WOLVERHAMPTON 6.40
This class 6 claimer is quite poor and won't take much winning, there are a few either young or unexposed horses in this race so my stakes won't be at full strength, I've no idea what will set the pace and only 2 with recorded times, CENTRAL CITY 6/5 is 2nd top rated and likes to track the leaders, the trainer has a good 27% win ratio at this course and the 3lbs the apprentice claims moves it to top spot and shes got a 1-6 win rate for this stable, TROTTER 2/1 is the original top-rated and this trainer has a 19% win rate here and the jockey is 1-1 for the stable so it looks both of my top rated horses are well fancied by their connections to run well here and I would look to back them both but the prices are very poor.
Central City 6/5 1st
Trotter 2/1 3rd
AYR 4.15 (8.5)
A few that could be hidden dangers in this race so my stakes will be kept low, Jessie Allan is 3rd top and is usually held up for a late run but needs to improve some to win this race if others run to form, *DUNCAN OF SCOTLAND 7/2 is a front running type and 2nd top rated so could possibly lead all the way here but i do have STEELRIVER 14/1 rated higher but it could struggle in this class of race but i will have a small each way bet at the price, so I will back both to cover both angles.
*NR
Steelriver 14/1 9th
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WINDSOR 4.35 (7.5)
An 8 runner dash with 4 that have been known to lead so it could be fast and furious, Silverrica is 4th top rated and a possible pace setter, Vimy Ridge is 3rd top and should be staying on strongly at the finish but likes to hear its hooves rattle, in 2nd spot is Babyfact who likes to track the leaders but its time was recorded last year and been way below that level so far this year, top rated is EDGED OUT 13/2 another possible front runner and if getting to the front could prove itself hard to catch.
Edged Out 12/1 6th
LEICESTER 5.25 (8.😎)
Another 5 furlong dash and 3 known front running types, Haveoneyerself is my 4th top rated and being a 3 year old it could still improve, Culloden is well weighted and comes out 3rd best but doesn't want fast ground, DAVIDS BEAUTY 11/2 is my 2nd top rated and a possible pacesetter here and if getting to the front should be hard to catch, i do have COMPTON POPPY 10/1 rated higher and therefore has to be a selection but the trainers 1-27 at this course and the jockeys 0-6 does put me off a little so i will go with backing them both to cover both angles.
David's Beauty 11/2 2nd
CHELMSFORD 2.40
Out Do hasn't any previous form here but its best time on this surface at Lingfield would probably see it make the frame.
Reckless Endeavour is 2nd best on times over this c/d and could make the frame and should be staying on strongly at the finish.
MAZZINI is top rated and has decent trainer and jockey stats, is usually held up for a late surge on the outside of the field
Tupi has run in better class races which would normally make it a danger but it may be better over further and this race might not be run to suit it.
Polybius hasn't any c/d form but has recorded a decent time at Wolverhampton but looks a better horse over a shorter trip.
Hyperfocus hasn't any course form and only a relatively slow time from Newcastle and may prefer a drop in class to show its best
Go Far this ones a versatile type and has been known to lead but only if nothing else wants to but has only a relatively slow time at Kempton to show for it and then in a lower class race
Monks Stand is capable of running a fast time at Southwell, a different surface but is another that may be out of its depth in this class of race.
SUMMARY: I can find negatives against the bottom 5 in the handicap, Out Do could make the frame, Reckless Endeavour ought to be staying on but maybe too late so i will go with backing MAZZINI 11/4 who is a hold up type and ought to stay on the strongest of all here.
I've done the following 3 races in the hope the going isn't on the soft side of things but just a brief note for each race, so if the stick reading isn't high enough then don't bet.
Mazzini 11/4 1st
REDCAR 2.55 (7.7)
Ninjago is capable of fast times but not usually in this class of race
Highland Acclaim is 2nd top rated and can track the leaders or be held up
MUJASSIM 13/2 usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish
Mujassim 14/1 Unp
HAYDOCK 4.15 (7.4)
Too many runners to be very confident here but I'm going to put the bottom weight MESHARDEL 16/1 as my each way selection, it could get a good tow into the race with the fast starting Highly Sprung drawn alongside it but my stakes wont be at full strength.
Meshardel 16/1 5th
HAYDOCK 4.50 (7.4)
Twentysvthlancers is my 3rd top rated but might not want the going to be on the fast side of things.
Mighty Zip is my 2nd top rated and usually stays on strongly at the finish over the minimum distance but could make the frame here.
SECRET ASSET 25/1 is in the veteran class nowadays, the reason for me backing it is the simple fact that its the most likely front runner in this race and if allowed to set its own pace it could go very well and at the price has to worth an each way wager.
