle Speed who hasn't raced on the AW before and the latter may not take to this surface but not sure I can actually lay it, the bottom weight Epeius is well weighted on its best time but they are usually in a lower class race than this one, Lucky Lodge is another capable of going well but again usually in class 5 races, my money will be riding on ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 6/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly so if the early pace is slow it could take it up earlier than planned and then prove the stronger and the apprentice jockey does have a 16% win ratio on this stables older horses on the AW.
Athollblair Boy 6/1 1st
Lay bets: Barrington (+1pt) Lady Of Aran (+1pt)
Total 8pts
Total on Day 9pts (Exceptional)
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.10
FAREEQ will be trying to stay on at the finish in this race but I think it's unlikely that it can get there for the win.
JORVIK PRINCE won well 2 runs ago when leading all the way over this distance, its last run was over 6 furlongs which as always has proved too far for it, my thinking here though is I'm not sure this surface suits it 100% and I would perhaps lay it if it's short-priced 5/2 is not value in my opinion.
SENECA CHIEF has only slow times to its name over this c/d back in 2017 when it was in good form, it's definitely not for me in this race and I will look to lay it.
TIME TO REASON has only slow recent times and its best from 2018 wouldn't be good enough to win here and this might not be its favoured surface and a longer trip might suit it better so I have no idea why its a 5/1 shot.
QAARAAT is my top-rated on just 2019/20 c/d times and deserves another win to its name and will be staying on resolutely at the finish especially if there's a fast early pace and the leaders fade nearing the finish
SUPERSEDED is on a losing run of 10 races but it is in stall 2 which is ideal for a frontrunning type but will need to improve to hold on for the win.
DAZACAM is on a losing run of 16 and the trainer has a poor 1-61 win record at this course and the jockey is 0-11 for this stable so one I will look to lay.
CUBAN SPIRIT will be staying on at the finish over this distance, it hasn't run over this c/d before and its best Lingfield time would make it my top-rated but it is a risk backing it as I have no idea if it will like this c/d or not.
RED ALLURE won over this c/d last time out but it was a slow run affair and that was the jockeys 1st win for this stable in 15 runs, it may stay on again here but I'm not sure it can be competitive if there's a fast early pace.
ENCODED has only slow times over this c/d, it has a decent time from Newcastle on this surface but will it handle the bend as well the jockey's record of 0-8 for this stable may point to it struggling here.
STOPDEWORLDNLETMEOF has only poor form to its name and its still a maiden after 26 previous attempts and 19 of those runs were on the AW tracks, so I would lay it but I'm pretty sure it will be a big outsider.
SUMMARY: The plan with this race is to lay (Seneca Chief + Dazacam + Stopdworldnletmeof) for more than my stakes on the win bets on FAREEQ 8/1 who has got good trainer/jockey stats to make me think this horse has been found a good winning opportunity now back to this course and stall 1 is always a bonus and will be staying on strongly at the finish and QAARAAT 6/1 who is well weighted on its best form and has been running well recently and could get back to winning ways here, I have no choice other than to back them both.
Qaaraat 6/1 3rd
Fareeq 12/1 5th
Lay bets: Seneca Chief (+1pt) Dazacam (+1pt) Stopworldnletmeof (+1pt)
Total +1pt
Total on Day +1pt
LINGFIELD 2.55
ROCK BOY GREY hasn't any c/d form to its name and it would need to improve on its best Kempton time
MOUNT WELLINGTON has only slow times over this c/d and on this surface so this surface doesn't look to suit it so a lay in my opinion.
ROYAL DYNASTY could set the pace if nothing else wants to but it will be a slow pace if allowed to dictate and not for me in this race
AGUEROOO is on a losing streak of 11 runs but the jockey does ok on this course for the trainer and comes out top on my figures
AMOR KETHLEY has only 1 win from 11 attempts on AW tracks and may fall just short again in this race
MONT KIARA has been known to lead before and is my 2nd top-rated and could prove hard to catch if getting to the front.
