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Friday, 6 March 2020

3:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (6th March)


Ive seen worse class 6 affairs at least here I can find some to lay (Rebecke + Islay Mist + Alaskan Bay + Wild Flower) so hopefully theres an easy profit from the race, ive got Indian Affair with a time from back in 2017 that would make it 2nd top rated overall but it is 0-5 over this c/d and that time might be a bit flattering while it has been running fairly well this year and its made the frame twice over this c/d but both in relatively slow run races and could make the frame again here, Deeds Not Words is joint 2nd top rated on 2019/20 c/d times so could go well, Maid Millie has a fast time from 2019 but its starting to look like a fluke result where it got carried along in a fast run race but I will probably back it as a covering bet but the horse to get my attention in this race is *BROUGHTON EXCELS 3/1 who has an eye-catching jockey booking and im hoping thats enough of a positive pointer to make me think it will get back to winning ways in this race and being topweight against lesser horses could also be in its favour. 


Lay bets: Rebecke (+1pt) Islay Mist (+1pt) Alaskan Bay (+1pt) Wild Flower (+1pt) 

Total +4pts


I can find 4 in this race to lay (Krystallite + Sepahi + Solar Park + One One Seven) so hopefully thats a good base to start from especially in a race where I will have to dutch 3 horses hoping ive found the winner, there are 4 horses, Arzaak, Dazacam, Independence Day and Red Allure who could go well, the 3 I will dutch are, *OUR MAN IN HAVANA 8/1 is a possible pacesetter and with only one other known frontrunning sort in the race stall 10 might not hamper its chances to win too much but is on a losing streak of 12 races, AWSAAF 10/1 is on a losing run of 10 races but it does have a good jockey booking making me think they fancy their chances in this race but I cannot leave IT MUST BE FAITH 9/2 off my list, it's always a positive when the topweight has a fast enough time to put it in the mix against inferior animals and this one also has a good jockey booking but my stakes won't be at full tilt but I do think the winner will come from the seven horses I have mentioned. 

* NR

It Must Be Faith 17/2 8th 
Awsaaf 10/1 9th

Lay bets: Solar Park (- 8pt) Sepahi (+1) Krystalite (+1pt) One One Seven (+1pt)

Total -7pts

Total of day -3pts 

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