Secret Asset 40/1 9th
CHELMSFORD 7.30
There's a couple in this race, Island Of Life 3/1 and Only Spoofing 13/2, who I would look to lay at the prices, there's 3 in this race that could set the pace but Boom The Groom and Bosham would both need to improve to win the race, Verne Castle is my 3rd top rated and prefers to sit just off the pace and then try to stay on when others falter but I'm hoping that doesn't happen here, Jack The Truth is weighted well enough to be 2nd top on my figures but it might not be up to winning in this class of race so I'm hoping that my selection CAPTAIN LARS 6/1 can lead all the way here and the booking of a 7lb claimer could swing things in their favour.
Captain Lars 6/1 6th
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BRIGHTON 2.00 (8.1)
This is one of the best 6 runner class 5 that I've seen for a long time, there's 3 possible contenders for the lead and my 3rd top rated, Entertaining Ben and 2nd top rated Red Alert are 2 of them and I'm hoping they take each other on right from the start and go off too fast and play into the hands of *ESSAKA 5/1 who has won its last 2 races and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish.
*NR
HAYDOCK 3.40 (7.4)
I've found 3 who might like to set the pace here, then I've got 3 co-3rd top rated horses in Berlios, Kodicat and Castlerea Tess and any of them may or may not make the frame, my 2nd top rated is HEE HAW 9/2 who looks the most likely one to prevail from the front runners and if allowed an easy lead it could prove hard to catch but i do have the top weight BORN TO FINISH 11/2 as my top rated and i will look to back them both to cover the angles.
Hee Haw 9/2 1st + EX £34.70 + TRI £115.50
Born To Finish 11/2 3rd
HAYDOCK 4.10
A class 2 race with just Magical Dreamer who is my 3rd top rated known as a front running sort and could go well with an easy lead, I've got Gorgeous Noora as 2nd top rated and this one likes to track the leaders so should have a target to aim at while the top rated MAID IN INDIA 10/1 can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger.
Maid In India 10/1 5th
NEWCASTLE 8.30
I love me all weather racing but have to admit this class 6 affair isn't the strongest and wont take much winning and there's only one known to front run but I've got Duke Cosimo 14/1 as my 2nd top rated using a time recorded in 2017 and may be worth having a place bet on the exchanges, Pulsating would be joint 2nd top using a 2016 time but hasn't been as good since but never say never for it bouncing back to form but i do have the top weight EPEIUS 8/1 rated just 1lb higher and this one will be staying on at the finish but my stakes wont be at full strength in this race.
Epeius 8/1 6th
CHEPSTOW 3.30
This 7 runner race has 6 that have led before so should be run at a very fast early pace, I'm hoping BROADHAVEN HONEY 4/1 can lead and if doing so could be hard to catch but if they all go off too fast then it might fall into the lap of JAGANORY 9/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.
Broadhaven Honey 4/1 1st + EX £14.60
PONTEFRACT 4.20 (8.3)
This 7 runner race only has Bondi Beach Boy as a known pace setter who would be 2nd best if i used a time taken in 2016 but needs to improve on recent times, Extrasolar would be 3rd top using a 2016 time but maybe the wins beyond it here, Desert Ace is 2nd best using times from this year but I've got CANFORD BAY 11/2 as the top rated and it can track the leaders or be held up and then stay on the stronger.
Canford Bay 11/2 6th
See Eric's Secret Tip Here
CATTERICK 2.35 (7.7)
A class 6 which doesn't thrill me too much and from the 10 entrants I've narrowed it down to a couple of selections, Pearl Noir is 3rd or possibly 2nd top rated and versatile when it comes to racing tactics so it could be thereabouts nearing the finish, COMPTON RIVER 7/2 starts off as 2nd top rated but the 7lb claiming apprentice moves it to top spot and it looks the only natural front runner in the field so if the apprentice gets the fractions right it could lead all the way but I'm going to also back my original top rated, CUPPACOCO 5/1 who can be held up or track the leaders but the jockey employed is 0-14 for the stable, so not sure what to expect but i will go with 2 small bets to cover both angles.
Compton River 9/2 3rd
Cuppacoco 15/2 7th
CATTERICK 3.40
A race where I'm not sure where the early pace will come from and I've only got 3 with recorded times, Windforpower is 3rd top but may struggle to see out the trip if there's a fast early pace so it could make the frame with the make-up of this race, the top weight EXTRASOLAR 4/1 is 2nd top rated using a time recorded at Carlisle this year and a repeat would see it going very close here but i do have PICKS PINTA 20/1 rated higher but that ones best time also came from Carlisle but in 2017 and would need to spring back to form to win but it could possible do so, it means i will be backing them both.
Extrasolar 9/2 1st
Picks Pinta 20/1 9th
AYR 6.45 (8.5)
Only 7 runners here and the 2 that are known to set the pace are also my 2 top rated horses, Eternalist is well weighted on its best time but may not win the battle for the lead or the win with MERRY BANTER 5/2 also liking to lead and this one has been running fairly consistently well recently and has a chance here to get back to winning ways.
