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Wednesday, 17 August 2022

4:35 Chepstow Racing Tips (18th August)

CHEPSTOW 4.35 

WILLINGLY 9/4 usually likes to track the leaders but would need to improve time wise to win this race but has won over today's distance.

SECRET HANDSHEIKH 5/1 another that likes to track the leaders but needs to improve time wise and a longer distance might suit it better. 

UBAHHA 9/2 is a hold up type who comes out in 4th top spot on my own unique speed figure ratings and could make the frame if others falter. 

GLAMOROUS BREEZE 12/1 can be held up at the rear of the field or race in midfield and should stay on enough to make the frame being my second top rated. 

SHESADABBER 15/2 one of three known front running types in this race and it comes out in third top spot on my ratings and with an easy lead could even win the race from the front. 

SECRETFACT 13/2 who can be held up or track the leaders comes out in top spot on my ratings and a repeat of its best figure Windsor this year would see it winning this race.

FOSSOS 33/1 is the second of the possible pacesetters in this race but would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

MASTER SULLY 5/1 finished second last time out but has poor form over today's distance and looks to prefer a longer distance. 

THE GOLDEN CUE 40/1 the third possible pacesetter but hasn't shown anything worthwhile time wise since 2019. 

SUMMARY: I expect Shesadabber to be the one to set the pace to this race and being my 3rd top rated could do enough from the front to make the frame here, Glamorous Breeze will be trying to stay on at the finish and could make the frame but i will be hoping that SECRETFACT 13/2 can reproduce its best figure from Windsor and get back to winning ways.

Tuesday, 16 August 2022

1:05 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (17th August)

WOLVERHAMPTON 
1.05 

Class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners and 2 known front runners, Red Walls 5/1 usually likes to lead and ran well last time out but would need to improve time wise to win this race but could make the frame so might be worth laying the win part only, both Street Life 11/2 and Bluebell Time 11/2 looks better prospects when racing on the Polytrack surface, Madame Fennella 3/1 may be better when racing over a longer distance and if it wasn't a 3yo I would definitely have put it forward as a lay bet, Glasstrees 6/1 has run twice over this distance on this surface and didn't produce anything worthwhile time wise, Symbol Of Hope 14/1 has had 2 runs on this surface but produced nothing of note time wise but a repeat of its best turf rating would win this race with a fair bit in hand, it isn't fancied in the betting so I will as usual stick with the proven, Duke Of Firenze 7/1 usually tries to stay on at the business end of a race and could make the frame again here but my money will be riding on the front running type AMASOVA 8/1 and if getting to the front could prove very hard to catch and the jockey has a decent 17% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Amasova 8/1 3rd -1pt

Total on the day -1pt  

Monday, 15 August 2022

3:15 Hamilton Racing Tips (16th August)

HAMILTON 3.15 

A class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 10 runners, *Jordan's Electrics 15/2 might prefer a longer distance so maybe a lay as long as its a single figure price nearing the off, Kilconquer might be outclassed at this level, Global Humor can produce good ratings in slightly lower class races, Pockley has 1 good rating from Carlisle last year which is now looking a flukey time where it got towed along in a fast run race and hasn't been in form lately and its record is no wins from 17 runs on turf, my 2nd top rated horse Surprise Picture has a good chance of at least making the frame in this race and usually tracks the leaders, when i take off the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim MARK'S CHOICE 10/3 becomes my top rated and is also the most likely horse to set the pace to this race so is capable of leading all the way in this race although the trainers 0-15 record at this course is a little off-putting. 

*NR

Mark's Choice 10/3 2nd -1pt 

HAMILTON 3.45 

Class 5 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners, Zig Zag Ziggy 20/1 hasn't been in good form lately but is the one most likely to set the pace to this race and might be worth an each way interest, Hey Mr 11/2 might prefer a longer trip than the the minimum distance of this race and therefore maybe worth laying,, Burj Malinka 10/1 can produce good speed figures but usually at basement level and doesn't seem to like really fast good to firm ground, Melody King 7/2 can find this trip too short on good to firm ground but it could possibly run on into a place here if reproducing its best 2021 speed rating, the 3yo Cotai West could also make the frame in this race but my money will be riding on *SOUL SEEKER 10/3 who won last time out and has been found the ideal opportunity to follow up here with another win and it also has good trainer/jockey stats. 

