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Tuesday 10 January 2023

2:45 Lingield Racing Tips (11th January)

LINGFIELD 2.45 

A field of 8 for this class 5 dash where Yimou 9/1 who is my 3rd top rated could set the pace to the race and could be dangerous if afforded an easy lead, I think that both Mon On A Mission 11/8 and Storm Melody 10/1 might be outclassed now stepped up in class after finishing 1st and 3rd last time out in the same race and might be worth opposing. Nordic Glory and Wiley Post may require further to show their best but I expect them to be double figure prices, Vandad would have a good chance if able to reproduce its best from 2021 but hasn't been near that level since then. Lilkian is my 2nd top rated and could stay on to make the frame but I will be backing MICK'S SPIRIT 7/2 who usually likes to track the pacesetters before staying on the stronger at the finish, the trainer is in good form lately with a 2-5 record for the last 2 weeks and the trainer has a 22% strike rate at this course with their older horses and the jockeys got a 19% win ratio on the stables older horses all pointing to them expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Mick's Spirit 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

KEMPTON 7.30 

A competitive looking class 4 sprint with 9 entrants with just the one known front running type and that's Rattling 5/1 who has won over this course and distance but in a relatively slow run race and seems better on the Tapeta surface and might be one to lay, Alcazar 9/1 is another that seems to prefer the Tapeta surface. Palace Gardens and Zephina are forecast to be double figure prices but I wouldn't take the risk of laying either of them especially if there's any confidence in them on the betting. Cherish is my 2nd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders but in the make-up of this race stall 9 might not be ideal, my money will be riding on MISS BELLA BRAND 8/1 who is usually held up at the back for a late run and has won or made the frame in 12 of its 17 all-weather races and the jockey has 22% win ratio on the stables older horses and with a clear run it could pick up the leaders nearing the finish.

Miss Bella Brand 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pts

Total on the day -2pt

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