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Sunday, 3 July 2022

4:10 Ayr Racing Tips (4th July)

AYR 4.10 

ABERAMA GOLD may not want it to be good to firm ground and hasn't been in good form lately but is one of 2 known front running types in this race but i will look to lay this one as I think its best form came in a race where it got towed along in a fast run affair. 

BLACK FRIDAY another that doesn't seem to appreciate fast ground and maybe some cut in the ground suits it best and another lay if of value to do so. 

SUMMER SANDS has only poor recent form to its name and i expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race. 

CALL ME GINGER can be held up or track the leaders and comes out in 3rd top spot on my own speed figure ratings so could make the frame.

MUSIC SOCIETY comes out in 2nd top spot but as I'm not convinced by the top rated horses ratings where I think it produced a flukey time and likely a 1 off. 

QUEST FOR FUN is only 4th top rated on my figures and can be held up or track the leaders and would need to improve to win this race. 

ADNAAN this won a slow run affair at Newmarket last year and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish but maybe not quickly enough to win this race. 

HURAIZ is the other front running type in this race but hasn't been in good form lately and its best rating came back in 2020. 

SUMMARY: I expect the pace to be set by Aberama Gold and/or Huraiz but I'm not sure either of them can stay there for the win and could be worth laying if of value to do so, I might also loo to lay the 3yo Adnaan but only to a small amount, my money will be riding on MUSIC SOCIETY 9/2 who has what looks a positive jockey booking so hopefully connections are expecting it to run a big race here and get back to winning ways.

Music Society 11/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Amberama Gold +1pt, Adnaan +1pt

Total on the day +1pt 

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