2:20 Haydock Racing Tips (3rd September)

HAYDOCK 2.20 

A 7 runner race with no known front runners which is always a pain, I will look to lay Be Proud 5/1 who may need further to show its best and this race might not be run at a fast early gallop which wont help its cause, another possible lay is Manigordo 5/1 as I think it might be slightly outclassed in this race and the stable has another runner GOLDEN APOLLO 4/1 in the race who has a better chance of winning this race and will be staying on strongly at the business end of the race, my top rated horse is EMBOUR 5/1 so has to considered as a possible winner and if it wasn't for the trainers poor 0-46 record at this course it would most likely have been my only bet in the race. 

Embour 6/1 5th -1pt 

Golden Apollo 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Be Proud +1pt, Manigordo +1pt

Total 0pts     

HAYDOCK 2.55 

I can see 2 horses in this race that like to front run in the top weight who might not be good enough to hold on for the win even if it does get to the front and MACHREE 8/1 who could be very hard to catch if it does get to the front but it isn't my top rated so I will also be backing SOUND OF IONA 11/2 who is usually held up for a late run and this race could be run to suit its best racing tactic, I will look to lay Global Humor 5/1 who has done all of its winning over longer distances and may stay on too late to win this race. 

Sound Of Iona 7/1 +7pts 

Machree 14/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bet Global Humour +1pt 

Total +7pts

ASCOT 4.10 

A nice looking 8 runner class 4 race with 2 horses Equinao Springs and the top weight Aljari being known as a front running types but I doubt the latter can hold on for the win and its best speed figures have come from AW races but would still need to improve on those speed figures to win this race while the former comes out 3rd best on my figures so could do enough to make the frame, Louie de Palma is my 2nd top rated using a 2020 time at Windsor which seems to be a favoured course for it as its best this year was also recorded there, top rated is SPIRITED GUEST 7/1 who usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the strongest at the finish. 

Spirited Guest 11/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

PONTEFRACT 7.00 

Unlucky for some is this 13 runner race but luckily there is 3 known front running types in this race, I'm not sure price wise if there's anything worth laying but the betting will guide me more on the day, Singe Anglais has been in decent form lately but the trainers 1-42 win ratio at this course is off-putting it could possibly make the frame being my 2nd top rated but maybe its got a future target in mind, Mr Orange could go well if able to reproduce its best 2020 speed figure as could the 3yo Royal Advice, MOTAWAAZY 5/1 who is in real good form lately could set the pace here and comes out in 3rd top spot just 1lb from being my 2nd top rated and if getting to the front could be hard to catch and it does have good jockey stats, my top rated horse DENY KNOWLEDGE 11/2 is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and that includes leading but it could be held up here for a late run while it also has good jockey stats so I will back them both to cover the angles of a front runner and a finishing type. 

Motawaazy 5/1 1st +5pts + EX £15.60

Deny Knowledge 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total +4pts

PONTEFRACT 7.30 

For a class 3 race this is a very tricky looking race where I cannot find anything to lay and also cannot narrow it down to less than 2 horses, Victory Angel is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd best of overall figures so could make the frame, KING OF STARS 10/3 is the one i expect to set the pace to this race and is my top rated on just 2021 speed figures which is good enough for 2nd top spot on my overall figures so has to be respected while INDIAN SOUNDS 15/2 has been a bit below its best so far this year but if reproducing its best time from 2020 at Bath it becomes my top rated so also has to be respected and once again i am going with 2 bets to cover the angles.

King Of Stars 10/3 1st +3.33pts +EX £10.30

Indian Sounds 15/2 2nd -1pt 

Total +2.33pts 

Total on the day  +12.33pts

3:25 Musselburgh Racing Tips (20th August)

MUSSELBURGH 3.25 

MACHREE 5/1 is one of 3 known front runners in this race and is dropped in class to run here and if hitting the front could be hard to catch so has to be worth a wager.

NEVER DARK 9/1 usually likes to track the leaders but time wise it needs to improve a few spots but is a quite consistent sort but I would look to lay the win part.

PRIMOS COMET 9/2 is top rated on my figures and it recorded its best time earlier this year over this course and distance which is always a bonus.

MELODY KING 3/1 usually runs on strongly at the finish of its races but only comes out joint 3rd top on my figures so could make the frame but maybe poor value to win this race.

AFANDEM 16/1 comes out in 2nd top spot but this one doesn't like really fast good to firm ground so could go well here and possibly make the frame.

ECONOMIC CRISIS 16/1 another one that doesn't like really fast good to firm ground so could like this surface but needs to improve a bit time wise.

DENZIL'S LAUGHING 18/1 a possible pacesetter but maybe not quick enough to keep up with the other 2 that like to lead and will be an outsider.

