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Thursday, 5 March 2020

4:20 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (5th March)


SOUTHWELL 4.20

Just a quick summary tonight as I am not feeling well and cannot be arsed to go into too much detail. I will look to lay (*Broken Spear) in this race, it's not a race to be betting in too heavily, Harry Hurricane is 3rd top-rated so could go well, while in 2nd top spot is Samovar who has won 4 and been placed 14 in its 28 runs over this c/d, I will be having a few pennies on DOC SPORTELLO 5/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

*NR

Doc Sportello 5/2 4th 

Total -1pt  

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

Another race where stakes will be kept on the low side, I will look to lay (Chitra + Double Up) there is very little between my top 5 rated horses, War Whisper, Foxy Forever, Young Tiger, Jonboy and Tathmeen, any of them could be placed but I will be backing TATHMEEN 5/1 in this race who is in good form and has been found a decent chance to follow up its win from last time out. 

Tathmeen 5/1 1st 

Lay bets: Chitra (+1pt) Double Up (+1pt) 

Total +7pts 

NEWCASTLE 6.30

There are 3 I will look to lay (Northgate Lad + Mia Mento + Glenamoy Lad) for various reasons my 3rd top-rated is Buccaneers Vault but I will be backing 2 horses in this race, *INSURPLUS 15/2 has who has been running over further in recent races and it has a time from 2018 that would make it my top-rated but there aren't any known frontrunners in this race so it just might not be run to suit it as it will be trying to stay on at the finish but if the pace is slow those ahead of it might not be tiring enough so I will also back my top-rated on just 2019/20 c/d time and I KNOW HOW 3/1 won last time out and has been found a chance to follow up here so having 2 bets seems the only option. 

*NR

I Know How 3/1 4th 

Lay bets: Northgate (+1pt) Mia Mento (+1pt) Glenamoy Lad (+1pt) 

Total +2pts 


NEWCASTLE 8.30

Again a race not to be betting in too heavily, and maybe the lays will keep my head above water, (Arcavallo + Van Gerwen) my 3rd top-rated is Longroom but this one is on a losing run of 14 which isn't ideal, Patrick is my 2nd best and should be trying to stay on at the finish but I will be backing QAARAAT 8/1 who will try to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and this race could be run to suit it.

Qaaraat 8/1 5th

Lay bets: Arcavallo (+1pt) Van Gerwen (+1pt) 

Total +1pt 

Total on day 9pts (Excellent) 


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