NOTTINGHAM 4.50 (8.2)
I'm hoping the going is ok at all the meetings for Thursday and I've put the stick reading I need for each course in brackets. This looks a nice class 5 race with 3 front running types amongst the 12 runners and my top 2 are both possible pacesetters, Boudica bay is well weighted on its best time and is only 1lb off my top 3 places, my actual 3rd top rated is Foxtrot Knight so this one might be the one to benefit if they go too fast up front and fade nearing the finish, Undercover Brother comes out 2nd top rated but the trainers record of 1-20 with his older horses at this course does put me off some while my top rated SEAMSTER 14/1 has got a jockey who does quite well for this stable and I'm hoping this one can get to the front and lead all the way to the line and the price is big enough to make it an each way punt.
NEWMARKET 5.30 (7.😎 )
Ten runners in a class 4 affair with 3 front running types and another that could lead if needs be but maybe won't have to here but none of those 4 is in my top 4 speed figures, Hawaam usually races prominently and is my 4th top rated the same tactics are usually deployed by Grandfather Tom who comes out 3rd best, Leo Minor is my 2nd top rated and this usually stays on well nearing the finish but maybe doesn't want the ground to be really fast while in top spot I've got NIBRAS AGAIN 11/2 this one can be held up track the leaders and its trainer has got a good 25% win rate with their older horses at this course so will be the one carrying my money.
HAMILTON 8.35 (7.4)
A poor turnout of just 7 runners with 2 possible pacesetters and I think Wrenthorpe could go well from the front being my 3rd top rated, Only Spoofing comes out 2nd top rated but hasn't shown much so far this year, in top spot I've got DAPPER MAN 3/1 but this one needs good to firm going to show its best so may not get it's required going with all the rain about this week.
HAMILTON 9.05 (7.4)
A strange 8 runner race with four 3-year-olds who could be able of improving so my stakes won't be at full power in this race, Roys Dream is 3rd best and a possible pacesetter as is my 2nd top rated Mr Wagyu but the booked jockeys 1-22 record for this stable is off-putting, my top rated is MUJASSAM 2/1 who could tail the leaders here and then prove the stronger at the finish, its won its last 2 races and is going for the hattrick here after wins at Catterick and Ayr and the trainer has a good win record of 20% with his horses at this course.
The going is given as good or good to firm on the Racing Post page but as Brighton was soft today I doubt the going will be good or better but am posting just in case and I've put the stick reading I need in brackets before I bet after the time of the races.
SALISBURY 2.50 (8.2)
Only 7 runners so no each way bets and 3 of them could set the pace, Zac Brown can lead and is 4th best on my figures while another possible pacesetter Waseem Faris comes out 2nd best so this should be a true run affair and they could be setting the race up for my selection which is HARRY HURRICANE 5/1 who likes a fast pace to aim at but it doesn't want really fast ground, the trainers 1-33 record at this course is a bit off-putting so my stake will be kept low.
Harry Hurricane 5/1 2nd
BATH 6.10 (9.2)
With 17 runners and 5 possible pacesetters this could be a nice race for a class 5 affair, Big Lachie is being ridden by a 3lbclaiming apprentice which moves it to co 3rd top rating of the other 2 being Delegate This Lord and the possible pacesetting CORONATION COTTAGE 16/1 and this ones trainer also has SILVERRICA 33/1 in the race another front running type so I'm not sure what the stable is expecting from this race and if they are both on a going day they could both have a chance of winning this race, the bottom weight EDGED OUT 25/1 actually comes out top rated but hasn't been in good form lately but its another possible pacesetter and has been known to spring back to form without warning before so I cannot see any way other than dutching the 3 of them in this race but my stakes won't be at full power in this race mainly due to the big field.
Edged Out 50/1 2nd
Coronation Cottage 16/1 8th
Silverrica 50/1 Unp
BRIGHTON 2.15
Only 8 runners with a couple of possible pacesetters, Shamshon comes out 2nd top rated on all times but top if using only 2019 times and also has an even faster time from 2017 but its time from this year is only 1lb higher than Jashma but this one also has a faster time from 2017 but that time is 4lb below the topweight, my selection is *PINK ICEBERG 20/1 his 3-year-old is one of the known front runners in this race and has a time from Yarmouth in 2018 that would see it win this race a little cosily so if this one does get to the front it could prove very hard to catch and will be carrying my money and at the price I hope all 8 runs so I can back it each way.
