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Friday 18 November 2022

2:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (19th November)


A class 4 five furlong dash with 10 entrants and 4 that have been known to lead before but I think they will set the race up for a fast finishing type but time wise its hard to a clear picture of what might or ought to happen in this race. The Defiant 8/1 and La Roca Del Fuego 9/1 are both capable of recording fast times but neither have ever won before at this level of racing, Thegreatestshowman 10/1 is capable but in poor form lately, Bang On The Bell 9/2 and Kim Wexter 5/1 have fast times but on the Tapeta surface so might be worth laying at those prices, Dream By Day 10/1 and Alcazan 6/1 might both need a longer distance to show their best form. Amor De Mi Vida hasn't ever run on this surface before so I'm not sure what to expect but I think it will be an outsider in this race. That leaves me with Harb 5/1 in stall one who is a possible pacesetter and its best time from Chelmsford last year but being a 3yo it could still have some improvement within in it and could prove hard to catch if leading and controlling the rails so going the shortest way round but if the top weighted POP DANCER 9/2 reproduces its best time which it recorded here last year then it should stay on the stronger at the finish.

Pop Dancer 17/2 1st 8.5pts 

Lay bets The Defiant +1pt, Bang On The Bell +1pt, Kim Wexler +1pt 

Total +11.5pts


Another class 4 race with 11 runners with 2 or 3 that have been known to lead before, I say 2 or 3 because Mighty Gurkha 9/1 has been known to lead but usually its when nothing else wants to set the early pace but this one prefers the Polytrack surface and might be worth laying if a single figure price. The Lamplighter 9/1 and Foxy Rascal 7/2 are my 4th joint top rated horses but the former's best came in 2021 and the latter's rating is from Newcastle so I couldn't back either of them and maybe laying them could pay dividends if they are of value to lay. Treacherous 16/1 is my 3rd top rating but that's if I go back to its best 2020 rating which doesn't inspire confidence. Abbey Heights 4/1 has a decent time which it recorded at Southwell and has only one slow time to its name over this distance on this surface at Newcastle. Cherish is my 2nd top rated and this one likes to track the leaders but it hasn't won at this level before so may be a bit outclassed, that leaves me with INTERVENTION 9/2 who is one of the potential pacesetters to this race and stall 10 might not be too much of a handicap in this race with only 2 natural front running types in the race and if getting to the front it ought to be able to hold on for the win. 

Intervention 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets Mighty Gurkha +1pt, Foxy Rascal +1pt 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +12.5pts

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