1:15 Sandown Racing Tips (21st July)

SANDOWN 1.15

I can see 2 front runners in this field of 11, Saaheq 5/1 and Recon Mission 8/1 may not appreciate the good to firm ground and the latter may be better when tried over further swhile Delegate This Lord 10/1 would also appreciate further and hasn't been in good form time wise lately. Nordic Glory 11/1 is one of the possible pacesetters but it would need to improve time wise to win this race so any or all could be worth laying.  Acrion hasn't any turf form to its name and its best AW rating would make it my 3rd top rated but both the trainer and jockey have poor stats with the stables older horses but could be worth an each way interest, the 3rd front running type Street Parade is my 2nd top rated horse but the trainer has a poor 4% win ratio with their older horses here and the jockey is 0-12 which makes me think the race could be set up for HAN SOLO BERGER 10/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders before staying on at the finish the trainer has a 21% win ratio with their older horses here while the jockey is 1-4 on the stables older horses and if an each way price all the better. 

Hans Solo Burger 10/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets Recon Mission -4.5pts, Delegate This Lord +1pt, Nordic Glory +1pt 

Total -4.5pts

DONCASTER 5.55 

A field of 11 for this class 5 sprint with 3 known front running types So Grateful 9/2 and Giogiobbo are 2 of them but would need to improve time wise to win this race and they may not be able to lead in this race anyway. Athollblair Boy 11/2 likes good to firm ground to show its best but even then it would need to improve on the clock to win here. The top weight Sound Of Iona 9/4 is looking to complete a four-timer but only comes out 4th best on my figures and might struggle to give the weight to some better weighted opponents and might be worth taking on at the price. Point Of Woods comes out 3rd best and is usually held up for a late run but it might be too far for it on good to firm ground. Igotatext 14/1 is the other known front runner and being my 2nd top rated on a time it recorded at Yarmouth last year it could prove hard to catch if getting to the front but hasn't been in great form in its recent runs, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 14/1 (EW) who recorded a rating last year at Carlisle that would see it winning this race a shade cosily and the apprentice jockey does quite well on the stables older horses and at the price it has to be an each way wager.

Singe Anlais 16/1 Unp -2pts

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.5pts

4:30 Newmarket Racing Tips (13th

NEWMARKET 4.30 

A nice looking class 3 handicap with 11 runners, I can see a couple of front runners which is always a bonus, the 2 at the bottom of the handicap are capable of recording fast times but in lower class races but could do enough to make the frame but I couldn't rely on them with any confidence, Jack The Truth 9/1 is one of the likely leaders and its best time from 2019 would see it going well, the trainers 2-34 record puts me off a little but the jockeys 2-4 record puts me in a spin as to what the connections are expecting and could do enough from the front to at least make the frame, looking at the tissue prices I cannot see why (Arafjan) is forecast to be the favourite, I would look to lay it, I myself will be hoping that HAN SOLO BERGER 11/2 can finish strongly here and get it back to winning ways, it can track the leaders or be held up and the jockey booking looks a positive as he has 24% win ratio on all his rides for the stable as moves up to 29% on the stables older (4yo and above) horses. 

Han Solo Berger 11/2 1 Point Win 

Araifjan 6/1 2 Points Lay 

Hans Solo Berger 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Arafjan +2pt

Total 1pts

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

A 10 runner class 5 race with a problem, I will look to lay a lack of early paced types but I think/hope I've worked something out in this race, one I will look to lay if a single figure price is (Stars In The Night 3/1) as its times from anywhere over this distance are relatively slow and at the price looks very poor value, any others I think could struggle are all forecast to be biggish prices, on a Wolverhampton time Jumira Bridge comes out 4th top rated overall but only 1lb below Gleniffer 14/1 in 3rd top spot but this ones best time was recorded here and also this year which is a positive so I am a bit surprised to see its a double figure price, my 2nd top rated is KLOPP 10/1 who comes from the Antony Brittain stable but it is 4lb below the top weight TATHMEEN 9/2, both usually stay on strongly at the finish but I think they could run them both to set it up for one of them to win, if pushed I would go with the top weight but I will have to back them both as it would be easy to fix it for either to win the race, 

Klopp 10/1 1 Point Win 5th -1pt

Tathmeen 9/2 1 Point Win 4th -1pt

Stars In The Night 2 Points Lay -4.5pts

Edessann 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Save The Spirit 9/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total on the day -3.5pts