ERIC'S RECENT WINNERS: + SECRET TIPS: CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 9/1, HERRINGSWELL 8/1, BRUSHWORK 13/2, BIG LES 6/1, YOUG TIGER 7/1, QUEEN OF KALAHARI 7.2, LADY DANCEALOT 10/1, LAST PAGE 8/1, QAARAAT 7/1 + F/C £31.30 + T/C £212.50, LUCKY LODGE 8/1, SANTAFIORA 5/1, POWER LINK TATHMEEN 10/1 + EX £38.40, 5/2, FUTURISTIC 10/3 + EX £24.90, DIZZY G 11/2, CENT FLYING 6/1, ROAYL BIRTH 8/1, CARLOVIAN 12/1, LETHAL ANGEL 3/1 + EX £15.20, ARCHIMEDES 7/1, BASHIBA 15/2, DESERT FOX 9/2, MERRY BANTER 5/1 + FC 34.07, ARCHIMEDES 15/2, GREEN POWER 4/1, BIG TIME MAYBE 13/8, SWEET PURSUIT 11/1, CENT FLYING 8/1 + EX £39, ENTHAAR 9/2 + CSF £20.63, INGELBY MOLLY 25/1, MOVE IN TIME 13/2, MR ORANGE 8/1, DARING GUEST 15/2, BATTASH 1/4, HAMSHON 5/2, DANDY'S BEANO 6/4 + ex £3, TEXTING 3/1 + EX £18.40,BOUDICA BAY 9/2, GRANDFATHER TOM 11/2, MOUNTAIN PEAK 6/1, NINJAGO 4/1, TARNHELM 13/2, ONLY SPOOFING 7/2, STAXTON 15/2, DAPPER MAN 4/1, CUPPACOCO 10/1, TROPICS 41, JORDAN ELECTRICS 5/1 + EX £32.40, BLUE POINT 5/2, LORD RIDDIFORD 7/1,GLOBAL SPIRIT 4/1, LIAMBA 7/2, MACHREE 14/1, BILLYOAKES 4/1, FIRMDECISIONS 18/1, ROY'S DREAM 8/1, EAST STREET REVUE 25/1, RED STRIPES 5/1, MAB'S CROSS 6/1, RED INVADER 5/1, SAMOVER 9/1, HIGHLY SPRUNG 4/1,SHAMSHON 4/1, KATHEEFA 7/2, STAR CRACKER 13/2, WALK ON WALTER 2/1,THE ARMED MAN 9/1, KACHY 8/13, TERENTUM STAR 9/1, MYSTICAL MOON 14/1, OUR PLACE IN LOULE 5/1,GOWANBUTER 4/1, SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE 3/1, WARRIOR VALEEY 5/1, TAVENER 8/1, CROSSE FIRE 5/1, PEACHEY CARNEHAN 16/1, TATHMEEN 12/1 + EX £110.40, POINT ZERO 7/2, MERHOOB 10/1, SPIRIT OF ZEBEDEE 6/1, EQUIANO SPRINGS 6/1, IT'S ALL A JOKE 4/1 + EX £20.40, EPEIUS 9/2, AGEUROOO 4/1, JOEGOGO 3/1, SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 15/2 + EX £42.20, GORGEOUS NOORA 5/2, DANDY HIGHWAYMAN 11/1, ANOTHER ANGEL 5/1, SANTAFIORA 6/1, ALASKAN BAY 6/1 + EX £11.80 + TRI £83.70, DOCTOR SARDONICUS 15/2 + EX £55.30, TURANGA LEELA 9/1, CUBAN PRINCE 9/1, THE RIGHT CHOICE 5/1, POPPY MAY 12/1, COMMANDER KIRKUP 5/1 + EX £15.50 + TRI £55.90, CAPTAIN LARS 6/1, WALK ON WALTER 9/2, OUTRAGE 8/1, ARZAAK 14/1, DEEDS NOT WORDS 3/1 + EX £20.30 + TRIFECTA £53.70, PIAZON 8/1, THE LACEMAKER 100/30 + WALK ON WALTER 16/1 + £43.75 F/C


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Wednesday, 4 December 2019

5:10 Kempton Racing Tips (4th December)

David Eslworth horse trainer
KEMPTON 5.10 

ROYAL BIRTH has a time from 2018 that sees it joint 5th top-rated but might find its stamina stretched in the make-up of this race. I would look to lay it if a single figure price.

LETHAL LUNCH 11/2 hasn't any distance form on the AW to work with and I think it might be a better horse when tried over a longer distance so another to lay at the price.

ROCK ON BAILEYS 14/1 is on a losing run of fifteen races without a win but it has a reasonable record on the AW tracks but would need to improve timewise to win here but this will be its first run at this course but it doesn't look fancied according to the betting.

SILENT ECHO 9/1 hasn't any distance form on the AW to its name and it races as though a longer distance would see it do better. Another lay bet if stays at a single figure price.

HARRYS BAR 5/1 is top-rated on just this year's c/d times and the trainer/jockey stats look good until you look at the jockey's record on the stables older horses which is a poor 1-8. In addition, this horse is a fan of a fast early pace that might not happen.

LADY DANCELOT 9/2 only comes out 5th top using just 2019 c/d times but it has a time from 2018 puts it 1lb ahead in the top spot and its record on the AW tracks is 2 wins, 2 places from 5 runs. David Elsworth has good trainer 29% and jockey 40% stats to its name. 

POLYBIUS 13/2 won well last time out here but this is a step up into class 2 race. Timewise it was third-best on c/d times 2019 but I think this might be a bit too much for it and maybe worth laying the win part only on this horse.

TAWNY PORT 11/1 hasn't any recent course form to work with and it's one good time from 2018 is looking more and more like a one-off where it got towed along in a fast run race so a lay if it comes into a single figure price.

SHAMSHON 25/1 is second best on a time from Chelmsford, while its best over this c/d was way below that level and back in 2016. It's best wouldn't be enough so not for me.

TIPPERARY JACK 17/2 is a 3yo who has won twice from 4 runs on the AW tracks but all over a longer trip and things might happen too fast for it in this race and one to lay if staying in single figures.

BENNY AND THE JETS 16/1 another 3yo who might find both the class of this race and the distance too much for it to handle in this race.

SUMMARY: A nice competitive race with a few contradicting lines of form and times but I will be backing LADY DANCELOT 9/2 who has been known to lead before and it could get out quickly and then gain control of the rails and if doing so it could prove hard to catch, there's several that could contest the places but nothing I can say for sure is worth an each-way bet in the race.

Lady Dancealot 9/2 6th