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Monday 24 April 2023

9:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (25th April)


It's nice to have a sprint to look at after a week without one, there has been some sprints on turf but as my figures are all based on speed the prevailing soft going has meant that I haven't looked at any sprints on the turf since the season started and with more rain forecast it might be a while before I do get started on turf. There might be less sprints covered by me on turf as I have said many times before the lowly class 5 and 6 horses on the All-Weather tracks are more consistent than their counterparts on turf so I might only work with class 4 and above and if the courses insist on watering as well then I might ignore those courses as well as some seem to over water and spoil the going with Windsor being the best example it sometimes looks as though they have put half the Thames on the course. 

Tonight's sprint is a class 6 affair with 13 runners and just the one natural front running type in Another Angel who is drawn widest of all in stall 13 and will need to use some of its stamina in trying to break quickly and then get across towards the rails and time wise it would need to improve a few spots so the draw might scupper this one’s chances but never say never especially if allowed an easy lead but I don't think that will happen in this race. Fristel is my 4th top rated on my overall figures but is my top rated on just form on this surface over today's distance but this one is still a maiden after 16 races with 13 of those races being on an artificial surface, so ratings wise I should back it but form wise I should leave it alone and to be honest I'm not sure what to expect especially as its held by Another Angel on its last run which pushes me to thinking it might not be able to win this race. Sympathise and Arlecchino's Gift and my joint 2nd top rated horses but the former has run twice over this course and distance and produced very slow times and its best rating comes on the Polytrack surface at Lingfield while the latter has been in very poor form in its recent races. The top weight DARK DESIGN 13/2 is my top rated on my overall figures and in this instance its using a Polytrack rating recorded at Chelmsford but it hasn't any form on this surface over this distance to work with but did run okay here over 7 furlongs before tiring nearing the finish and this one has been known to lead before mainly if nothing else wants to lead but here it could try to lead from stall 2 and gain control of the rails and if its then challenged for the lead it could sit just off the pace behind the leader on the rail ready to strike in the home straight BUT there always seems to be a but, the trainer has a 3% win ratio at this course and is 0-35 with their older horses, 4yo+, while the jockey has a 9% win ratio for the stable but has ridden 13 of the stables older horses without success, it only takes one older winner to change those stats, and I'm hoping they have the horse primes to win this race but because of the negatives it will be low stakes for me.

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