STRIKE RED looks to be a better horse on the Tapeta surface, is usually held up in the rear or midfield as its sole run on this surface was poor its not one I could back.
APOLLO ONE using a time recorded at Chelmsford this one comes out in 4th top spot and is usually held up or tracks the leaders and could possibly make the frame.
TOLSTOY either runs in midfield or tracks the leaders and is a few spots away from making my top 4 ratings so another that could possibly make the frame.
TIGER CRUSADE this one races as though a longer distance is required for it to show its best form and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win this race.
EMPEROR SPIRIT is a possible pacesetter in stall 8 which isn't ideal in the make-up of this race and looks a better horse when running on the Tapeta surface.
ABERAMA GOLD usually races in midfield before keeping on at the business end of its races and comes out 3rd best on my figures so could go well here.
TOMOUTH it has been known to lead before but its final times says that it has to improve time wise to win this race.
ARAMIS GREY is a versatile type when it comes down to racing tactics which includes leading and is well drawn in stall 3 and is my 2nd top rated.
KING OF TONGA hasn't any distance form on an artificial surface to its name it has won at this distance on soft ground and may need further and I expect it will be an outsider in the betting.
TYGER BAY using a time from 2021 this one is my top rated BUT its best form has come in lower class races so might get outclassed in this class 3 race.
TREACHEROUS sits just outside my top 4 using my speed figures and usually likes to track the leaders before staying on at the finish could make the frame if others falter.
SUMMARY: With 2 and possibly 3 front running types in this race it should be a true run affair, I could look to lay Strike Red 6/1 and Emperor Spirit 8/1 who seem better on the tapeta surface, I can see slight negatives against most the runners, which isn't unusual, leaving me with Aberama Gold 12/1 who might do best of those coming from off the pace and ARAMIS GREY 9/2 who is the one that will be carrying my money and the jockey 25% win ratio for the stable looks a positive booking.
Aramis Grey 9/2 1st +4.5pts
Lay bets Red Strike +1pt
Total on the day +5.5pts
1 comment:
Nice run and win.
Timed to perfection just as the write up said
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