KEMPTON 5.45
A typical 5 furlong dash of 10 runners and half the field have been known to lead before, Defining Moment 12/1 is my joint 2nd top rated using a Lingfield time and could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast, Sandfrankskipsgo 10/1 is the other joint 2nd top rated, again using a Lingfield time and could be able to gain control of the rails and go the shortest way around the track but this ones best time came from 2017, my top rated Ask The Guru 9/2 is another front-runner is drawn in stall 3 so could contest the lead and only be 1 horse width wide but once again I'm having to use a 2017 time but it was over this c/d, so this race might be best left alone or dutching all 3 could be the answer.
KEMPTON 8.45
At 1st glance this looks a tricky race but hopefully not that tricky to analyse, HUMAN NATURE 11/2 starts off as my 3rd top rated and has been in good form recently, its only had 1 run over this c/d but didn't record a speed figure, its best time came at Chelmsford this year and the 5lb claiming apprentice moves it to top spot, the trainer has a 15% win ratio with its older horses here and the apprentice has ridden a winner from only 2 rides for the stable, Rose Berry is now my 3rd top rated and this one can struggle at this distance if there's a fast early pace, my original top rated and now relegated to 2nd top by just 1lb is LIGHTNING CHARLIE 9/2 who is the only known natural front running type in the race and if leading here could be hard to catch and the jockey booked has a 17% win ratio for the stable. With my 2nd top rated being a front-runner and my top-rated being either held up or tracking the leaders, I will have to go with backing them both to cover the angles
See Eric's Secret Tip here
CHELMSFORD 6.45 Div-1
BILLYOAKES 77 SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE 77 AGUEROO 76
AGUEROO a hold-up type and has a chance of making the frame or more
FLORA TRISTAN a 0-12 record is offputting and may need further to shine
BILLYOAKES versatile tactically, draw isn't ideal could make the frame or more
ZORAWAR may need further and this surface may not be its favourite
TURANGA LEELA well drawn for a possible pacesetter but maybe not best surface
JUAN HORSEPOWER likes to track the leaders and joint 4th best on my figures
CATHEADANS FURY looks as though further would suit it better, my joint 4th rating
SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE likes to race prominently and stay on strongly at the finish
BLISTERING DANCER is 0-24 on the all-weather tracks and may prefer a shorter trip
SUMMARY: Its close between my top 3 and if BILLYOAKES 6/1 had been drawn better it would have been my sole selection and if it leads here it could win but I will dutch all 3 to cover a hold up horse, AGUEROO 4/1 and one that races prominently without leading, SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE 7/2, not great prices but possible to dutch for a profit.
Agueroo 4/1 5th
Spirit Of Zebedee 4/1 8th
Billyoakes 25/1 9th
CHELMSFORD 7.15 Div-2
DOLLAR VALUE 75 KODICAT 72 DREAMBOAT ANNIE 66
DREAMBOAT ANNIE a possible pacesetter but stall 8 isn't
ideal
KODICAT versatile sort who can lead and drawn stall 1 so a good chance here
DOLLAR VALUE likes to track leaders and top because of 3lb claimer riding
LETHAL ANGEL a 12 run maiden who looks to need further to show its worth
JACK NEVISON only slow times over c/d and may want a longer distance to shine
GULLANDS
ROCK slowish time from 2016 and nothing much recently
ALKASHAAF a 2016 time would make it competitive here but nothing much recently
DIVINE CALL only slow times recently but a 2016 time would put it top here
AVENGING RED 0-12 so far and may need further to show improvement
SUMMARY: The 3 topweights have the best recent times and I
would look to dutch them if there's
any value but I've also got 2 horses that would enter my calculations if I used their 2016 times and it's very unlikely there will be any value in dutching 5 runners in a 9 runner race.
WOLVERHAMPTON 12-10
NAUTICAL HAVEN is 0-8 on the all-weather tracks but hasn't run on this surface and distance but looks as though further would suit it better so not for me.
BROADHAVEN HONEY is my 3rd top rated but that is using a 2017 time, it is a possible pacesetter but needs to bounce back to form so not for me at 7/2 I would lay it.
