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Monday, 9 March 2020

4:15 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (9th March)



KEMPTON 4.15 

DOUBLE UP 12/1 is on a losing run of 20 which puts me off it has won over this c/d in 2017 from only 2 runs but its recent form hasn't been good and seems to be on a downward spiral with age.

DOC SPORTELLO 8/1 has a time from 2018 that would put it at the top of my list and the jockey booking looks a positive move.

BUNGEE JUMP 33/1 has been known to lead but stall 11 isn't ideal in the make-up of this race so could spend too much energy if it does try to lead.

BOOM THE GROOM 6/1 stablemate of Doc Sportello but this is another horse that seems on a downward spiral with age.

ENTHAAR 4/1 has good jockey/trainer stats so it could go well here and has a time high enough to make it competitive in this race.

ROCK BOY GREY 9/2 won last time out but this might be a step too far for it looking at its speed figures but has improved lately. 

BARRINGTON 9/1 from stall 2 this could be the one that tries to set the pace and has a time high enough to put it in the mix.

BADAYEL 4/1 hasn't any form on this surface at this distance and for a possible frontrunner stall 10 isn't looking ideal and a scramble for the lead could see it fade close home.

SOAR ABOVE 14/1 has been in poor form recently although a time from early in 2019 puts it in the mix it may be out of its depth in a class 4 race.

VENTURE 15/2 is only a 4yo and has improved recently and could go well again in this race but would need to improve timewise to win this race.

DISCREET HERO 50/1 has a reasonable time from 2016 that would make it competitive but its recent form has been well below that level.

OMRAN 16/1 has poor form recently and hasn't shown anything worthwhile over this course and distance so not for me.

CONCLUSION: It's quite a competitive race with just 2, (Omran + Boom The Groom) that I will look to lay, there's a couple of natural frontrunners in the race but both are drawn high, there's also 3 that are capable of leading but usually if nothing else wants to, I've got Barrington and Enthaar as my joint 2nd top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times and they are only 1lb behind Soar Above but this one might be outclassed in this race, the one carrying my money is *DOC SPORTELLO 8/1 who is a bit down on 2019/20 times but its best from 2018 would see it back to winning ways and the jockey booking looks a positive indicator that the connections are expecting a big run in this race.

*NR

Lay bets: Omran (+1pt) Boom The Groom (+1pt)

Total on day +2pts



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