PARISAIC a 3yo who likes to track the leaders but has never run on an artificial surface before but analysing its turf form it races as though further would suit it better.
POP DANCER can be held up or race in midfield before trying to stay on nearing the finish and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures so could go well.
SERGEANT TIBBS I thought this one needed further when racing over six furlongs so I think it will be outpaced here and then stay on too late for the win.
HARB a 3yo who is one of 2 known front running types in this race but would need to improve time wise to win this race.
LYNN'S BOY another one that races as though a longer distance would suit it better and time wise its not shown much at this distance.
MICK'S SPIRIT the other one of the front running types in this race and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove a very hard nut to crack.
SUMMARY
I could lay half the field in this class 4 race because they all might need further to show their best form, Hard should be prominent early but may have to give way somewhere in the race, if my top rated has an off day then Pop Dancer could be the one to capitalise but I will be hoping that MICK'S SPIRIT 11/2 can either lead or at least contest the lead and the prove too strong in the final stages of the race and the trainer does have a decent 17% win ratio at this course.
Mick's Spirit 11/2 2nd -1pt
Total -1pt
WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30
An eleven runner class 6 dash but strangely for a five furlong race there isn't a known front running type amongst them which always makes it very hard to analyse. I'm not sure if there is anything in this race that I could confidently nominate as a lay bet although there is one or two that I don't fancy its such a poor race I'm not going down that route. If it was possible I could look to dutch five runners but then only to small stakes, Amazing Amaya 25/1, Duke Of Firenze 9/1, Glorious Charmer 14/1. Iesha 20/1 who recorded a faster time at Southwell compared to Nellie French 4/1 but this one has a higher rating over this course and distance, but it works out as an odds on bet which represents poor value so maybe the race is best left alone.
Total on the day -1pt
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