* NR Pink Iceberge
NEWBURY 8.45
I am not really sure why ive posted about this race theres 18 runners and I can only narrow it down to 4 and even then im not that confident ive found the winner so any stakes will be kept small, there is a couple of horses known to lead, Rasheeq who comes out 6th on my figures and Field Of Vision my 4th top rated and the latter could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead but I think they will be setting it up for a finishing type, *REAL ESTATE 16/1 is only 5th on my figures but is 2nd top rated on 2019 times so has to be included as a possible winner, CENT FLYING 7/1 comes out 3rd best on a 2019 Brighton time and my top rated for this year, ENGLISHMAN 14/1 has a time from Goodwood last year that would make it my 2nd best but hasnt been in great form lately and doesnt want really fast ground, my top rated is PORTO FERRO 25/1who also hasnt been in good form lately but a repeat of its Windsor time from 2018 would see it back in the winners enclosure so as you can see a tricky little race and I will dutch them all each way to make a profit in this race but my stakes won't be at full strength.
Cent Flying 7/1 5th
Porto Ferro 50/1 Unp
* NR
CHEPSTOW 4.30
A big field of 17 runners in a relatively poor class 6 race, there is 5 of them have been known to lead before and Swanton Blue, Princely and Alfies Angel could do best of the front runners as they are in my top 7 ratings but they look likely to set the race up for a finishing type, Gold Hunter would be in the mix using its best time from 2018, Who Told Jo Jo actually comes out 1lb superior using a 2017 time but that's beginning to look a bit of a fluke time as its only win over 6 furlongs came at Brighton last year in a slow run race so looks a better horse over a shorter trip, I'm doubting this race will suit it which leaves me with JAGANORY 12/1 who recorded its best time this year at Bath, if this hold up type finds the gaps and gets a clear run it could pick up the leaders close home and a nice each way price.
Jaganory 25/1 5th
CHEPSTOW 5.00
This class 6 dash over the minimum trip looks a dire affair and with so many lightly raced horses its a nightmare to try and solve, I am only posting up SWENDAB 28/1 as a tentative selection because of the price, this horse is capable of bouncing back to form without warning as it did on its 2nd run of this year so may be worth a small wager, it has been known to lead all the way before and from stall 14 in a 15 runner race it could well lead here and the 7lb claiming apprentice has 3 wins to her name and all for this trainer.
Swendab 28/1 Unp
WINDSOR 7.10
A nice looking class 3 affair with 3 horses that have led before and 2 of them are 3-year-olds who could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead although neither has shown much so far in their careers these young horses have been known to improve dramatically before without warning, I've got very little between Open Wide, Victory Angel and Oeil De Tigre but all of their best times were recorded in 2018 but also they could make the frame if running to their best but I've got GREEN POWER 7/1 rated a few spots higher and its 3lb claiming apprentice takes it even further clear, its best time was recorded earlier this year at Doncaster and has been running in better class races than this one and will be the one carrying my money in this race.
Green Power 7/1 5th
AYR 3.45
The pace here may be set by Harome but it hasn't been in form lately and even then its best time doesn't see it in my top 4 ratings, Longroom comes out 3rd top using a 2018 Ripon time, in 2nd spot I've got Excessable also from a 2018 time at Ripon and has run a reasonable time from Thirsk this year and I think it could improve enough on that to make the frame in this race but my top rated is CANFORD BAY 10/1 who also has its best time from Ripon but this ones time was recorded this year meaning everything else either has to improve or the selection not run to its best and will be carrying my money in this race.