*NR 

Lay bet Hey Mr +1pt 

Total +1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.20 

A poor turnout of 6 for this class 5 sprint and there's not much recent direct form on this surface to work with, Phoenix Star will struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace, Miss Bella Brand 7/2 looks a better prospect when on the Tapeta surface so looks worth laying at the price, Twilight Secret comes out 3rd top on my figures with Intervention sitting in 2nd top spot with COOPERATION 5/2 in top spot, it might well be the one to set the pace to this race and if leading ought to be too hard to catch and has been found the ideal opportunity to complete its hattrick.

Cooperation 5/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Miss Bella Brand +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day 0pts

Sunday, 14 August 2022

3:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (15th August)

LINGFIELD 3.30 

Class 5 race with 10 runners over 5 furlongs and 3 known front running types, if Khurumbi is a single figure price I will lay it as I'm not sure this surface will suit it and further might also be better for it, 2 of the possible pacesetters, Howzak and Red Walls, have been in poor form lately, the former could do best of the pair but usually gives an indication when a return to form is imminent Micks Spirit is my 4th top rated just 1lb below Saaheq in 3rd top spot so either or both could make the frame, I will be hoping that WINGS OF A DOVE 7/1 the other possible pacesetter can lead from stall 2 and gain control of the rails and once hitting the front could prove hard to catch. 

Wings Of A Dove 9/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CATTERICK 4.55 

A 10 runner race over 5 furlongs in a class 6 affair and 4 front running types in the field, Golden Hal and Astapor should ensure the early gallop is a good one although the latter races as though further would suit it better and might be worth laying if of value to do so, Red Allure is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders, I have joint top rated horses, DAPPER MAN 15/2 in stall 5 and KING CRIMSON 4/1 in stall 7 and both are front running types so whichever one wins the battle could be the one to go on for the win but i honestly cannot split them and will be backing them both. 

Dapper Man 15/2 8th -1pt 
King Crimson 11/2 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Astapor +1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 5.20 

An 11 runner class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 4 known front running types amongst them, one horse I will be looking to lay is Bernard Speirpoint who seems to be a much better horse when racing over further, if Thegreyvtrain is a single figure price its another I would think about laying as its not running well lately despite being at the front in the early stages of a race and that's in slow run races which I doubt this one will be, We’re Reunited is my 3rd top rated and likes to stay on at the finish and further might suit it better but it could still make the frame here, FORESEEABLE FUTURE 11/4 is one of the likely leaders and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and with the apprentice jockeys claim it only misses top spot by 1lb behind SPARKED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish as its so close between the pair of them I will be backing them both. 

Foreseeablefuture 11/4 1st +2.75pts 
Sparked 18/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Thegreyvtrain +1pt 

Total +2.75pts

WINDSOR 6.50 

Class 4 race with 9 runners over 5 furlongs with 4 front running types in the field so it should be a true run race, the top weight Treacherous hasn't any form over today's distance but it might get outpaced here before staying on too late nearing the finish but if others falter it could possibly make the frame, any others that could be lays all look likely to be double figure prices and represent poor value, Son And Sannie who is my 4th top rated could do best of those coming from off the pace especially if the top 3 all go off too fast and fade nearing the finish, Coronation Cottage who is my 3rd top rated does its best form and ratings in lower class races so may be outclassed at this level, Just That Lord is my 2nd top rated and recorded its best speed figure over today's course and distance last year while my top rated LA ROCA DEL FUEGO 4/1 also recorded its best rating over this course and distance but it was recorded this year and if getting the fractions right could get back to winning ways in this race and i like the booking of the apprentice jockey who takes 5lb off its weight and has a one win from two rides for the stable.

