I'm not much of a fan of betting at this course because those drawn low who can get away smartly have an advantage and thats what I hope ive found in this race but before all that I need to be sure the going is ok and I am really hoping so, ive got Bellevarde in 4th spot on my figures but only 1lb my co-top rated 3 horses, Gabrial The Devil likes to track the leaders and could get a decent run from stall 5 by getting to the rails just behind the leaders, another top rated is Bossipop who has been known to lead before but stall 9 isnt ideal but in the make-up of this race it could be ok but im guessing there will be horses that dont usually front run being rousted from the off and there could be some jostling for position, Peachey Carnehan has got the plum draw in stall 1 and has been known to lead but has been way off form recently but another front runner drawn in stall 2 could either lead on the rail or contest 1 off the rail and thats REDROSEZORRO 5/1 and this one might be able to lead all the way is the 3rd of my top rated horses.
Redrosezorro 5/1 5th
LINGFIELD 4.35 (7.0)
Only 5 runners in this race and DIZZY G 11/2 the only known frontrunner in the race is also the only horse that isn't a 3 year old but I'm hoping it might be able to lead all the way here and its best time from 2018 would be good enough to win unless something else improves, Whisper Aloud has been in good form and looks the likely favourite but timewise it would need to improve, my top rated on just 2019 times is Chitra and this 3-year-old looks the main danger on my speed figures but I will have a small bet on the selection hoping it can lead all the way to the line.
Dizzy G 11/2 1st
BATH 5.30 (7.7)
A 7 runner affair with 3 of them having been known to lead before so it should be a true run race, I've got joint 2nd top-rated horses in Harry Hurricane who likes to track the leaders and Secretfact who is more versatile with what racing tactics it will deploy but I do love a front runner in these sprints and MORE THAN LIKELY 9/2 is my top rated and the apprentices 7lb claim could take it even further clear but I do think it needs proper g/f ground to show its best form.
More Thank Likely 9/2 3rd
MUSSELBURGH 7.15 (7.6)
This is a poor poor race where I wouldn't be wading in too heavily with my money but I will be having a bet of some sorts, there's not a lot of known early pace in the race, which I'm hoping helps my selection, Griffin Street is my 3rd top-rated and should be staying on at the finish but may need either further or stiffer course than this one to reproduce its best Super Florence starts off as my top rated but only by 1lb it is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice which would move it 6lbs clear but the apprentices record for this stable is 0-9 which isn't ideal, my 2nd top-rated was JESSIE ALLAN 25/1 but this one is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot by 1lb and this one is the only known front runner and if getting to the front it could prove very hard to catch and at the price I will be going with an each-way wager.
Jessie Allan 25/1 5th
No comments:
Post a Comment