SKY GYPSY has led before but as it looks as though further suits it better it might not be able to lead here so another that's not for me, 13/2 looks a decent price to lay it at.
DANEHILL DESERT hasn't any runs on this surface and distance but a decent time from its turf form means I cannot discard it but neither could I back it as there's very little form to work with.
SWENDAB is a versatile type with its tactics but is only 5th on my figures and may struggle to get a clear run in the early stages from stall 4 in the make-up of this race.
*OUR MAN IN HAVANA another front-runner and my top-rated its recent form looks as though it's being primed for a tilt on the all-weather and now down to its favoured distance.
ANOTHER ANGEL hasn't any course form but is 3rd best using a Newcastle time stall 3 isn't ideal in this particular race but will be staying on at the finish and could make the frame.
ASTROPHYSICS also has no course form but is 2lb better on Newcastle times and my 2nd top rated but its been drawn widest of all but could make the frame.
TEEPEE TIME has only produced slow times for quite a while now and this isn't its favoured surface so it looks a lay to me at 10/1.
CARLOVIAN another with slow recent times and it finds 6 furlongs too short so may get outpaced here and then struggle so another one to lay at 8/1
RED STRIPES is a front-running type and has the plum draw in stall 1 so could gain control of the rails, it's my 4th top rated using a 2018 time so could hold on to at least make the frame
SUMMARY: Red Stripes could be dangerous against the rails if allowed to set its own pace and may make the frame, my 2nd and 3rd top rated horses both did their best times at Newcastle so may not handle the bend as well as others but either or both could make the frame but if OUR MAN IN HAVANA 20/1 repeats its best time it would win cosily here and the price means I will have an each way wager but I will probably have a covering bet on RED STRIPES 13/2 as it could go well from the prime draw against the rails.
* NR
Red Stripes 7/1 3rd
KEMPTON 8.10
Only 7 runners and my top 2 are quite a few spots ahead of the 3rd top rated, Merhoob my 4th top rated looks the most likely pacesetter but I doubt it will stay there nearing the finish, Gulliver is 3rd top on a 2017 time but hasn't run here this year, I've got Cenotaph as my 2nd top rated using a Chelmsford time and looks poor value at even money, my top rated is the 3 year old BREATHLESS TIMES 7/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and could have the 1st crack at the leader and then stay on the stronger.
Breathless Times 7/2 3rd
KEMPTON 8.40
There's 3 in the race that could try to lead here and the topweight Harrison Stickle could be a big danger if getting to the front, this will be its 1st all-weather race and has a fast time on g/f going on turf so has to be feared, Duke Cosimo is top rated using a time from Chelmsford this year but its times here have been on the slow side so how good it will run here I'm not really sure, Pushkin Museum has a fast time from Wolverhampton abut only slow times on this surface, then Babyfact has a decent time from Wolverhampton but hasn't run here before so could be a danger, Kingsley Klarion has a fast Chelmsford time in 2017 but another with slow time over this c/d, I've named 5 horses above and I think the winner ought to be one of them but I'm not really sure which one but if pushed I would have a small wager on Duke Cosimo but at 3/1 its not much value and I will only bet if it drifts to 5/1 or bigger.
BRIGHTON 1.20 (8.1)
ARCHIMEDES 88 ASK THE GURU 87 ESSAKA 86
As you can see its very tight at the top of my ratings and any of the 3 could win, looking at the trainer/jockey stats for Archimedes it doesn't look great, the trainer is 0-3 here and the jockey is 0-29 for the stable and its best time was recorded in 2017 and been nowhere near that level so far this year plus stall 10 is far from ideal, ASK THE GURU 15/2 is a possible front runner and could set the pace from stall 2 and could then be hard to catch but ESSAKA 5/1 ought to be staying on strongly at the finish, the trainer has an 18% win rate here and the jockey has a 21% win rate for this stable both pointers to the connections expecting a big run here but I will go with backing both selections to cover the angles.