La Roca Del Fuego 13/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -0.25pts

Saturday, 13 August 2022

5:03 Southwell Racing Tips (14th August)

SOUTHWELL 5.03 

Class 6 race with 11 runners over 5 furlongs with a couple of known front running types amongst them, the five at the bottom of the handicap all look likely to be double figure priced outsiders and look to have very little, never say never, chance of winning this race, Jet Set Go, Big Impact and Ustath may all prefer a longer distance to show their true worth, which leaves me with 3 runners, The Tron comes out in 3rd top spot and usually stays on at the finish over this distance and may stay on too late for the win here, Scale Force sits in 2nd top spot and also stays on at the finish but my top rated MARWARI 11/4 is the one that I think, hope, sets the pace to the race and if getting to the front it could prove too hard to catch, its top rated on course and distance time since this course changed to the Tapeta surface and top using other Tapeta ratings but it was from 2020 but in its defense it hasn't run over this surface at either Newcastle or Wolverhampton since then and has good trainer, 33% win ratio and jockey 19% win ratio stats with the stables older horses. 

Marwari 10/3 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

PONTEFRACT 5.20 

Class 5 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners and 4, Late Arrival, Cottam lane, Dandy Spirit and Macho Pride, known front running types amongst the field and it looks a race where I will have to go with one front running type and one that comes from off the pace to cover the angles, Mostallim might be worth taking on here as a longer distance might show it in a better light, Late Arrival and Hello Zabeel are my joint 4th top rated horses, Mutanaaseq is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders, I have joint top rated horses MACHO PRIDE 11/2 who being a front running type could be hard to catch if getting to the front but DREAM TOGETHER 7/1 likes to track the pacesetters and likes the good to firm ground and will need a perfect run to catch the leader but this one has the better trainer/jockey stats of the pair and I will be backing them both.

Macho Pride 10/1 4th -1pt 
Dream Together 10/3 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -3pts

Friday, 12 August 2022

2:50 Ripon Racing Tips (13th August)

RIPON 2.50 

Class 2 race over 6 furlongs with 15 runners and one third of them have been known to lead before, as you expect its a very competitive looking race, Hyperfocus and Marks Choice look likely to do best of the front runners and the former could do enough from the front to make the frame, I cannot see anything of value to lay in this race as for finding the winner there is a few, Summerghand, Snash, Intrinsic Bond, Indian Creak Embour plus the 2 front runners mentioned, that could go well here and anyone of them could make the frame but I will be having a small wager on EMPEROR SPIRIT 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Emperor Spirit 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 3.18 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, the early pace could be set by Come On Girl who has been running well on the AW tracks but I don't think this one is up to winning at this level and might be worth laying, Strike is another that looks better in lower class races but this one is capable of producing fast times, Verraux Eagle might prefer a longer trip so another possible lay, my money will be riding on *WENTWORTH FALLS 10/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the trainer does quite well at this course. 

*NR

Lay bet Come On Girl +1pt 

Total +1pt 


NEWMARKET 4.28 

Class 2 race with a paltry 5 runners, Stone Of Destiny may struggle to stay the distance especially as my top rated is the likely leader in this race, Mum's Tipple may need further but if the early pace is really fast it could be a possible danger, Above and Ingra Tor both recorded their best speed ratings here but on the Rowley mile course but would need to improve a good few spots if RATHBONE 13/2 reproduces is best figures from either 2022 or 2021 where there is only 2lbs difference plus the apprentice jockey has a decent 16% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Rathbone 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 10 entrants, I can see 3 front running types in this race and another that could lead if nothing else wanted to wont have to lead here, but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace although Portelet Bay who is my 2nd top rated could prove a danger if getting to the front from stall 9 but might have to use up a degree of its stamina/speed to get itself into the lead, I could look to lay, Prophecy, Secret Potion, *Mops Gem and *Tom Tulliver if of value to lay, Steelriver is my 3rd top rated using a 2020 rating but can be useful if on a going day but I will be relying on the top weight RED ALERT 10/1 with my money and a repeat of the rating it has recorded here this year would see it winning with a bit too spare.