Canford Bay 10/1 4th
NEWMARKET 5.15
If the going here is dried out to good or better I will be backing CAMACHESS 7/2 who has won its last 5 races and this 3-year-old has been found an opportunity to win again here, it likes to track the leaders and its drawn in between the 2 known front runners in the race so should get a good tow into the race and have a target to aim at as they near the finish, Foreign Legion usually stays on at this distance and could possibly make the frame, Don Armado would be 3rd best on a 2018 time but has been out of form for a while now which may pave the way for the topweight Vegas Boy to stay on to make the frame.
Camachess 6/1 Unp
AYR 5.40
For a class 4 race, there's not many with speed figures to consider, Upstaging would be 2nd top rated but that's using a 2017 time and hasn't been near that figure since. Boy In The Bar could contest the lead here but is only 4th top on a figure from Goodwood last year, Attholbalir Boy is a hold up type who needs good to firm ground to show its best but could make the frame while I've got GULLANE ONE 7/2 as my top rated and this one also likes the firmer ground and its best time from Doncaster in 2018 would see it win with a bit in hand here but it doesn't look a race to be to betting too heavily in.
Gullane One 4/1 8th
REDCAR 5.55
This is a strange race where those with the fastest speed figures are all on lengthy losing runs so any bets will be at low stakes, Someone Exciting my 4th best is on a losing run of 17, 3rd best Storm Lightning hasn't won for 11 attempts, Bronze Beau comes out 2nd best but its 15 runs since this one last won and my top-rated CUPPACOCO 10/1 has also lost its last 15 runs but if repeating its best time from Hamilton earlier this year it would have a few spots in hand and could feasibly in the make up of this race lead all the way.
Cuppacoco 10/1 1st
AYR 8.45
A 5 furlong dash with 5 natural front running types so this race should be fast and furious for the class, Jessie Allan comes out 3rd top on my recent c/d times but this one's trainer has 3 other entries in this race so ive no idea what the game is but this one seems the best of the quartet on my figures, Burmes Blazer is 2nd top rated using recent c/d times and it should be staying on at the finish but might need a stiffer track to show its true worth but could make the frame, the topweight OUR PLACE IN LOULE 15/2 is top rated using recent c/d times and this horse likes to track the leaders and isnt badly berthed in stall 4 to get a good tow into the race, I am going to add SUPER JULIUS 7/1 into the mix although it has been a bit below its best times lately it does have a time from 2017 that would see it home comfortably in this race and the 7lb claiming apprentice moves it even further clear, its a front running sort and is well housed in stall 9 and could possibly lead all the way if coming back to its best but I have put up 2 selections to cover differing angles and both will be carrying some of my money as long as the ground is good or faster.
Super Julius 10/1 Unp
Our Place In Loule 20/1 Unp
LINGFIELD 5.50
A smile comes across my face to see a nice all-weather handicap but this 12 runner race isn't easy to analyse to a final conclusion, Papa Delta my 4th top rated can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but there might not be too much here and it could make the frame, Daring Guest is my 3rd top rated and this one races as though further would suit it better so could stay on to make the frame, TAVENER 6/1 is only 2nd best but its the only known one in the race to lead before and from stall 1 this one could attempt to lead all the way here and could pinch the race from the front, my top rated though is RED TYCOON 14/1 but this ones trainers poor record of 1-39 is a little off-putting but then the appointment of Adam Kirby for his 1st ride for the stable looks as though it may indicate that connections are expecting a big run here and i will be backing the 2 selections to cover both angles.
Red Tycoon 14/1 2nd
Tavener 8/1 6th
LINGFIELD 7.00
I'm hoping this race is where my analysis of the make-up of this race finds my selection being a bigger price because of its draw with 4 front running sorts in this race, Roundabout Magic the topweight actually comes out 2nd top rated on my original figures but eventually drops to 4th top and the jockeys poor 1-45 strike-rate for the stables older horses is off-putting, Hurrican Alert is drawn widest of all which wont help its cause but with its 7lb claiming apprentice it comes out 3rd best on my figures, Pharoh Jake is also being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice which moves it to 2nd top spot, if going back to 2017 times then Come On Dave would enter the mix but recent times leave it a few pounds short, stall 5 isnt usually ideal but in this race ASK THE GURU 16/1 could be able to gain control of the rails from that draw and then hopefully kick on off the bend and get back to winning ways but admittedly its not a race to be betting too heavily in so im hoping my selection will show a profit with an each way wager.