Ask The Guru 20/1 4th
Essaka 8/1 5th
LEICESTER 3.20 (8.5)
GRACIOUS JOHN 111 ENCORE D’OR 104 MIRZA 104
Encore D’or should be staying on strongly at the finish but maybe not quickly enough to win this race unless my top 2 falter, MIRZA 14/1 is the one I expect to set the pace here and could then be hard to catch but i have got GRACIOUS JOHN 15/2 rated higher but this ones best time was recorded at Haydock and that time is now looking a bit of a fluke time but I will go with backing the 2 selections to cover the angles.
Mirza 16/1 2nd
Gracious John 15/2 7th
CATTERICK 4.10 (7.7)
SPIRIT OF WEDZA 97 PRESTBURY PARK 92 VALLARTA 82
I've got Vallarta as my 3rd top rated but I have gone back to 2017 to find that rating, the 3-year-old PRESTBURY PARK 10/1 is a possible pacesetter and could be dangerous if getting to the front but I've got SPIRIT OF WEDZA 6/1 at the top on my figures and once again I will go with 2 selections to cover the angles.
Spirit Of Wedza 6/1 1st
Prestbury Park 20/1 3rd
NEWCASTLE 7.15 (Div1)
MANSHOOD 79 BAHANGO 79 LORD OF THE GLEN 74
My 3 top rated are all possible pacesetters and that will make sure the early pace will be fast which will play into the hands of the strong finishing Pea Shooter if they go off too fast but both MANSHOOD 10/1 and BAHANGO 25/1 could win if they run to their best so again I will be backing the 2 selections each way at the prices available.
Manshood
10/1 9th
Bahango
100/1 Unp
NEWCASTLE 7.45 (Div2)
TYLERY WONDER 91 ZAMJAR 90 SUWAAN 77
In this division I've got Suwaan in 3rd spot and this one ought to be staying on at the finish, OUTRAGE 5/1 my 2nd top rated is a likely pacesetter in this race and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but my top rated TYLERY WONDER 12/1 is a versatile type which includes being able to lead but would need to spring back to form so I will back both just in case my top rated isn't back to its best.
Outrage 5/1 1st
Tylery Wonder 16/1 9th
KEMPTON 9.15
I have to wait until the last race of the day for a sprint that's of any interest and then I couldn't write much about each horse so it will be a summary of the race. Titus Secret could try to lead but it hasn't raced on this surface before so I'm not sure but its best time at Wolverhampton would put it in 2rd spot on my figures so may need to improve a little to win this race which is the same with Sweet And Dandy and this ones Wolverhampton time would put it in 2nd position but it has run over this c/d before and it was quite poor in comparison but is only 3 years old so could still be able to improve. Alba Del Soie could contest the lead and it is another 3-year-old so it could improve as well, another 3-year-old Big Brave Bob is my 2nd best on c/d times but in top spot I've got LITTLE PALAVER 5/2 who won last time out at Bath and if reproduces its best time over this c/d it could win quite cosily, the trainer has a decent 15% win rate at this course and the 7lb claiming apprentice jockey is 3-14 or 21% so is another positive pointer to its chances of winning and the price as I expected is short but a winners a winner.
Little Palaver 4/1 3rd
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45
POLYBIUS won last time out at Kempton where the time was relatively slow and in a fast run race it barely stays the distance but there's very little early pace in this race so it might be ok but I would think of very little value.
MAJOR PARTNERSHIP hasn't any form on this surface or at this distance and in its runs, its looked as though a longer trip would suit it better but being a 3 year old it could still improve but I wouldn't be backing it here.
REPUTATION hasn't any course form and on turf form it needs to improve to turn around form with the topweight which doesn't bode well for its chances in this race.
SQUATS hasn't made the frame in 9 all-weather runs but going back to 2015 its best time would put it just outside my top 3 and may need further to show its best.
TASHAABOH a 3-year-old who has been known to lead but hasn't any course form, a slow time at Kempton and it's best turf time a few pounds shy off my top 4 ratings so I couldn't back this one here.
NAMMER GUN comes out below my top 4 times at this c/d and it does look as though a longer distance would suit it better so not for me.
