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Monday 9 December 2019

1:30 Lingfield - Free Horse Racing Tips (9th December)


Quite a competitive race for a Class 6 affair. 

I can only find three horses that seem to have no hope of winning: Creek Harbour and Velvet moon have been known to lead when allowed to set a fairly slow early pace. While others will make sure that doesn't happen! 

Majorette is a versatile type that has been known to lead. It comes out fourth overall on my figures. 

The top horse, Aguerooo, comes out top on just 2019 course and distance times but third top overall. 

George Dryden comes out second best using a 2018 time. However, this grey gelding has been terribly out of form lately and needs to show some signs of life before I back him. 

Additionally, Daring Guest is joint second top on 2019 course and distance times and the 7lbs the apprentice claims puts it in the picture. 

THE LACEMAKER 5/2, trained by Milton Harris, won last time out over course and distance. It was a slowly run affair. It ran a respectable time at Chelmsford, which is the same surface, and that would see it have every chance to follow up in this race. Unfortunately, it is a pretty short price.

The Lacemaker 3/1 1st 


I hope all eight horses run. 

I've got three horses marked down as possible lays in this race. Watchable likes to track the leaders and comes out fourth top on my figures. 

Prince Of Rome hasn't run over this course and distance before. However, the colt ran a fair time at Chelmsford last year that would make it second top-rated. Richard Hughes' charge has got a significant jockey booking with Franny Norton in the saddle, so I expect it to run a big race. 

Just That Lord is second top-rated on 2019 course and distance times. I expect this six-year-old to set the pace. However, trainer/jockey statistics don't inspire confidence. 

GRACIOUS JOHN 7/2 is worth a punt. Ian Williams' son of Baltic King hasn't won in its last twenty-four starts and dropping down the handicap. Being drawn next door to the likely pacesetter it could get a good tow into the race. 

Gracious John 7/2 7th


This should be fast and furious!  

Five of the nine runners have set the pace before. 

Green Door, drawn stall three, is third top rated. This front-running eight-year-old trained by Robert Cowell has good stats especially with 7lb apprentice Angus Villiers in the saddle. 

Something Lucky is my fourth top-rated. He isn't a frontrunner so could profit if they go off too fast and fade badly in the closing furlong. I doubt that will happen but it could possibly stay on to make the frame. 

I've got joint top-rated horses in Glamorous Rocket who is drawn in stall one (but this one's best speed figure was gained at Kempton and this is its 1st run over this course and distance). 

WARRIOR'S VALLEY 9/1 is my other joint top rated. However, it's not drawn well in stall nine for this natural frontrunner. If getting to the front - could prove hard to catch. 

I think the winner will come from these four horses and hopefully, I can dutch them all to show a decent profit. 

I will favour the dutch bet rather than going with my top rated.

Warrior's Valley 12/1 9th


A full house with fourteen runners. 

It's a relatively poor class 6 race run over 6f. 

I can only find one frontrunner so this may become tactical. My highest speed figure in this race is quite low. In fact, only four horses have a rating: The grey gelding Zebulon, who likes to track the pace, is fourth best. 

Klopp comes out third best. This filly likes to be hold up.

The second top spot we have Global Humor who should be staying on strongly at the finish. 

The top spot goes to the three-year-old ALMURR 7/1 who likes to track the leaders. Philip Makin's son of Dandy Man hasn't won in his last fifteen races but the booking of Ben Curtis with a 20% win rate for this stable brings further interest. 

I will be having a small wager. 

Almurr 7/1 7th 


This is a much better Class 6 race. 

Again, there's not a lot of early-paced sorts competing. 

I've marked eight horses as possible lays in the race!

Star Cracker is fourth top-rated. Jim Goldie's gelding and usually runs on at the finish. 

Another hold-up type is Someone Exciting my fifth top-rated. There's only 1lb between them. 

I've got joint second top-rated horses: Mightaswellsmile and Poppy In The Wind. 

The former prefers other surfaces to show its best. The latter has a poor jockey booking with Luke Morris showing a 0-5 record for Alan Brown's stable. 

LORD OF THE GLEN at 5/1 looks the best bet. Jim Goldie's four-year-old gelding is the only known front runner and if allowed to dictate will prove hard to catch.

Lord Of The Glen 13/2 2nd 

Thanks for reading. I love to hear your comments. 

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