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Friday, 1 November 2019

3:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (1st November)


NEWCASTLE 3.45 

My top 4 ratings have all recorded their best times this year, I think Ascended my 4th top-rated and Bugler Bob in 3rd top spot could feasibly make the frame here but would need to improve timewise to win this race, *EPEIUS 6/1 is my 2nd top-rated and the trainer has a decent strike rate at this course and has to be on my shortlist, my top rated is LUCKY LODGE 7/1 but this ones losing run of 21 is a little off-putting and the stable also has the 3yo Daafr in the race and it would appear on jockey bookings this one might be the more fancied of the pair from the Antony Brittain yard or it could be a ruse to throw people off the scent, I will as always stick with the proven but might have a covering bet on the 3yo if its fancied in the betting. 

* NR
Lucky Lodge 8/1 1st 

NEWCASTLE 5.25

There's 5 horses in this dash that have been known to lead before but none of them are in my top 4 ratings but Hard Solutions stall 11 and Longroom stall 5 could do best of the front runners, Landing Night comes out 4th best on this years times and its best from last year would only move it to 3rd top spot, the 3yo Be Proud is my original 3rd top-rated so could go well here, Henley is top rated on c/d times from this year and usually stays on strongly at the finish over this distance if I look at Wolverhampton times QAARAAT 6/1 is top rated but its on a losing run of 21 and is a maiden on the AW tracks after 9 attempts, my stakes in this race will be kept low and I might even dutch my top 4 if its of value. 

Qaaraat 7/1 1st + F/C £31.30 + T/C £212.50

NEWCASTLE 8.00

This dash has only 1 natural frontrunning type in the race with Star Cracker my 3rd top-rated having been known to lead if nothing else wants to but it could be enough to see it make the frame, Encoded is my 4th top-rated but hasn't been in good form lately and the jockey booking does look a positive move so it could go well, Little Miss Lola comes out joint top-rated but I have had to delve back to 2017 to find that time so I'm not if it can repeat its best from that long ago, my top rated is LORD OF THE GLEN 5/1 who is the one I expect to try and set the pace in this race, I would be more confident if it wasn't on a losing run of 27 races but there's a few others in the race with long losing runs but it does mean my stakes won't be at full strength.

Lord Of The Glen 13/2 4th  

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