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Monday 20 January 2020

2:20 Kempton Horse Racing Tips & Lay Bets (20th January)


GINGER FOX is my other joint 3rd top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times but may prefer further, it should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to win and looks poor value at 3/1.

MOON TROUBLE is the only known frontrunner in the race and is top-rated on just 2019/20 c/d times and 2nd top overall.

MARTINEO is top-rated overall on a time from Newcastle which is a straight course and different surface but if taking to this course could go very well.

WILEY POST hasn't any c/d form and its best from Lingfield would see it just outside the places so looks plenty short enough at 9/1. 

SUZIS CONNOISSEUR 7/1 has a time from Lingfield that could see it make the frame and joint 3rd best on only 2019/20 c/d times.

FIGHTING TEMERAIRE hasn't any c/d form and may need further to show its best so I'm surprised it's a 13/2 shot. 

EXCELLENT GEORGE on a losing run of 13, hasn't been in form lately producing slow times another that looks plenty short enough, this time at 8/1. 

VENTURE is 2nd top on just 2019/20 c/d times but its best overall time is just outside my 3 so 9/2 looks poor value.

SPLIT DOWN SOUTH 15/2 won last time out but hasn't run here before but could make the frame if taking to this course.

ALFIE SOLOMONS on a losing run of 18 but hasn't run over this c/d before but would need to improve for the switch to win and not a 7/1 chance in my opinion.

OMRAN 50/1 has only slow times at this distance and maybe better over a shorter trip so not surprised its the rank outsider in the field. 

SUMMARY: Not a great race for a class 4 affair and nothing I can see to lay confidently in this race, there's a mishmash of times and form lines which make it hard to analyse with quite a few that could feasibly make the frame here but I will be backing 2 horses in this race, MOON TROUBLE12/1 is top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times and being the only frontrunner in the race stall 11 might not prevent it from leading this race and if doing so could prove hard to catch but *MARTINEO 7/1 does have a faster time from Newcastle so I have no idea if it will like this surface or course for that matter, I will probably tilt my stakes in favour of the proven horse and a smaller covering bet on the latter mentioned horse.

* NR
Moon Trouble 20/1 5th

Total on Day -1pt