REFUGE 10/3 the other one that I think could set the pace but its best form comes at a lower class of race than this one so I will lay it especially at the price. 

SUMMARY: A nice race for a class 5 affair,I would look to lay Refuge 10/3 who has been running well lately but in lower class races and could struggle here, if the top weight MACHREE 5/1 gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and is dropped in class to run in this race but I will also be backing my top rated horse PRIMOS COMET 9/2 who should have ideal ground, as long as it doesn't rain, and is usually held up for a late run and likes a fast pace to aim at so everything could fall into its lap here but i will backing the two selections to cover the angles.

Primo's Comet 9/2 3rd  -1pt

Machree 11/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Never Dark -7.5pts, Refuge +1pt 

Total on the day -8.5pts

2:25 Newmarket Racing Tips (1st May)

NEWMARKET 2.25 

A 9 runner race with 3 known front runners among them and they my top 3 ratings so maybe a lot of horses wont be able to get involved in this race, Arecibo is my 4th top rated so could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade badly, Judicial comes out 3rd best using a 2019 time but has been a bit below that level since then, Glorious Anna comes out 2nd best but those times have come in top class handicaps not Group races like today so may get outclassed in this race, I will be pinning my hopes on LAZULI 11/4 leading from start to finish and this one has good trainer, 29% and jockey 22%, winning ratios in older horse races and also has a more than decent 18% win ratio in Listed and Group races. 

Lazuli 3/1 1st +3pts (Betfair SP 4.52) 

Total +3pts

THIRSK 3.50 

A big field of 16 runners so another place up for grabs for the each way backers, both Mr Wagyu andThe Armed Man have been known to lead before and their best times only just see them missing my top four ratings, Dream Together is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Benefit Street has a time from Yarmouth last year that would make it my top rated by a good few spots but that time is beginning to look a bit of a fluke where it got towed along in a fast run race and all its other times see it just outside my top four plus it has a poor jockey stat of 0-10 for the stable, so I will be backing FOX HILL 14/1 who has its best time from Leicester last year and the jockey has a 20% win ratio for the stable so might be worth an each way bet at the price. 

Fox Hill 14/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 4.15 

There seems to be a lot of 7 runner races lately and here is another one, I am not sure what will set the pace which always muddies the waters, Embour won last time out in a slow run affair so may have been flattered and its best time which comes from 2019 would only see it make 3rd position on my own unique speed figures, 2nd top spot belongs to COUNT OTTO 9/2 who also won last time out but again in a relatively slow race but does have a much better time from 2020 which is only 1lb below CHIL CHIL 4/1 my top rated and both have good jockey stats making me think that both set of connections are out to win this race so I have no option other than to back both of them. 

Chil Chil 4/1 1st +4pts (Betfair SP 3.73)

Count Otto 9/2 6th -1pt

Total +3pts

THIRSK 4.25 

Eleven runners with 3 possibly 4 front runners in the field and 2 of them are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay John Kirkup, Cowboy Soldier and Shepherds Way if single figure prices, Saluti and Eeh Bah Gum are my joint 3rd top rated with the latter being a possible pacesetter, in 2nd top spot is Ready Freddie Go but that is using its best time from the AW over this distance at Newcastle, i will have a small, hopefully each way, bet on MACHREE 6/1 who is my top rated using both times from 2021 and 2020 and if on a going day is capable of leading all the way. 

Machree 6/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Cowboy Soldier +1pt

Total 0pts

DONCASTER 5.00 

A 7 runner race where the pace could be set by Danzan who is my 4th top rated beast, I would look to lay Via Serendipity who may want further and as so does Northernpowerhouse, my 3rd top rated is Triggered but that time comes from back in 2019, the top weight MOUNTAIN BRAVE 9/4 is my 2nd top rated on a figure recorded in 2020 so has to be respected but i will also be backing BLACKHEATH 9/1 who did record its best time in 2018 but hasn't any recent form over this distance as its been racing over further but its best time over this distance would see it winning a shade cosily. 

Mountain Brave 5/1 1st +5pts (Betfair SP 6.8) 

Blackheath 9/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet: Via Serendipity +1pt

Total +5pts

DONCASTER 6.35 

I will state right from the off this isn't a race to be betting in too heavily if at all, the early pace could be set by Aberama Gold but this one prefers some cut in the ground so keep an eye on the weather but if it does have cut I wont be betting, Edraak and Mokaatil have good speed figures but they were produced in lower class races, Lexington Dash has poor jockey stats, the value call in the race could be LAMPANG 9/1 who hasn't run recently on good to firm ground, which it prefers and the jockey has a 16% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Lampang 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total 1pt 

Total on the day +9pts

5:00 Thirsk Racing Tips & Lay Bets (29th July)

THIRSK 5.00 

STORM OVER the trainer is 1-16 with its older horses at this course and it doesn't want good to firm ground plus this trip might be a bit on the short side so maybe worth laying.