SUMMARY: I will definitely look to lay (Mount Wellington) and I think this race could concern just 2 runners so I could maybe lay the other 3 as well, I think/hope that Mont Kiara sets a decent pace to the race and then only AGUEROOO 9/2 has a higher speed figure so this one will carry my money in this race.
Agurooo 9/2 4th
Lay bets: Mount Wellington (+1pt)
Total 0
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30
ROYAL BIRTH is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and that includes leading and is one of 2 in this race that has the same trainer and owner, (which ones the trier or are they both going to be trying)
WATCHABLE has been known to lead before but timewise it would need to improve a few spots to win the race but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead
STREET PARADE is the other horse from the same trainer and owner, it hasn't any form on this surface and will be a danger if taking to this surface
ACCLAIM THE NATION is another possible pacesetter and can produce fast times but usually in slightly lower class races
CANFORD BAY is another versatile type concerning racing tactics but this is a big step up from the usual class 4 races it runs in.
SUMMARY: The bottom two in the handicap, Acclaim The Nation and Canford Bay may get outclassed in this race if there's a fast early pace, Watchable would need to improve on its times on this surface, that leaves stablematesStreet Parade and Royal Birth, the former is being ridden by the champion elect jockey Ben Curtis which does look a positive move but his record of 1-16 on AW races for this stable doesn't inspire me but ROYAL BIRTH 3/1 is a possible pacesetter and its got the plum draw in stall one and the jockey, Jason Hart has an overall win ratio of 18% for this stable but on the AW tracks his record is 3-7 so I am hoping this horse can lead from start to finish and will be carrying some of my dosh.
Royal Birth 3/1 3rd
Total -1pt
Total on Day -1pt
SOUTHWELL 2.00
The bottom four in the handicap hasn’t shown anything worthwhile and would normally be lays but two of them are 3yo which can improve without warning and this race will not take much winning, Eesha Says is my 3rd top-rated and the most likely pacesetter in the race so could go well if allowed an easy lead, Amazing Amaya is in 2nd top spot but I will have a small bet on SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 2/1 hoping it can break its AW duck at the 4th attempt after finishing 2nd twice in 2 of its 3 previous goes but I have to say I hate backing favourites mainly because they represent poor value.
Sambucca Spirit 15/2 6th
Total -1pt
SOUTHWELL 3.40
Only 6 runners where I can lay (Top Boy + Grayboy) both Six Strings and Sandridge Lad need to improve timewise to win this race but I cannot split GLOBAL MELODY 6/1 and AL SUIT ELLE 5/1 as there is only 2lbs between them on my figures and there's nothing in the trainer/jockey stats to point me to one or the other so I will be backing them both.
Global Melody 14/1 3rd
Al Suit Elle 5/1 5th
Lay bets: Top Boy (+1pt) Grayboy (+1pt)
Total 0
CHELMSFORD 6.15
This looks and is a competitive affair where I can only find (Tone The Bartone) to lay and I will be dutching 3 of the 8 runners, ROUNDABOUT MAGIC 5/2 is the top-rated using just 2019/20 c/d times, SOMETHING LUCKY 5/1 is 2nd top on just 2019/20 c/d times but has a time from 2018 that would move it to 2nd top overall, *EQUALLY FAST 7/2 hasn't any form at this course but its best time from Lingfield this year would make it top-rated overall, my stakes won't be at full strength in such a tricky race and the prices don't represent much value but I do my work two days in advance so I don't know the prices and let it influence my analysis.
Roundabout Magic 6/1 6th
Something Lucky 5/1 2nd
Lay bets: Tone The Bartone (- 2pts)
*NR
Total -4pts
CHELMSFORD 7.15
There is nothing in this race I can put up as a lay although I am not sure what to expect from the topweight Irene May who hasn't run at this course before but could possibly find this surface plenty fast enough compared to its best speed figure from Wolverhampton, nearly every other horse in the race has some chance of making the frame, Kath's Lustre is my 2nd top-rated taking into account the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim, Alicia Darcy is my original 2nd top-rated on a Lingfield time with only one poor run at this c/d to its name, my money will be riding on my top-rated FANTASTIC FLYER 9/1 who is moved even further clear with its apprentice jockey taking 5lbs off its back and has a good win ratio for this stable.