Red Alert 10/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Prophecy +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day  -1pt

Thursday, 11 August 2022

1:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (12th August)

NOTTINGHAM 1.45 

Class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners, I might look to lay Porfin 4/1 who won last time out over a furlong further so might find today's trip too short also No Guts No Glory 11/2 who’s form looks quite good on paper but they were all relatively slow times and another where further might suit it better, Harrogate looks the one likely to set the pace to the race and if allowed to dictate it could possibly lead all the way but it hasn't been in the best of form lately, GRANDFATHER TOM 3/1 is my 2nd top rated and top on just 2022 ratings while COLEY'S KOKO 6/1 is 2nd top on 2022 figures and top rated by just 1lb on overall figures, neither have great trainer/jockey stats so I will have to back both of them. 

Grandfather Tom 5/1 6th -1pt 
Coley's Koko 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: Porfin +1pt, No Guts No Glory +1pt 

Total 0pts

NOTTINGHAM 2.20 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 7 runners, there is 3 that have led before and Abate may do best of that trio being my 2nd top rated horse, *Ballet Steps will be a lay if of value to do so as I don't think good to firm ground suits it, Good Luck Fox is my 3rd top rated but top spot belongs to the 3yo DUSKY PRINCE 9/2 who has been in good form completing its hattrick of wins before finishing 4th last time out and a repeat of its best time from Goodwood would be good enough to see it back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Dusky Prince 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 


WOLVERHAMPTON 4.18 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners, I can see a couple of known pacesetters in Ustath my joint 4th top rated and Stay Smart who is my 3rd top rated and this one is dropped in class to run in this race but hasn't been in good form recently so its the old old battle between form and class but I couldn't back it on its recent form but with an easy lead and rejuvenated by meeting lessor horses it just could possibly win this race but it too big a risk for me to get involved unless its an each way price or its seriously backed, Q Twenty Boy 7/2 is a course and distance winner but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early gallop so this race might not be run to suit it, Mutabaahy comes out 2nd best on my figures but this 7yo hasn't shown any noteworthy form of late but could make the frame if on a going day but my money will be riding on CATESBY 5/1 who recorded its best rating earlier this year and showed its liking for this Tapeta surface when finishing 2nd last time out at Southwell after being slowly away and where it was beaten by Ustath but meets that rival on 8lbs better terms and if away on level terms here should reverse the form. 

Catesby 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 5.45 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, I'm not sure what to expect from Counsel who won last time out over a furlong further and hasn't any form over this distance that was a decent enough race and it was always up with in the firing line so could easily be good enough to win this race, on ratings over today's distance Wajd comes out in joint top spot along with Equiano Springs so I think this race is best left alone. 

-

THIRSK 6.07 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners and 5 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious dash, Alligator Alley 5/2 hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2019 and although this is a drop in class I'm not sure whether I should lay it or not, on just 2022 ratings there is only 1lb between my top 3 horses Birkenhead, Khabib and MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 but the latter has a rating from 2021 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily and looking at the early tissue prices it might be the value call in this race and if getting to the front it might prove hard to peg back.

Modular Magic 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day - 3pts

Wednesday, 10 August 2022

2:45 Beverley Racing Tips (11th August)

BEVERLEY 2.45 

In this race I'm not sure what I can find to lay and its maybe best if I leave it until I've seen the betting to see if there's anything of value to lay and it does look likely that I might find one or possibly two to lay, with 3 known front running types in the race it should be a true run affair but I doubt if any of the front runners are capable of leading all the way for the victory, Arnold can produce good speed figures but all of its best form comes in races one level lower than this race, my top 2 rated horses both come from the Paul Midgley stable. In fact the trainer has 3 runners in the race, I'm not so keen on the chances Nibras Again but this ones jockey has the slightly better win ratio for the stable and if its the only one of his trio that's trying it could possibly win this race but if all 3 are trying i think its hard to split VAN GERWEN 13/2 and LATIN FIVE 13/2 the former has the slightly better rating for just 2022 while the latter comes out in top spot overall using a rating it recorded at Nottingham in 2021 so I will be backing them both as I cannot split them. 