HIGHLAND ACCLAIM won last time out on turf and has a 0-16 record on the all-weather tracks and you have to go back to 2016 to find its last decent piece of form where I got towed along in a fast run affair, so not for me here.
KING ROBERT hasn't had a run on the all-weather tracks this year but has a time from 2017 which makes it my top rated so I'm hoping this switch from turf which ignites its enthusiasm and gets it back to winning ways.
KODILINE actually recorded a time fast enough to make it 2nd top rated but it was achieved in a class 5 race and I think this jump up to class 3 will find it out which it has done in the past.
SUMMARY: With rain forecast for all 3 meetings on grass it looks likely to be my only betting race of the day but I've only got 1 known front-runner in this race in Tashaaboh who’s a 3-year-old and it won in a slow time last time out when leading and winning at Kempton but would need to improve a fair amount to win this race. Kodiline may not be so capable in this class of a race but is in form, my selection is KING ROBERT 25/1 who hasn't run on the all-weather this year but if able to reproduce its best 2017 time it would have more than a chance as it was running in class 2 events last year and at the price it has to be worth an each way wager. The weather forecast is for rain at all 3 turf meetings tomorrow and as usual, I won't be betting if the goings on the soft side of things so I will just give my top ratings for each race with a very short summary.
King Robert 25/1 4th
ASCOT 1.50 (8.6)
MUTHMIR--117 JUST GLAMOROUS--106 JUDICIAL--104
I think *JUDICIAL will be a pacesetter here so could go well, JUST GLAMOROUS usually likes to track the leaders and stay on strongly while MUTHMIR runs on fast at the finish and I will dutch all 3 in this race.
Just Glamorous 33/1 6th
Muthmir 10/3 Unp
* NR
ASCOT 3.00
PROJECTION--103 GIFTED--102 LIMATO--101
I'm hoping *GIFTED MASTER will be prominent from the off here and only PROJECTION has a faster time and can chase the pace or be held up and I will back them both to cover both angles
Projection 2/1 1st
* NR
ASCOT 4.45
ONLY SPOOFING--100 OPEN WIDE--100 BIG LACHIE--95
Not much early pace so hard to be confident so I will have 2 small wagers on y top 2 ratings ONLY SPOOFING and OPEN WIDE
Only Spoofing 8/1 4th
REDCAR 6.10 (7.7)
BASHIBA 105 MERRY BANTER 103 HARROGATE 94
Both Harrogate and MERRY BANTER like to set the pace or at least be prominent from the off and only BASHIBA has recorded a faster time and I will have the 2 bets to cover both angles.
Merry Banter 16/1 1st + EX £111.40
Bashiba 5/1 2nd
WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45 Div1
There's a handful of 3-year-olds in this race and 3 of them could be possible dark horses in this weak looking race, there should be a decent pace with 4 that have been known to lead before and maybe the 3-year-old Me Before You will do best of the front-runners, I've got Laughton as my 2nd top rated and it has good trainer/jockey stats but its 21 races since this one last won which is offputting, my top rated is CASTLEREA TESS 10/1 who likes a fast pace to aim at and may get that here, its a c/d winner and the booked jockey has only ridden for this stable 3 times before and won 1 race so it looks a positive booking but as usual at this level consistency isn't a byword so my stakes won't be at full strength but hopefully a small each way bet will give as mall profit.
Castlerea Tess 12/1 5th
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15 Div2
This looks a much better race but 8 of the 13 runners are 3-year-olds so data is scarce in some areas so once again my stakes will be limited, I've got just 1lb between my 3rd to 5th top rated in Babyfact, Skyva and Eternal Destiny so any of them could make the frame, my 2nd top rated is TERRI RULES 16/1 a 3 year old who is the only known front-runner in the race so if given an easy time and allowed to set its own pace it could prove hard to catch but I do have FANTASY JUSTIFIER 7/1 rated higher but this one can struggle at this distance if there's a fast early pace but looking at the make-up of this race it might be ok for it, I will be having 2 bets to cover both angles.