MANSHOOD has the best speed figure just for 2020 and the trainer does ok at this course and could go well enough to make the frame.

OUR LITTLE PONY it looks a positive jockey booking but it races as though some cut in the ground suits it best but I don't quite think I could confidently lay this one.

JUNGLE SPEED one of 3 horses known to lead before but has only produced relatively slow times so is not for me in this race and a lay if priced in single figures.

AIRSHOW looks a horse to lay as its best time from 2018 was way below what's needed here and hasn't recorded a time of note since then and will be one of the outsiders and one to lay.

MACHREE has what looks a positive jockey booking and is another possible pacesetter and if getting to the front should be a tough nut to crack.

EAST STREET REVUE looks to be on a downward spiral as its best time has gone lower and lower for the last 3 years and maybe it should be on my list to lay.

GLORY FIGHTER is the 3rd possible pacesetter and is 2nd best on just 2020 times and it is possible this 4yo could still improve and should go well here.

CONCLUSION: There is a few in this race that could run well but first I will look to lay (Jungle Speed + Airshow + Storm Over) who all have negatives against their names, Manshood and Glory Fighter might be the one to run well enough here to make the frame but my money will be riding on MACHREE 5/1 who is top-rated overall and has won before off a 5lb higher rating before and ran well on its only run of this year when finishing 5th beaten less than 2 lengths on good to soft ground and will be much happier on this better going.

Machree 5/1 1st (+5pts)

Lay bets: Jungle Speed +1pt, Airshow +1pt, Storm Over +1pt

Total on the day: +8pts

4:50 Redcar Racing Tips (28th May)

REDCAR 4.50

There's a couple of known front runners in this race with Fair Cop coming out 3rd best so there should be a fast early pace and this one could make the frame, my 2nd top rated is MACHREE 14/1 and its 7lb claiming apprentice moves it to top spot and this one usually likes to track the leaders and my original top-rated MIDNIGHT MALIBU 10/1 is the other known frontrunner in the field so I will go with backing them both each way to cover the angles. 

Machree 14/1 1st 
Midnight Malibu 11/1 6th

See Eric's Winners in May (Over 100pts in winners) 

BRIGHTON 5.00

I don't know why I've added this sprint as I've no idea what will win the race, I would maybe have sided with National Glory 9/4 if it wasn't on a losing run of 14 and a better price, both Born To Finish 5/1 and Mont Kiara 20/1 could be competitive here and maybe dutching the 3 of them is the answer. 

REDCAR 5.55 

I don't usually like these amateur riders races but my top rated LETMESTOPYOUTHERE 9/2 is being ridden by a top class amateur jockette in Brodie Hampson and I will have a small bet as there is just so much that can go wrong in this type of race. 

Letmestopyouthere 9/2 7th

SOUTHWELL 7.10 

A lovely all weather sprint over the straight 5 furlongs here so the draw doesnt matter too much which is just as well when 7 of the 12 runners have been known to lead before and it might help my cause when my 4th and top rated are drawn next to each other, the 4th top horse is Crosse Fire in stall 5 but its best time so far this year has been a good few pounds below its best from 2018, Samovar likes to track the leaders and comes out 3rd best on my figures and could stay on at the finish so could make the frame, the topweight Eternal Sun 20/1 still comes out 2nd best and can be held up or track the leaders and its a bonus that its best time was recorded this year so at the price it might be worth an each way wager, the one I will be backing though is ARCHIMEDES 20/1 who is a possible pace setter and its drawn in stall 6 and im hoping it can lead or contest the lead from the off and prove good enough to lead all the way but luckily at the price I can back it each way. 

Archimedes 33/1 Unp 

SOUTHWELL 7.40 

Another nice looking all-weather sprint race, even class 6 races are nice on artificial surfaces, there's is a couple of horses that could be hidden dangers in Inexes and Vinnies Wish but I'm hoping it doesn't happen here, Hollander is well weighted on its best speed figure but that was recorded at Wolverhampton which is a different surface and hasn't run over this c/d before, Granny Roz, Kraka and Poeta Brasileiro have been known to lead but they are drawn 9 and higher so maybe won't be able to lead in the make-up of this race, LIAMBA 7/2 is my 2nd top rated and a possible frontrunner from stall 3 so could gain control of the rails and then be hard to catch and its 3lb claiming apprentice jockey moves it to joint top rated along with GLOBAL MELODY 5/1 so will split my stakes between the pair of them to cover the angles.

Liamba 7/2 1st
Global Melody 8/1 6th 

Click this link to take a look at tomorrow's racing tips