3:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (2nd November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.45 

GUARDIA SVIZZERA, trained by Roger Fell, has recorded a good time from Newcastle at this distance, which makes it my top-rated on course and distance 2019 times. The apprentice jockey's 5lb claim makes it top-rated overall as well. This looks a good chance to follow up its win last time out. 

AUTUMN SPLENDOUR comes out 2nd top on 2019 c/d times but is on a losing run of 13 races and hasn't been in good form lately so not for me till it shows signs of a revival.

NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM has only slow c/d times recently and its best from 2017 wouldn't be good enough to win and with just one win and one place from 21 previous AW runs doesn't inspire confidence.

SIR HECTOR could possibly set the pace here but only has slow times over this c/d and only one win to its name on any AW track.

EVERKYLLACHY 18/1 has a very good trainer/jockey stats and it is 3rd top on 2019 c/d times but would need to improve to win but I can see it running a big race here and maybe worth an each-way bet at the price.

CHOCCO STAR 9/2 is still a maiden after 7 runs and I think a longer trip would suit better but it did a good time at Kempton and this is its 1st run over this c/d but not one I could back here.

OH SO NICE 5/1 is a 3yo who could improve and it would have to improve to win this race as it's not in my top 3 of just 2019 times here. 

JORVIK PRINCE has a poor trainer record of 0-9 and a jockey stat of 0-8 and hasn't been in good form for quite a while now, it has a time to make the frame on a 2018 race, but not for me in this race.

MISS GRADENKO has a time from Kempton that would make it my 2nd top-rated but its sole try over this c/d wasn't of any worth timewise.

BROTHER BENTLEY is 0-8 on the AW tracks and a slow time on its one c/d run, I think it might be better when tried over a longer distance.

GRIGGY 11/2 has run twice before over this c/d but shown very little and is still a maiden after 14 races and I doubt that will change here over what looks too short a distance and I would lay it at the price. 

SUMMARY: A tricky looking class 6 affair with a couple of frontrunners to ensure there's a genuine early pace my money will be riding on the topweight GUARDIA SVEZZERA 5/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow it up here, I'm hoping from stall 7 it can get a good early position with the 2 known pacesetters being drawn wider he could follow them across and sit just behind them ready to pounce when they get into the straight.

Guardia Svezzera 11/2 5th

6:05 Newcastle Racing Tips (8th November)

As you may have realised I haven't been posting for the last 2 or 3 days because I've had no internet connection, thanks to Talk Talk, I am now rushing around to try and catch up on results, speed figures etc so tonights blog will be short of the usual depth but all the essentials will be covered. 

NEWCASTLE 6.05

There's not a lot to write about in this race and its not a race to be betting too heavily in, the favourite is Astro Jakk who won at Southwell and being a 3 year old could still improve and it would need to win this race on a different surface,Paddy Power is capable of going well if in the right mood but hasn't shown much since the early part of this year, EPEIUS 10/1 is well weighted on its best form and it is my top rated and the trainer has a decent strike-rate at this course, my 2nd top-rated is MAGICAL SPIRIT 11/2 this 3-year-old is a front running sort and could still be able to improve from its win last time out so I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Magical Spirit 6/1 2nd 
Epeius 16/1 3rd   

NEWCASTLE 7.35 

I would leave this race well alone, those that do have a recorded speed figure are at the lower end of the scale and there's quite a few 3-year-olds and other lightly raced sorts and there's not enough data to form a confident solution 

CHELMSFORD 7.55 

My top 4 ratings in this race are closely rated and they all have good trainer and/or jockey stats so I will go with dutching, DREAMBOAT ANNIE 25/1 and PEARL SPECTRE 8/1 who are both front running types but not ideally drawn in stalls 9 and 10,the latter is my overall top rated but only by 1lb, the 3rd selection is BROUGHTON EXCELS who is 2nd top-rated on this years times and 4th top-rated overall and has the ideal draw in stall one to get a good early prominent position from which to attack late on, another that should be staying on is the 3 year old AQUARIUS 8/1. 

Broughton Excels 6/4 2nd 
Pearl Spectre 12/1 4th
Dreamboat Annie 25/1 6th  
Aquarius 25/1 9th  

NEWCASTLE 8.05

There isn't a lot of known early speed sorts in this race but The Grey Zebedee could take up the pacesetters role but I doubt it can hang on to lead all the way as its outside my top 3 ratings, the early favourite is Jeffrey Harris 5/2, it did win last time out but over 6 furlongs and may get found out for early speed dropped down to 5 furlongs here so I would look to lay it just because it looks poor value in my eyes, I've co-3rd top-rated horses in Mable Lee from a time in 2018, Gleaming Arch and Kibaar, so they could all be battling to make the frame, Extrasolar maybe on the decline with age but a time from 2018 would see it winning cosily here but its recent form has been quite poor, I will be having a small bet on GUARDIA SVIZZERA 9/1 who is, of course, my top rated but its still a maiden on the AW after 11 runs and its 19 races since it last won but the jockey does quite well for this trainer at this course.

Guardia Svizzer 9/1 7th