Fantasy Justifier 7/1 1st
Terri Rules 28/1 8th
LINGFIELD 5.35
Roundabout Magic not in my top 3 and this isn't its favourite surface, Aaliya a 3-year-old who could improve but may need further to show its best, Krystallite hasn't shown much at all recently speed-wise even when it won 3 runs ago, Secret Agent could be a definite hidden danger and a reason to make my stakes lower than the normal level, Mercers is just outside my top 3 so would need others to falter to even make the frame, STAFFA 9/2 is my top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and ought to be staying on strongly at the finish, ROY'S LEGACY 16/1 is my 2nd top rated and a front-runner so it could be dangerous if it does get to the front and then be hard to catch, Prominna is my 3rd top rated so could make the frame, Skip to My Lou is another 3 year old this ones making its handicap debut so another reason to keep my stakes on the low side….
SUMMARY: There's a few here that have been known to lead before so it should be a fast early pace, if Roys Legacy gets to the front it could prove hard to catch, so i will have a smaller bet on this one just in case, if they go off too fast up front and fade they could well play into the hooves of STAFFA 9/2 who ought to be staying on strongly at the finish but there is a couple of potentially hidden dangers in the field so stakes will be kept on the low side.
Roy's Legacy 16/1 4th
Staffa 8/1 7th
CHELMSFORD 8.45
There's a lot of early pace in this race but I've only got 4 horses that have recorded a fast enough time to register this year or last year, Compas Scoobie hasn't run here before and would need to improve on its best time figure from Lingfield (the same surface) but is usually staying on at the finish of a race as does Agueroo my 2nd top rated who is normally held up for a late run but is stuck out wide in stall 10, Roys Dream is 3rd best and a possible front-runner so it could do enough to hold onto a place but my top rated is the top-weighted 3 year old MISTY SPIRIT 15/2 who won 3 runs ago where it led all the way and could repeat that here, admittedly it isn't well drawn in stall 8 but the stable has employed Luke Morris to ride which looks a good pointer as he has a 21% win rate when riding this stables 3-year-olds.
Misty Spirit 33/1 8th
NOTTINGHAM 5.15
I've got Belledesert as my 4th top rated and 1 of 3 known pacesetters in the race and if getting to the front it could easily make the frame as there's only 2lb’s between 4th to 2nd with Tan in 3rd top spot and this one usually runs on at the finish as does Nibras Again my 2nd top rated but top spot is occupied by MUSHARRIF 8/1 who likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly and may get 1st try at catching the pacemakers and the trainer does like a winner at this course with an 18% win ratio here.
Musharrif 8/1 2nd
SALISBURY 5.25
A 9 runner race, Waseem Faris did its best time in 2017 but if back to that level it could be competitive here being my joint 2nd top rated and is very versatile with its racing tactics but the apprentice jockeys 0-9 record for the stable puts me off a little, RIO RONALDO 11/2 is my joint 2nd top rated from a time recorded over this c/d which is always a bonus and its only 1lb below my top rated EQUIMOU 8/1 they both can either be held up or track the leaders and I will be backing them both to show a profit whichever one does the job.
Equimou 8/1 1st
Rio Ronaldo 13/2 6th
NEWCASTLE 8.30
Of the 14 runners I've got just one noted as a pacesetting type and SIENNA SAYS 8/1 is in my top 6 on a time recorded this year and could feasibly lead all the way here, Another Angel is the topweight and usually stays on strongly at the finish at this distance and could make the frame but may struggle to actually win the race unless others underperform, Displaying Amber is another that could get involved but maybe not quite enough to win the race, this isn't probably the favourite surface of Star Cracker but its best time on this surface is good enough to be competitive here but will need others to falter to actually win the race, if the time the 3-year-old Pavlichenko can reproduce its Lingfield time here it would be top rated but that's a different surface and its still a maiden after 8 runs which puts me off a little, LITTLE KINGDOM 10/1 is my top rated on c/d times so has to have a good chance here but I will cover both of the angles with 2 selections therefore 2 bets.
Sienna Says 12/1 3rd
Little Kingdom 14/1 Unp
See Eric's Secret Tip Here
