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Tuesday, 2 November 2021

5:15 Kempton Racing Tips (3rd November)

KEMPTON 5.15 

MIGHTY GURKHA 7/2 is one of 3 in this race that have been known to lead before but time wise it would need to improve to win this race but has won 3 and been placed twice from its 5 AW runs and is a c/d winner so could go well but isn't an each way price. 

CAPOTES DREAM 9/4 is a hold up type but its best time would leave it quite a few spots short of catching the front runners and may be of value to lay. 

BEYOND EQUAL is a possible pacesetter but is no wins from 3 AW runs and it has poor trainer stats and even worse jockey stats plus it doesn't quite make my top 3 ratings.

HURAIZ 9/2 hasn't any c/d form since 2019 but that time was relatively slow while it does have a time recorded at Chelmsford which makes it my 2nd top rated and has good jockey stats. 

DUSKY LORD is my joint 3rd top rated but that rating was recorded at Newcastle which is a different surface and it would need to improve its surface win to win this race but does have good trainer/jockey stats. 

GLOBAL WARNING 10/1 is the 3rd possible pacesetter and it is drawn best of the 3 in stall 2 also it is my other joint 3rd top rated so may go best of those racing to the fore and could be worth an each way punt. 

MARK'S BEAR this ones trainer is 11-36 in the last 2 weeks so in good form, also this one comes out top rated on my overall figures using a time recorded at Chelmsford plus it is 2 from 2 on the artificial surface courses. 

ENDURING 8/1 this one has been known to lead but only when allowed to set its only relatively slow pace so I don't think it can lead in this race so it would need to improve time wise and might be worth laying. 

SUMMARY: With 3 or possibly 4 front running types in this race it should be a true run affair, Global Warning 10/1 may do best from the front and maybe worth an each way punt, Huraiz 9/2 could also well in this race and has the stall 1 draw and it will probably wait until the cutback in the home straight to launch its attack but I doubt it will be an each way price, I will be siding with MARK'S BEAR 7/1 who comes out as my top rated horse and I expect it to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish.

Mark's Bear 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets: Capotes Dream +1pt, Enduring +1pt 

Total on the day +1pt 

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