Fantastic Flyer 9/1 1st
Total +9pts
CHELMSFORD 7.45
Div 1
Not too bad for a class 6 affair of the 12 runners I will look to lay (Black Isle Boy + Krazy Paving + *Caso Do Lago + Compton Abbey) Bahamian Heights would be on my list of potential winners on its best time from 2017 which would make it 2nd top-rated but has been well out of form lately, the topweight Broughton Excels has good trainer/jockey stats and is my 4th top-rated so could go well here but no value at 7/4, Spennys Lass is my 3rd top-rated but is on a losing run of 25 which isn't in its favour, I will be having a bet in this race but my stakes will be kept on the low side but I am taking a punt in hoping that DREAMBOAT ANNIE 16/1 attempts to make all the running as it has done before and at the price I have to have a bet on it.
Dreamboat Annie 20/1 7th
Lay bets: Krazy Paving (-7pts) Black Isle Boy (+1pt) Compton Abbey (+1pt)
*NR
Total -6pts
CHELMSFORD 8.15
Div 2
In this 2nd division, I will look to lay (Under Curfew + Jorvik Prince + Ghost Buy + Indian Affair) Englishman who won its last race is my 3rd top-rated and itis on a c/d time from 2019, sitting in 2nd top spot I have got Kyllukey but this ones losing streak has just reached double figures but it is the type of horse that can bounce back to form without warning the same can be said about the one I will back in the race, INVISIBLE STORM 6/1 is on a losing run of 15 but its 4th place finish on its last run I am hoping is a sign that its ready to get back to winning ways.
Invisible Storm 8/1 Unp (-1pt)
Lay bets: Under Curfew (+1pt) Jorvik Prince (+1pt) Ghost Buy (+1pt) Indian Affair (+1pt)
Total +3pts
Total on Day +1pt
CHELMSFORD 2.40
A nice looking class 3 sprint where I can find a couple to lay, (Prince of Rome + Commander Han) the topweight Gamgoom could be a hidden danger in the race the way it ran on strongly over the 5 furlong trip at this course, there's a few with decent win and place ratios, Mohareb having the best with 3 wins and 4 places from 7 AW rcaces and it could make the frame again here, Rock On Baileys, Fizzy Feet, Gracious John and With Caution could also be competing to make the frame, my money will be riding on STORM OVER 4/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here and has good trainer/jockey stats which is always a positive.
Storm Over 4/1 4th
Lay bets: Prince Of Rome (+1pt) Commander Han (+1pt)
Total +1pt
CHELMSFORD 3.50
Another class 3 race where I hope all 8 entrants take part, I've found 3 that I will look to lay here (Alsvinder + Typhoon Ten + Thegreatestshowman) the early pace could be set by Pink Flamingo and maybe Alsvinder but will be setting the race up for a finishing type, King Robert my 4th top-rated and Shamshon in 3rd spot will both be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, my 2nd top-rated Verne Castle is on a losing run of 11 races which is off-putting and I'm not sure the jockey is a positive booking, I will be taking a bit of a chance on LANCELOT DU LAC 4/1 who I have to admit hasn't been in the best form and the price is shorter than I was expecting but I'm hoping its 4th place finish last time out is a pointer to it coming back to form and apprentice booked to take the ride has a good 20% win ratio on the stables older horse on AW tracks.
Lancelot Du Lac 4/1 3rd
Lay bets: Alsvinder (+1pt) Typhoon Ten (+1pt) Thegreatestshowman (+1pt)
Total +2pt
NEWCASTLE 6.30
A class 4 affair where I can find 2 horses to lay (Moon Trouble + Louis Treize) and I would have to dutch the remaining 4 runners who all have some chance of winning, Mythical Spirit hasn't any form on this surface to work with but it could be staying on strongly here and does have good trainer/jockey stats, the other 3 are my top 3 ratings but none have positive pointers looking at their trainers and jockeys so I cannot narrow it down any lower than the possible four.
