Saturday's Racing Tips (25th November)

LINGFIELD 12.35 

I must apologise for posting this late. I didn't notice Eric had sent it until after the race so I post it just because he sent it. (Obviously it is null and void). 

A very nice looking class five dash over the minimum distance and with three known horses that like to front run it should be a true run race. Firstly I will say about two horses that might be worth laying, Speedacus 11/2 has run on this Polytrack surface before in Ireland but didn't show anything of merit but did much better when tried on the Tapeta surface so may be shorter price that it merits here, Holkham Bay 3/1 has done all of its winning over six furlongs and the question here is will it be able to keep up with the field so as to be close enough to stay on strongly enough to win this race but I somehow doubt it and will stick with the proven so maybe another one i will look to lay. Harb, one of the possible pace setters, and Stone Of Destiny are my joint third top rated, the former is using a rating recorded on this surface at Chelmsford this year and its best over this course and distance is good few spots lower while the latter did record its figure this year but always races as though further would suit it better, my second top rated is The Thames Boatman but this ones best rating was also recorded at Chelmsford this year while my top rated horse ALEXI BOY 9/1 recorded its rating over this course and distance this year where it was held up but travelled strongly and finished well so maybe a fast pace to aim at is what suits it best, it didn't run too badly last time out but the pace wasn't as fast and maybe that was what found it out, so this race could be run to suit it plus it has good trainer and jockey stats and will be carrying my money. 

Posted late - 

2:38 Lingfield Racing Tips (1st November)

LINGFIELD 2.38

Of the 10 runners there appears to be 2 known front running types and it could be won from the front, Change Sings 11/4 is one of them and if able to reproduce its best Tapeta rating which it recorded at Wolverhampton but its best Polytrack rating is 12lbs below that and as usual I will stick with the proven and there is no way I could back it especially at that price, the other known front running type is RAZZAM 12/1 (EW) who from stall should be able to gain control of the rails and then kick for home entering the home straight and then will hopefully be too good for them to catch and at the price it has to be given as an each way bet as a form of insurance.

Razzam 12/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts

LINGFIELD 3.08 

A field of 6 where half of them like to front run in this 5 furlong dash but they could set the race up for something coming from off the pace,Haymaker 4/1 may need further to show its best so this race might suit it but it could get outpaced in the early stages and then have too much ground to make up to get the win, Celsius 8/1 only has poor form on the All-Weather tracks, the other 3 are the front running types with just ALEXI BOY 7/1 who is usually held up for a late run so this race might be run to suit it well.

Alexi Boy 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

KEMPTON 6.45 

There looks like 3 front running types in this race but Baldomero only leads when its allowed to set a relatively slow pace which I doubt it will be allowed to do here, Watchya 14/1 has the plum draw for a pacesetter in stall 1 and could do enough to make the frame. Gisburn 6/1 hasn't ran on an artificial surface before and will need to improve on its best turf form to win this race so maybe one to lay along with Admiral D 8/1 and the same reasons applies to this one as well. Treacherous and Justcallmepete are capable of going well at this level and either or both could make the frame but I will be putting my faith in BUCCABAY  5/1 a 3yo who finished 2nd last time out over today's course and distance where it set the early pace and wasn't beaten far, a repeat of that performance would see it going one better here.

Buccabay 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts