TAKE A LOOK AT ERIC'S BIGGEST WINNERS: DID YOU KNOW ERIC TIPPED A 100/1 WINNER? CLICK HERE TO SEE ALL WINNERS


Latest News -

 Group Horse - Subscribe for our 10 Dark Horses 

Monday, 29 November 2021

1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th November)

LINGFIELD 1.45 

Only 5 runners for this class 3 sprint, Benny And The Jets may need this run for fitness and is also better when raced over a shorter trip, Global Warning has been in poor form lately and is the outsider in the field, I'm not convinced this surface is the favoured one for Mount Mogan although its best Newcastle rating would make it my top rated, Rovanlemi ha poor jockey stats 0-18 and may need a longer trip which leaves me with TOP BREEZE 11/4 I expect will be the favourite but is capable of leading all the way against today's opposition.

NEWCASTLE 3.45 

I can see 4 front running types in this field of 14, I've marked 5 down as possible lays but looking at the tissue prices only Captain Corcoran might be of value to do so, Ballyare 9/2 is usually held up for a late run and its best rating from 2020 would make it my 2nd top rated while its best from 2021 would only put it in 4th top spot but isn't any value to do as an each way bet, For Peats Sake 11/1 likes to track the leaders and is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but 3rd top overall so could be worth an each way punt, Lordsbridge Boy 6/1 is a front running type and has stall 1 which i am not sure is a positive on this straight course while my top rated ROYDMOOR 20/1 (EW) is also a front running type but has stall 10 and if getting to the front ought to prove hard to catch and at the price i would have to go with an each way punt. 

NEWCASTLE 5.45 

Morty 7/2 has won its last 2 races so is in rude form but I still think its best distance is further than today's and with only one runner in this race known as a front runner this race might not be run to suit it and it would also need to improve on its best Tapeta figure from Wolverhampton, if Sharrabang is a single figure price I would look to lay it as this one wants a longer distance, COOL SPIRIT 12/1 my 4th top rated is the one I think will set the pace to the race and has a good draw in stall 14 so will be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, TOMILY 18/1 comes out 3rd best and usually likes to track the leaders and then run on at the finish, QAARAAT 12/1 also likes to track the leaders and comes out 2nd best using a 2020 c/d speed figure but has been running a stone below that level so far this year, ORIENTAL LILLY 11/2 comes out top rated using a 2019 figure but hasn't run over this c/d since then and is usually held up for a late surge, none of the selections have good trainer/jockey stats or the stable has been out of form recently so I will dutch all 4 of them to a total stake of two points

NEWCASTLE 6.15 Div I 

I will hopefully be able to lay Birdie Bowers 15/2 in this first division, it is still a maiden after 11 runs, has poor trainer/jockey stats and the stable hasn't had a winner for 40 days from 10 runners, I think Lancashire Life 8/1 could set the pace to the race and it does come out 2nd best on my figures but the jockey/trainer stats with 3yo’s at this course is poor which puts me off a little but it could possibly make the frame, Atrafan comes out 4th best on my figures with The Grey Bay sitting in 3rd top spot and both can either be held up for a late run or track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so either of these two could also make the frame but I will be putting my faith in the top weight REDZONE 9/2 who likes to track the early pacemakers before staying on the stronger at the finish and stall 12 should be ideal but the trainers recent 0-16 means my stake will be kept low. 

NEWCASTLE 6.45 Div II 

In this race I will look to lay Barrington 9/1 if its a single figure price because I don't think this surface really suits it whereas if this race was on polytrack it would probably be the one I would be backing, I have just 3lbs between Hurstwood, Paddy Power and The Mackem Torpedo in 6th to 4th top spots on my figures, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses with Red Allure and Sleight, the former can be held up or track the leaders while the latter is usually held up for a late burst but I will be back the 3yo FIRCOMBE HALL 13/2 who has a time from 2020 which makes it my top rated by 9lb’s but I have to admit its not been at that level so far this year but did indicate it was coming to hand when finishing 2nd last time out and could go one better here.

Sunday, 28 November 2021

3:35 Kempton Racing Tips (29th November)

KEMPTON 3.35 

This is a poor race where there isn't a lot to say about a lot of the runners and only five of the twelve runners have a recorded speed figure on my ratings and I think the other seven entrants will all be double figure price (I've got this piece wrong as I'm Mable has been made the 10/3 favourite who won last time out on grass but that win was over 5 furlongs and I am doubtful if it really wants the sixth furlong but in this race with no known front runners this race could possibly be run to suit it but if there is a fast early pace it may get found out but I couldn't say to back or lay it but it could possibly ruin my bets) and the winner might come from those with a speed figure, Kodi Gold is my 3rd top rated but that is using a time recorded on Tapeta at Newcastle and its sole run on this surface at Chelmsford didn't show it in a good light so maybe this surface doesn't suit it, Starter For Ten is 5th top rated on a time recorded over this c/d this year but its not won a race on an artificial surface from 14 attempts which is off putting but it has made the frame 4 of those races, Daring Guest is 4th top using a time from Lingfield recorded this year but its sole attempt over this c/d didn't register on my graphs, TOMSHALFBROTHER 10/1 (EW) sits in 2nd top spot using a time recorded at Chelmsford in 2020 and hasn't any surface distance form to its name for this year and the jockey is 1-3 on the stables older horses so it might be a positive booking, my top rated is IESHA 14/1 (EW) this time using a speed figure it recorded at Chelmsford this year and would probably have been my sole selection if it wasn't for the stables 0-5 for the last 2 weeks and it doesn't do particularly well at this course and is 0-11 with its 3yo’s at this course, my stakes won't be at full strength because there isn't any known front running types in the race but I am hoping they will both be each way prices then I will go with two small each way punts. 

Tomshalfbrother 10/1 2nd +1pt
Iesha 14/1 6th -2pts 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 

A poor turnout of just four runners for this class 3 race over the minimum distance, there's no known front runners amongst them but i have a feeling that the early pace might be set by Zapper Cass who is the stablemate of the 3yo NIGHT ON EARTH 8/11 who looks to have been found an ideal opportunity to follow up from its win last time out and a reproduction of that speed figure would see it winning this race a little cosily but I expect it will be the hot hot favourite to win this race.

Night On Earth 1st +0.72pts 

Total +0.72pts

Total on the day -0.28pts

Friday, 26 November 2021

4:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.00 

OOH IS IT 5/1 has only a slow time from its only previous c/d run and a slow time at Newcastle as well so maybe this Tapeta surface isn’t ideal for it and may be worth laying.

HOWZAK 3/1 has been in good form lately with 3 wins and two placed efforts from its last 5 runs but it hasn't any form on this surface so not sure what to expect but would win if able to reproduce its best speed figure on the Polytrack surface and is 1 of 3 possible pacesetters drawn in stall seven. 

STAKE ACCLAIM 7/1 has a rating from 2020 that would make it just outside my top four ratings but does have the stall 1 draw but isn't known as a front running type so its stall 1 draw might be a bit of a disadvantage. 

EXPERT OPINION 15/2 a 3yo who has also been known to lead before and in the make-up of this race stall eight not not be too bad and is my top rated on just 2021 course and distance speed figures. 

TATHMEEN 16/1 hasn't shown much time wise over this course and distance since 2019 and from stall 11 it will need a degree of luck to gain a clear run without being taken too wide.

SHOW ME A SUNSET 8/1 is usually held up for a late run but would need to improve on its best speed figure which was recorded in 2020 but that is good enough for joint 3rd top spot but hasn't been to that level so far this year. 

THE DALEY EXPRESS 8/1 this one seems to be slowly getting slower each year, its best form 2020 would make it my joint 3rd top rated but its best from 2019 would make it my 2nd top rated but hasn't a recorded figure for this year so not for me in this race. 

SHAMSHON 14/1 is the 3rd of the horses that has been known to lead before and its time recorded this year is good enough for 2nd top spot on just this years times but stall 10 may see it carried wide on the bend with the other 2 possible pacesetters drawn on its inside.

SOME NIGHTMARE 11/2 this one hasn't any form over this course and distance and looking at other form it may need a longer distance for this one to show its best form and i would think about laying this one at the price. 

HIGHEST AMBITION 33/1 has had 2 previous runs over this course and distance but both produced slow times and might be another that will shine when raced over further. 

BEZZA'S LAD 11/1 hasn't won in 8 previous runs on an artificial surface And is the third on on the trot that might better when racing over further. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay Ooh Is It 5/1 who has won its last 2 races but with doubts over the suitability of this Tapeta surface i am willing to take it on if of value to do so, I think the winner will come from either, HOWZAK 3/1 but it depend on whether it takes to this surface or not but its speed figure rating is a good few spots higher than anything else in the race or *EXPERT OPINION 15/2 who i will also be backing as it is my top rated on just this years course and distance speed figures with both of them being front running types they may prove more than hard to catch for the rest of the field and i am not sure which horse would be the one to prosper if they front runners go off too fast and tire inside the final furlong.

*NR 
Howzak 3/1 7th -1pt 

Lay Ooh Is It (too big price) 

Total on the day -1pt  

Thursday, 25 November 2021

2:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th November)

LINGFIELD 2.05 

This class 4 race is very complicated with form lines and speed figures coming from various courses some on this surface and others on the Tapeta surface, the top weight Outrage 15/2 is a much better horse over five furlongs and I would look to lay it in this race over six furlongs with a couple of known front running pacesetters to make sure there is a fast early pace and the 3yo Twilight Madness 7/4 from the prime draw of stall one could do best of those two but it would need to improve time wise to win this race but it could go well but I doubt it will be an each way price (I sure wasn't wrong but 7/4 is very poor value), Concierge 25/1 comes out 4th best using a Kempton time from 2020 but hasn't shown much in its recent turf runs but might be worth an each way bet if others falter, Fauvette 9/2 is my 3rd top rated using a time it recorded at Chelmsford this year and a repeat here could see it make the frame but its forecast to be the favourite so not an each way price and it might be worth laying the win part, the bottom weight Camachess 22/1 is capable of recording a good speed figure but in lower class races so it could go well but i doubt it can win this race as it seems to either win or be nowhere so i will be backing MUSCIKA 8/1 who ran a decent race on its only run this year over this course and distance but a repeat of the time it recorded last time out when winning over this distance at Chelmsford would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Muscika 12/1 1st +12pts

TotL +12pts 

LINGFIELD 2.40 Div I

This first division is quite poor even for a class 6 race and looking at the tissue prices I have negatives against the first three in the betting, Morty 3/1 who might find the trip too far and looks like being a shorter price because it won last time out, Della Mare 13/2 who won a race two runs ago at Kempton but it was a relatively slow run affair, Julie Johnston 13/2 has recorded slow times over this distance and on this surface at Kempton and Chelmsford so I cannot see any reason why that should change here but I also have to mention that this race will not take much winning, the one at the bottom of the handicap, Mercers, hasn't shown much lately and seems on the decline at just 7 years of age but its best time from 2019 would make it my 3rd top rated while its best from 2020 was 10lb’s lower, I will be having a small wager on 2 horses, firstly BRAZEN ARROW 15/2 who hasnt any course form to its name but its best time recorded at Chelmsford this year makes I my 2nd top rated and its time last time out was only 2lbs below its best but I do have *BERNARD SOIERPOINT 14/1 rated 1lb higher using a time this one also recorded at Chelmsford this year and its only ran over this course and distance before which resulted in a slow time, to be honest i am hoping they are both going to be each way prices as that looks the best way to go in this race. 

*NR
Brazen Arrow 15/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 3.15 Div II 

There isn't really enough data to work with in this second division, six of the twelve runners are 3yo’s and a lot of the others have been in poor form so I will be taking a watching brief in this race in the hope it can be of help in the future.

Total on the day +11pts

Wednesday, 24 November 2021

2:35 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (25th November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35 

There is a couple of known front runners in this field of 11, Grandfather Tom 8/1 who has been in poor form lately and I would look to lay this one if its a single figure price and the 3yo Amasova 7/1 but this one would need to improve time wise to win this race but could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead, this doesn't seem to be the favoured surface for Capla Spirit 4/1 but it does still come out 4th best on my figures so could make the frame if others falter but I am doubtful it can win this race, Its Wonderful 20/1 may need further to shine as might the 3yo Portelet Bay 13/2, I've got Tantastic 5/1 as my 3rd top rated and this one can either be held up or track the leaders but I'm not sure its an each way price, the old timer You're Cool 18/1 comes out 2nd best on a course and distance figure recorded earlier this year but has been quite inconsistent lately but I will be investing my money on the 3yo ADMIRABLE LAD 7/2 who won last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up in this race and its only the stall 11 draw that looks of any concern but if granted a clear run it could win with a little bit in hand. 

Admirable Lady 5/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bet: Grandfather Tom -4.5pts

Total -5.5pts

CHELMSFORD 6.50 

There's 3 possible pacesetters amongst the 10 runners in this race, the 13yo Tropics would have had every chance in this race even 2 years ago but is getting slowly slower with age each year and its best from this year leaves it outside my top 3 ratings, one I will look to lay if of value to do so is Restless Endeavour 6/1 who may prefer a longer distance and has never won over this trip, The Greatestshowman 5/1 won last time out but hasn't run at this course this year and its best time from 2020 wouldn't be good enough to make the frame but it is good form so never say never, Red Walls 6/1 also won last time out but this race looks a bit better affair and I'm not sure it can win this race, Jack The Truth 9/2 comes out 3rd best using a time from 2020 but isn't really an each way price, in this race I will be backing 2 horses to cover the angles, ARAIFJAN 8/1 who is a front running type and if getting to the front from stall 10 it could prove hard to catch and may squeeze up some of those drawn inside of it and that might enhance its chances so has to carry some of my money but I will also be backing INVINCIBLE LARNE 8/1 who last time out recorded fast time when finishing 3rd and has been found a good chance to go even better here and with a clear run it could win this race but it is 94 days since the stable last had a winner which is a little off putting and the one of the reasons i will be backing 2 horses in this race. 

Araifjan 8/1 7th -1pt 
Invincible Larne 8/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Restless Endeavour +1pt 

Total -1pts

Total on the day -6.5pts

Monday, 22 November 2021

6:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (23rd November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

A field of 7 with 2 known front running types which always helps with any analysis, if a single figure price Venturous 10/1 would be worth laying as this might not be its preferred surface and/or it might need a longer distance to show it’s best form, Blue De Vega comes out 3rd best on my ratings and does stay on strongly at the finish and maybe another that is even better over a longer distance, Mondammej 7/4 won last time out but that was 33 days ago so why its been off since then I’ve no idea, it is my top rated on just 2021 course and distance times and 2nd top rated on overall figures and could be the one to prosper if my top rated doesn't run to its best but isn't of value in my opinion, Fizzy Feet will make sure that ROYAL BIRTH 14/1 (EW) doesn't get it too easy up front but i am hoping the selection can get to the front and once doing so it could prove hard to catch and does have decent trainer stats at this course and the jockey does quite well when riding for this stable and will be the one carrying my money in this race, with only 7 runners i am not sure if it is worth backing each way as there is only two places up for grabs. 

Royal Birth 22/1 6th -2pts 

Lay bet: Venturous +1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 Div I

This class 6 race isn't great even for the class with only 5 of the 11 runners having a rating on my figures, I will look to lay Okaldi 3/1 who may need further if its a single figure price at the off and at the price on offer it looks poor value in my eyes, It Must Be Faith, Thegreyvtrain, Morty and Red Allure could all go well here if running to their best and I wouldn't put anyone off backing anyone of them but as for myself I will take a risk with a punt on BILLY DYLAN 9/2 although all the data, apart from its speed figure, says leave it alone, the trainer hasn't had a winner for 369 days but has only has 33 runners during that time, the trainer has a 3% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 0-11 for this stable and the horse hasn't won in 16 attempts on an artificial surface but has been placed in 4 of those 16 races but this is such a poor race a reproduction of its best time speed figure would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Billy Dylan 9/2 9th -1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div II

This 2nd division is dire and I have negatives against 7 of the 11 runners but in such a poor race I couldn't recommend with any confidence laying any of those 7 runners, the one that might set the pace to this race is SHESADABBER 11/1 (EW) who comes 3rd top on my figures and with an easy lead it could be dangerous and hold on for the win so at the price it might be worth an each way flutter, to show how bad this race actually is QAARAAT 7/4 is forecast to be the two to one favourite and its best time, which was recorded in 2019, it would be my top rated but drops down to 2nd best on overall figures and at the price doesn't really represent any value but I couldn't say it wont or cant win so I cannot bet in this race without it carrying some of my money while LORNA COLE 20/1 (EW) comes out top rated on just 2021 speed figures and 2nd top overall but hasn't been in good form lately but looks value for an each way punt, none of the three have good trainer/jockey stats and none of them have had a winner in the last 2 weeks. I might look to dutch the three highlighted horses but in reality this race is maybe best left alone, the betting might be the deciding factor in whether I have a bet or not but I don't want people to lose money so again its best left alone, hey ho decisions decisions.

Lorna Cole 20/1 6th -2pts 
Qaaraat 11/4 8th -1pt 
Shesadabber 33/1 Unp -2pt 

Total -5pts

Total on the day -7pts

Sunday, 21 November 2021

5:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (22nd November)

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

Only 5 runners but an intriguing race, Shallow Hal has been in poor form lately and I expect it will be the outsider in this race, The Last Lion a hold up type and Above who likes to track the leaders both need to improve time wise to win this race, REGIONAL 11/8 I expect will be the favourite and as it is the one I expect to set the pace to the race this 3yo could be hard to catch and wouldn't need to improve much on its best turf speed figure on its debut here on an artificial surface to hold CORINTHIA KNIGHT 7/1 at bay in the latter stages but I do have the latter horse rated a few spots higher on my speed figures, it likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and this race could be run to suit it but I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Regional 6/4 2nd -1pt 
Corinthia Knight 16/1 5th

Total -2pts  

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

A full house of 14 for this race with three horses that are known as front running sorts which means I can look to lay Shalaa Asker 11/2 who I think is better over a shorter distance, Stay Smart in stall 2 could be the one to gain control of the rails and it is my 3rd top rated but it hasn't been in the best of form lately but being a 3yo it could go well especially if getting a quick exit from the stalls, my top rated is Garth Rockett 16/1 recording its best time in 2020 but this one hasn't shown anything since February this year and that time is well below its best from the previous year, to make me think this race will see it back to winning ways and the bookies seem to agree, so my money will be riding on another 3yo in the shape of BIG BARD 2/1 who has won its last two races and has been found a very good opportunity to complete the hat trick despite being stuck out in stall 13 as it might be able to follow another front running type Secret Glow from stall 14 across towards the rails and then gain a good position from which to attack in the closing stages of the race. 

Big Bard 2/1 6th -1pt

Lay bet: Shalaa Asker +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

A field of 12 for this class 6 race and at first glance its a bit of a strange race to analyse and any stakes have to be kept low, Shanghai Rocks 13/2 might need further to show its best but as its a 3yo I’m not sure whether I can lay it or not but it might be worth the risk if the price is right but I think its current price is a little bit too high to be of value for the lay while anything under 5/1 I might have taken the risk, the same can apply to Lethal Angel 15/2, my top two ratings are both horses that like to set the pace to races, MOVEONUP 14/1 (EW) is my 2nd top rated and that is using a time it recorded when winning over this course and distance in 2020 but this one has been in poor form lately but if it springs back to form it could go well and I expect the apprentice jockeys instructions will simply be to try to get to the front, I would probably have only backed TILSWORTH ROSE 20/1 (EW) in this race if it wasn't for the poor 0-8 jockey stats and the trainers poorish 6% win ratio at this course but this one won four races ago and could be the one to gain control of the rails which are important on the bends, I will back them both but maybe with my stakes tilted in the favour of the latter and my top rated horse, at the prices I will be having a couple of small each way punts.

Moveonup 16/1 8th 2pt 
Tilsworth Rose 33/1 9th -2pts

Total -4pts

Total on the day -4pts

Saturday, 20 November 2021

1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th November)

LINGFIELD 1.45 

Its been a long week without any All-Weather racing to look at, I don't bet on National Hunt racing they always seem to fall when I back them. A nice looking class 4 race to get back into the swing of things, four of the ten runners are three year olds and the oldest horse in the race is only a six year old. ROSE HIP 8/1 hasn't any surface form to its name but has a fast time from on turf which gives it a decent chance, it has poor jockey stats but then it has been dropped in class to run here so I will be backing it to some degree as it could win if repeating its best grass form, Enduring 12/1 likes to lead but only by setting a slow early pace and it wont be allowed that luxury in this race and could be worth laying if a single figure price while Letha Blast 12/1 may be outclassed at this level and another one to lay if of value to do so, the trainer of Lucky Ava hasn't had a winner in the last month but does ok at this course and the jockey also has a reasonable record for the stable and its best time from 2020 would put it in the mix so I couldn't back or lay this one with any confidence, with 4 known front runners in this race they could go off at a breakneck pace and leave the door open for something coming form off the pace, although Buy Me Back 14/1 from stall 2 could do best of those early paced types and therefore might be worth an each way punt at a double figure price, so I will be betting on SON AND SANNIE 5/1 who has a time from 2020 over this course and distance which makes it my top rated and it also has good trainer and jockey stats. I will be backing both horses but with my stakes most likely to be tilted in the favour of the latter selection. 

Rose Hip 12/1 1st +12pts
Son And Sannie 15/2 7th -1pts

Total +11pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

A field of 13 for this class 5 race, Vape 12/1 hasn't got any form over this course and distance and it may need a longer distance to show its best form but I doubt it will be a single figure price but I will lay it if that does happen, I will also be looking at Gustav Graves 8/1 in terms of a lay bet as I am not convinced it really stays this far if there is a fast early pace which I think will happen in this race. Gowanlad 5/1 time wise would be in the mix if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but the trainer has only a single figure win ratio at this course and the jockey is 0-11 for this stable which is enough to put me off its chances in this race, the 3yo Highest Ambition is a maiden on the All-Weather tracks after 6 previous attempts and time wise it would need to improve on its best time which was recorded last year, Princely is 0-12 on the All-Weather courses and looks better over a shorter distance, Good Earth could be the one to set the pace to this race but may not be good enough to hold on and may be pushed for the lead by the 3yo GIVE EM THE SLIP 12/1 who is versatile with its racing tactics and does come out top rated on just this years course and distance times and at the double figure price it has to be worth an each way interest, i will also be backing CAMACHESS 6/1 who comes out 2nd top rated on this years times and usually runs on strongly at the finish over this distance and if they do go off too fast this one could be the one to prosper but my stakes will be tilted in favour of the former selection.

Give Em The Slip 12/1 5th -1pt
Camachess 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +9pts

Friday, 12 November 2021

3:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (13th November)

LINGFIELD 3.05 

A 12 runner Listed class race but there looks to be 5 runners that I don't think can win this race and I would lay all of them if value to do so but as usual it will be the betting which decides what I will or will not be laying, Misty Grey is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 course and distance times but that rating is only good enough for 5th top spot on my overall figures, rated just 2lbs higher is Exalted Angel who is my top rated for this year and 4th best overall, Soldiers Minute comes out 3rd best on my own unique speed ratings but this one is held by the horse that will be carrying my money but could still make the frame, the top weight Judicial comes out 2nd top rated on my overall figures but this hold up type will need a degree of luck from stall 10 but with a clear run it ought to make the frame but I will be backing GOOD EFFORT who hasn't any form on this course and distance this year but its best rating from last year would see it winning a shade cosily and last year it was running in higher class races and the trainer does have a decent strike rate at this course especially with their older horses. 

Good Effort 11/8 1st +1.375pts 

Total +1.375pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30

A poor looking race even for a class 6 dash, I would look to lay Shanghai Rock and Cometh The Man who both may be better when racing over a longer distance but both of them are 3yo’s so I wont be betting too heavily, I will also look to lay Cool Spirit who hasn't produced a speed figure of note from 3 runs over this course and distance and also at Newcastle and Southwell over today's distance, my top rated for just this year over this course and distance is BLUE VENTURE 9/1 who is a front running type and in the make-up of this race it should be able to either get to the front or at least be prominent from the off so could be worth an each way wager at the price but I do have QAATAAR 12/1 rated higher but this time I am using a time from 2020 but that time would see it winning this race a shade cosily but I have to admit this one hasn't been in the best of form lately but it might be worth a bet as its an double figure price.

Qaataar 12/1 3rd -1pt
Blue Venture 9/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Cometh The Man +1pt, Shanghai Rock +1pt

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +1.375pts  

Thursday, 11 November 2021

2:35 Newcastle Racing Tips (12th November)

NEWCASTLE 2.35 

5 Furlongs --- Class 3 Handicap 

MARNIE JAMES this one may need this run for fitness and only ran twice earlier this year and hasn't been seen since March and usually needs at least one run to gain fitness but I think the price might reflect that fact. 

INDIAN SOUNDS 10/1 has relatively poor trainer stats with a 9% win ratio and the jockey is 1-23 for this stable which puts me off its chances and form wise I think its a better prospect when raced over a longer distance and might be worth laying if of value to do so, IE:- a single figure price.

LAHORE hasn't been in good form lately and its best speed figure for just this year is quite poor but its best from 2020 could possibly see it make the frame if it springs back to form but maybe worth laying the win part at the price. 

LIPSINK 5/1 has a time recorded at Chelmsford on polytrack that would make it competitive but has just 1 slow time to its name on this surface at Wolverhampton and might be better when racing over a longer trip so maybe worth taking on at the price. 

OUTRAGE has a time from 2020 that would make it competitive but its best from this year has been way below that level but its time last time out at Wolverhampton would give it a chance of making the frame. 

ORNATE this 9yo seems to be gradually getting slower each year and its best from this year wouldn't be good enough to win this race and has poor trainer 2-72 and jockey 0-3 stats and its been 183 days and 64 runners since the stable last had a winner but could make the frame if anywhere near is best from 2020 or even better its 2019 speed figure. 

BLACKBERRY has only ran once before on an artificial surface where it didn't make the frame but it does have a good time when it won on turf on good to firm ground but would still need to improve a little to win this race. 

KIND REVIEW this one comes out top rated on my figures for just this year but the drawback with this runner is that the stable hasn't had a winner from 31 runners in the last 119 days.

 SECRETINTHEPARK 11/2 hasn't recorded a speed figure on my graphs for the AW tracks since 2019 but has won its last 2 races on turf so is in good form, its 2 runs over this c/d in 2020 left a lot to be desired so may be worth a small lay at the price. 

POLITICS hasn't any form at this distance on this surface but it is one that likes to lead and does have a competitive time recorded on grass on good to firm going so could go well if taking to this surface. 

NIGHT ON EARTH hasn't run on this surface before so what to expect I'm not sure but it think it might be better over a longer distance and hasn't won from 10 previous attempts on an artificial surface but its another with a time from running on grass that would give it a chance here. 

PHOENIX STAR this ones times are relatively slow for this class of race and might need further to show its true worth but i think the price will back that up. 

KRAKEN POWER hasn't been in good form in its recent races and may not like this surface or maybe it needs further and probably both on its debut on the all-Weather tracks. 

TATHMEEN is capable of recording a good time but does all its best work in lower class races than this one and may get outclassed in this race but it could make the frame if others falter. 

SUMMARY: To be honest for a class 3 race this one is quite poor and those with good ratings haven't been in good form lately so any stakes will be kept low as this race might not take much winning, I will hopefully have found an each way shot that could run better than its bare form suggests. In all honesty I would probably be best leaving this race alone but I am going to take a punt on one that could win this race if springing back to its best and it is the price which it is foretasted to be on the early tissue prices, so I am hoping that KIND REVIEW 20/1 can either lead or at least contest the lead and it could make a bold bid from the front to win this race and I would kick myself if I didn't back it and it won at a big price.

Kind Review 20/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet: Indian Sound +1pt 

Total on the day 0pts