Ask The Guru 25/1 Unp
HAMILTON 2.55
There's 3 of these 8 runners that have been known to set the pace and Mr Wagyu my 3rd top rated and Jordan Electrics my 2nd top rated are possible front runners so it should be a true run race and either or both could do enough to make the frame and if either get an easy lead they could lead all the way even more so if the bottom weight 3-year-old JORDAN ELECTRICS 5/1 my 2nd top rated sets the pace but I do have EPEIUS 9/1 rated just 1lb higher and I will have to back both of them in this race.
Jordan Electrics 5/1 1st + EX £32.40
Epeius 9/1 2nd
CHELMSFORD 7.40
This 9 runner race and once again I've found 3 that can front run here and they are all in my top 5, I've got co 3rd top rated horses in Udontdodou, Royal Birth and Just That Lord and the latter is a possible pacesetter and drawn in stall one but I'm not sure its quite up to winning in this class 2 race, I backed Lord Riddiford last time out when it won and starts off as my top rated in this race but my original 2nd top rated horse TROPICS 4/1 who got caught last time out by Lord Riddiford who beat it by three quarters of a length getting a stone from it, in this race with the apprentices 7lb allowance there's a swing of 17lbs which should see the selection holding on this time and will be the one carrying my cash.
Tropics 4/1 1st
ASCOT 3.40
A Group 1 race with 11 runners and 4 of them are 3-year-olds but they would all need to improve to win this race and none of them is in the top 3 in the betting, Mabs Cross should be competitive here but I'm doubting it can beat the top two if they run to their best on the drying ground, Battash is a top class horse and is my 2nd top rated in this race and is versatile with its racing tactics but top on my list is BLUE POINT 5/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and will be the one carrying my money in this race.
Thanks for your support.
Blue Point 5/2 1st + EX £8.40
As Royal Ascot draws near one of the leading figures in British Horse Racing has issued a stark warning about the future of the sports. BlackBook.com.au reports on David Redvers feelings that the sport is ‘teetering on the edge of oblivion.’
Redvers made the comments ahead of Royal Ascot, and he says that his feeling stems from the fact that steps haven’t been made to open up ownership of racehorses to a broader audience. Redvers, who was named bloodstock agent of the year back in November, and who manages the racing interest of Sheikh Fahad made the comments in a blog post on his Tweenhills stud. He thinks that British Horse Racing doesn’t compare to the likes of Japan or Australia.
“I keep asking myself, how did we get it so wrong?” Redvers says. “How can a country like Australia, with 40% of our population, be running away with the prize while we have a £17m deficit in our funding and our industry relies almost entirely on the patronage of rich foreigners?”
He acknowledges that the way racing is funded in those countries has a part to play in their success but still feels the problem lies back home. Those countries use a system of syndicates and shared ownership that just isn’t possible in this country. He feels that British Horse Racing tends to fall back and rely on the ultra-wealthy few that fund their investments through horse racing in the UK. And this is a model that just isn’t sustainable.
“At any moment, our industry could be put in catastrophic peril through the loss of just one of these major players. Falling prize money, ill health or simply a change of heart could precipitate this at any time.”
He thinks that British Officials could do a lot more to attract the kind of players that they get in Australia and Japan, and thinks that not only do they do nothing to attract the shared owners and syndicates but that at times it seems they deliberately go out of their way to be unhelpful.
Redvers says that there are such problems and cites an example of the fact that Shiekh Fahad has to run his horses under the banner of ‘Qatar Racing’ because despite it being a joint enterprise between him and his two brothers, when he asked if all their names could be displayed on the owners cards, he was told that there simply wasn’t room to do so. Redvers states that this is in complete contrast to Japan and Australia where on their race cards, they display the names of all of the owners so that they all get visibility. Such a simple fix could go a long way to helping the sport.
The British Horse Racing authority has, so far, not commented on the racecard name issue, but does accept that there is significant red tape that needs to be addressed and they have pledged to try and reduce the barriers being placed on owners.