Van Gerwen 13/2 4th -1pt 
Latin Five 12/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

FFOS LAS 3.30 

There's 7 runners and 1 known front running type in Bibulous who has only slow times over this distance on good ground and I'm not sure it likes fast good to firm ground, I think Me Next and Celerity will be outsiders in this race and I doubt they can win, Gilt Edge and Dora Penny are my 4th and 3rd top rated horses, Vape comes out in 2nd top spot and could be the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on RABAT 11/2 who won last time out and has been found the ideal opportunity to follow up in this race .

Rabat 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Tuesday, 9 August 2022

2:30 Salisbury Racing Tips (10th August)

SALISBURY 2.30 

AMOR DE MI VIDO 5/2 comes out in 3rd top spot on my figures and usually likes to track the leaders but needs to improve to win this race. 

GLAMOROUS BREEZE 9/4 usually prefers to race in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish but might struggle to catch the leader in this race. 

SO SMART 6/1 a front running 3yo type who has made the frame in 5 of its races on turf but hasn't in 12 races in total but comes out top rated on my figures and looks the value call at the price. 

NORDIC GLORY 7/1 another 3yo who seems versatile with its racing tactics, it hasn't won on grass and only produced slow times but has 3 wins on the AW tracks.

SYMBOL OF HOPE 9/1 is the other likely pacesetter and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures and could be the one for the forecast. 

DELEGATE THIS LORD 9/1 hasn't shown much lately time wise and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race.

SUMMARY: With my top 2 ratings, Symbol Of Hope and SO SMART 6/1, being the known front running types they could have the race between them and the latter has been found an ideal opportunity to discard its maiden tag and a repeat of its time recorded over this course and distance it would win with a bit in hand and the trainer has been in good form over the last couple of weeks.

So Smart 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

Monday, 8 August 2022

3:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (9th August)

NOTTINGHAM 3.50 

A five runner class three race where they are either three or four year olds, I can see one known front running type which always help my analysis, I'm not sure what conditions Audience 15/8 wants to get back to winning ways as it has faded over six furlongs but also ran as though further would suit it better, Burning Cash 4/1 and Korker 2/1 are closely rated but a few spots behind Whethedealisdone 5/1 in 2nd top spot but my top rated horse NIGHT ON EARTH 14/1 is also the likely pacesetter and could win this race from the front and certainly looks worth the risk at the price its a shame an each way bet isn't really worthwhile with only 2 places up for grabs. 

Night On Earth 14/1 1st +14pts

Total +14pts

CARLISLE 6.50 

A nine runner class four handicap and I cannot find a front running type amongst them so caution is the key to this race especially stake wise, this race might not be run to suit Secretinthepark 9/1 and this one is outside my top four ratings while Indian Sounds 9/2 has been in poor form recently so could be worth laying if of value to do so, Ginger Jam 16/1 is my third top rated horse and is usually held up for a late run so may not be suited to today's race, the top weight Ventura Flame 3/1 is my joint top rated but another that is usually held up for a late run may not get to the front quickly enough so I will be relying on SACRED JEWEL 12/1 (EW) to do the business it has decent trainer and jockey stats which is always a bonus and likes to track the early pacesetters, it won two races ago over today's distance at Leicester, its last run can be ignored as it was hampered leaving the stalls and didn't get involved in the race but I will be having an each way bet at the price on offer.

Sacred Jewel 14/1 6th -2pts

Lay bets Indian Sounds +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +13pts