Merry Banter 9/2 1st + SF £51.15
WINDSOR 6.30 (7.5)
Unlucky 13 runners here but luckily 4 of them could vie for the lead so a properly run race should ensue and Shaheen or Mountain Peak could do best of the front runners but maybe not enough to win as they are joint 5th fastest on the clock, Major Pusey is 4th top but a few spots behind Encrypted in 3rd spot but there's only 4 spots between my top 3 with Rio Ronaldo in 2nd position but top rated is the bottom weight BLACKHEATH 11/2 and this 3 year old has merited the chance to take on better class horses having won last time out and the trainer does well at this course with a 22% win rate.
Blackheath 7/1 8th
WINDSOR 8.30
With 12 runners i wish i knew what was going to set the early pace, especially being a 5 furlong race, it wont take much winning so a well ridden front runner could do very well here, Staffa usually stays on at the finish as though further would suit it better so this race may not be run to suit its style, Wotadoll is my 2nd top rated from a time at Nottingham and if taking to this differently configured could go well but my top rated is LOOK SURPRISED 6/1 who recorded its best time at this c/d last year and showed its well being when winning last time out at Salisbury and has things in its favour to follow up here.
Look Surprised 6/1 1st + FC £48.53 + TRI £291.24
CHELMSFORD 1.40
There's 3 in this field of 9 who have led before and one of them Music Society could be a bit of a hidden danger especially as its only a 3 year old but is in stall 8 which isn't ideal, Top Boy is 3rd top rated but prefers a slower early pace and then a mad dash for the line so this race might not be run to suit its style, Dark Side Dream is 2nd top and likes to track the leaders and then hope they start to fade as its own stamina kicks in but my top rated is both a front runner and a 3 year old so I'm thinking if MISTY SPIRIT 5/1 gets to the front it could be very hard to pass and follow up its last time out win.
Misty Spirit 8/1 8th
CHELMSFORD 2.10
Alsvinder is a possible pacesetter and has stall 1 but would need to steal the race from the front to win but it could get taken on by Queen In Waiting but neither are in my top 4 ratings but only 2lbs shy, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Midnight Malibu and Zamjar who both like to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but i do have SOMETHING LUCKY 8/1 as my top rated and also likes to track the leaders and from stall 2 it could sit on the rails just behind Alsvinder and then be in prime position to stay on strongly at the finish and follow up from its win last time out.
Something Lucky 8/1 8th
GOODWOOD 3.35 (7.3)
WOW WOW WOW what a cracking Group 2 affair, 11 runners and 5 of them are 3 year olds who could still be capable of improving and they would need to improve to win this race if the elders run to form I will put up BATTASH 11/10 and MUTHMIR 18/1 as my selections, the former could be up with the pace right from the off while the latter likes to come with a late run so hopefully I've got both angles covered.
Battash 11/10 1st
Muthmir 18/1 3rd
THIRSK 5.35 (7.9)
I've got Alfies Angel as my 3rd top rated and its one of two that like to lead so it should be a true run race,in 2nd spot I've got Letmestopyouthere who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish which is the same tactics usually deployed by *SPIRIT OF WEDZA 5/1 being an apprentice jockeys race my stakes will be kept on the low side.
* NR
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00
A nice class 4 race with 8 runners, Outrage and Justice Lady have been way out of form recently and I would look to them, both Secretfact and Island Of Life haven't any form on this surface but both have times on grass that could make them dangerous if taking to this surface, Red Stripes is a few pounds out of the handicap and they are using a 7lb claiming jockey who is 0-6 for the stable, Krystallite is capable of producing a fast time in lower class races but usually struggles to win at this level but could possibly make the frame, Normal Equilibrium would need to improve a couple of pounds to win this race but does have stall 1 in its favour, my selection is CAPTAIN LARS 4/1 who usually likes to track the leaders ready to pounce in the latter stages, the trainer has a 31% win rate at this course and the jockey has a 23% win ratio for this stables older horses, so everything looks in place for them to get back to winning ways here.
Captain Lars 9/2 2nd
NEWMARKET 8.30
Last race of the night on this course and just 8 runners and only one natural front running type in the race and that's the 3 year old MR WAGYU 5/2 and if the going is good to firm or faster it might take some catching but I do have ENGLISHMAN 7/1 with a faster time and to cover the angles I will go with backing them both.
Englishman 7/1 2nd
Mr Wagyu 5/2 3rd
MUSSELBURGH 8.50
I've got Griffin Street as my 3rd top rated but has a 0-15 record, if Pearl Acclaims time from Catterick in 2017 is to believed it would win this race but I'm fairly sure now that the time was a bit of a fluke, could have had a tailwind or very fast going, the top weight PEA SHOOTER 13/2 is the horse I think will lead in this race and if getting an easy lead it could prove hard to catch but I do have DUNDUNAH 6/1 with a higher rating and will need a clear run to catch the pacesetter and for that reason i will go with backing them both to cover the angles
Pea Shooter 13/2 1st
Dundunah 6/1 5th