Lay bets: Moon Trouble (+1pt) Louis Treize (+1pt)
Total +2pts
NEWCASTLE 7.00
Another class 4 race but only 7 runners to look at but I would look to lay (National Anthem + *Kamra + Airwaves + Double Up) the bottom weight Calin's Lad has good trainer/jockey stats and should be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, Dandys Gold is making its debut in England but wasn't in good form in its last few runs in Ireland so I'm not sure what to expect but hope it doesn't spring back to form in this race, which leaves me with the one I will be backing, the topweight ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 7/2 is my top rated and it will be another staying on strongly at the finish.
Athollblair Boy 7/2 4th
Lay bets: National Anthem (+1pt) Ariwaves (+1pt) Double Up (+1pt)
*Deceased
Total +2pts
Total on Day +7pts
SOUTHWELL 1.30
There's only 6 runners here and I will look to lay half the field (Big Time Maybe + Robot Boy + Red Stripes) Nick Vedder is the odd one out as I haven’t marked it as a positive or negative in this race so I don't know what to expect but it would need to improve timewise to win the race, I will be backing the remaining 2 runners, MULZIM 6/4 my 2nd top-rated and YOUNG TIGER 5/2 the top-rated horse both have got good trainer/jockey stats plus there is only 2lbs between them which is virtually nothing in sprint racing and their figures are only accurate if everything goes right for them during the race, the prices are poor value and its hardly worth backing them both but could be ok to add to a multi bet.
Mulzim 6/4 1st + EX £4.10
Young Tiger 9/2 2nd
Lay bets: Big Time Maybe (+1pt) Robot Boy (+1pt) Red Stripes (+1pt)
Total: +3.5pts
SOUTHWELL 4.00
This 10 runner race is a nightmare, I can split the field in half with (Para Mio + Andre Amar + Decision Maker + Aquarius + Meshardal) in the half I will be looking to lay while the other 5 runners all have something in heir favour to giving them some chance of winning this race, the topweight Requinto Dawn hasn't any course form but some of its turf form makes me think it will like this surface, Jan Van Man also has no course form but has good trainer/jockey stats which might indicate connections expecting a big run, Six Til Twelve has a decent c/d time but it hasn't made the frame in all of its 6 previous AW races, the 2 that stand out timewise are Reshaan who is still a maiden after 29 runs and Hellofagame still a maiden after 14 attempts, it is maybe a race best left alone until I've seen the betting. I will look to have a small each-way bet just because of the value on HELLOFAGAME 33/1 just because I think it is too big a price to let run without having something riding on it.
Hellofagame 66/1 3rd (+6.6pts)
Lay bets: Decision Maker (-4.5pts) Para Mio (+ 1pt) Andre Amar (+1pt) Aquariius (+1pt) Meshardal (+1pt)
Total +6.1pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.10
In this race I have a couple of horses (Equally Fast + Empty Promises) but I would only have half a point lay on each of them, the rest of the runners all have some chance of making the frame and especially Precious Plum who I think is the most likely pacesetter coming out of stall 2 so could quickly gain control of the rails which is always a help on the turns here and it is my original 3rd top rated, Creek Harbour and It Must Be Faith were my original joint 4th top rated but they are both being ridden by apprentices who’s claims move them to 3rd and 2nd top rated, my original 2nd top rated is Tabaahy but it drops to 4th best with the 2 horses getting weight taken off their backs, top rated overall is QAARAAT 13/2 who is in decent form lately and especially when finishing 2nd last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to go one better here, a reproduction of its best 2019 c/d time would see it winning here with a bit in hand and will be the one carrying my money.
Qaaraat 13/2 3rd
Lay bets: Equally Fast (+1pt) Empty Promises (+1pt)
Total +1pt
Total on Day +10.6pts
