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Saturday 30 September 2023

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (30th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

I can see 4 horses in this race that seem to like to lead in the early stages and 3 off them are my top 3 ratings in this race, firstly I'm looking at Munificent who I will be looking to lay if its a single figure price as it can struggle to stay the 6th furlong so this race shouldn't suit it at all, my 4th top rated is Bear Profit and might be the one to prosper if the leaders all tire nearing the finish but I don't think that will happen here, Sir Rodneyredblood in stall 2 and Araifjan in stall 13 would my 3rd and top rated if i go back and use their rating from 2021 but since then they haven't been at that level, the former has been nowhere near while Araifjan 8/1 does come out 2nd best using a 2023 rating but the draw could hamper its chances but as it can lead or not then it might tuck in early and stay on nearing the finish but i will be siding with THE WAITING GAME 5/2 who has won its last 3 races and has been found the ideal opportunity to win again in this race, stall 5 shouldn't be a problem and it might be able to get to the front from the off and then prove very hard to pass but at worst should be able to contest the lead and then prove the stronger nearing the finish. 

The Waiting Game 5/2 1st +2.5pts

Total +2.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 Div I

This 1st division has six 3yo’s in the race and then 3 others that haven't done a recorded rating so not a race to be getting heavily involved in and leaving the race alone might be the best strategy but if Laertes is an each way price then I might be tempted to have a small each way punt but my advice has to be to leave the race alone. 

CHELMSFORD 8.30 Div II

Ok this division isn't much better but with 2 known front running types in the race it might show that Tilsworth Ony Ta struggles to stay this distance and i will be looking to lay it especially if its anywhere near the 7/2 price that is forecast on the early tissue prices. My top 2 ratings are Under Curfew 11/4 and Q Twenty Boy 20/1, they flip flop from in positions because of he apprentice jockeys taking the rides, the former starts off as top rated by 2lbs but the latter has a 7lb claimer compared to the former's 3lb claim but the latter is 0-3 for the stable so I don't know which way to go and maybe this division should be left alone as well. 

Total on the day +2.5pts

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